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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    It's possible that such a deal might be contingent upon Bellinger agreeing to decline his options. Maybe a negotiated buyout of them.
  2. Rob
    Teams are knocking down Jed's door trying to get whom, exactly? The simple fact of the matter is that the guys we have that might be on the market are, by virtue of either their production or their contracts, fallback options. Nobody in the league is pining for Cody Bellinger or Jameson Taillon at the deadline. Other teams aren't pulling the trigger on Plan C until they know whether Plan A or Plan B might pan out. The only possible exceptions to this are Justin Steele and Nico Hoerner. Steele isn't getting traded unless there's a massive overpay, and that's more likely to happen closer to the deadline. Hoerner is in a similar boat, in that we want him here next year. Of all the valid criticisms about Jed, I don't think the timing of his moves around the trade deadline this year qualifies.
  3. Rob
    Leverage is part of it. The other part is that with this many potential playoff teams, everybody is seemingly "in it." When there were 4 playoff teams, you pretty much knew whether you were a contender or not in mid May. But now? You're gonna wait til the last second.
  4. Rob
    There's way more transients for him to murder in the LA area, and you don't have to stab through such thick winter coats. He'd be all over it.
  5. Rob
  6. Rob
    As TT has pointed out, there's quite a discrepancy about his defensive acumen. DRS loves the guy. UZR sees him as about average. OAA thinks he's one of the worst defenders in the league. Personally, I tend to average out defensive statistics given how much they can differ. So he's probably about average, while being a zero with the bat. Mastro's already got that covered, including better AAA numbers. There's no point to Walls. If you want a premium defender with a notoriously bad bat, just grab Jose Iglesias this offseason. But I've gotta warn you, his career OPS is actually above .700, instead of Walls .500 something.
  7. Rob
    Lots of em have stupid beliefs. When I'm watching sports, I want plausible deniability at the bare minimum. Seeing that dipshittery he pulled on the field the other night, he clearly cannot provide minimum competency in any regard. And TT already pointed this out, but you're putting a lot of stock in a single aberrant defensive statistic.
  8. Rob
    In 325 games at the major league level, Taylor Walls has been worth 0.4 fWAR while batting .187/.289/.296. And the batted ball data doesn't suggest he's been particularly unlucky. We have that player. His name is Miles Mastrobouni. Except Mastrobouni has decent batted ball data. And of course our guy isn't a MAGA chud. Hard pass on Walls.
  9. Rob
    If you're hoping to get a Jackson Holliday type from the Orioles, you're talking about throwing in Taillon and Leiter on top of Steele. On their own, Taillon and Leiter aren't worth all that much.
  10. Rob
    I don't want Paredes. His success relies so much on a unicorn skill of pulling the ball directly down the line. I'm just still not sold on long-term success. Then again, 3B is a wasteland for us and there's no obvious help on the way. I like Shaw, but he's not hitting for much power right now and probably needs another full year before he's ready. I guess there's just no good 3B options as things currently stand.
  11. Rob
    Steele is worth what, 5 wins on this roster? Maybe? It's not that far out of the realm of possibility that in exchange for Steele we could get a 3 WAR and 2 WAR guy in positions where we're currently running out complete trash. His production is important, but it's not utterly irreplaceable. There's risk, yes. But I think selling it as a necessity to nuke the roster is a bit melodramatic.
  12. Rob
    Don't get me wrong, I'd need to be blown away. But Steele isn't prime Clayton Kershaw or Max Scherzer. He's incredibly valuable, but he's not dragging this ****** team into contention. I'm always inclined to listen on players like that. I'll admit it though. I have little idea how to approach this deadline. We suck, which usually indicates a sale. But we have no significant assets on expiring contracts which might actually drum up interest. Buying short-term guys doesn't make much sense, as it probably doesn't get us anywhere. And there's not a lot of great options available at the spots where we need them. Buying long-term guys might make some sense, but I'm not seeing much available. So what's left is sell long-term guys or stand pat. Both options suck. And I'm bored. So I'll talk about trading Steele.
  13. Rob
    In the infamous words of Branch Rickey, I'd always rather trade a player a year too early than a year too late. Steele is great. But he's 29 and he's already operating at the peak of what his skillset has to offer. The simple fact of the matter is that he's got a lot more downside remaining than upside. If the offers are there, the Cubs would be fools not to consider it.
  14. Rob
    I wanted to sell high on Morel over the offseason and let some other team try to turn him into a fielder. Selling now would be stupid. His value is at an all-time low. His current production is worthless, and the only value we'd get is based on him potentially rebounding. Trading him now gets us what, maybe a 40 FV prospect or two? Some low minors lotto tickets? Morel's upside represents more than we'd get for him. We aren't really playing for anything. So let's just ride this out and see where it takes us.
  15. Rob
    I mentioned Baty as a potential return for Tauchman a week or so back. I'm still not sure I pull the trigger, but it's reasonable.
  16. Rob
    With the rise of two-way players, I'd love to see the Cubs start letting more people attempt to develop simultaneously as a hitter and pitcher.
  17. Rob
    I'm really only interested in how Day 3 begins. Thanks to the way the draft is structured, the 11th rounder remains interesting. But the odds of getting anything from anybody after that is close to zilch.
  18. Rob
    Depends. Wetherholt could have been asking the moon. He was in consideration at 1.1, after all.
  19. Rob
    Well, the Cubs seem to have a type for this draft.
  20. Rob
    By the time he makes it to the show, I'm pretty certain that framing will matter a whole heck of a lot less than it does now.
  21. Rob
    I hadn't decided whether Fenwick Trimble was a helpful or meddlesome hobbit. I think Cobb Hightower would be helpful, and Fenwick Trimble would have been assisting Lobelia Sackville-Baggins to walk off with the cutlery.
  22. Rob
    I was thinking of him more as a hobbit with a penchant for ancillary involvement in the adventures of others.
  23. Rob
    Well, that's a confusing pick. Not necessarily wrong -- just surprising to see it in round 3.
  24. Rob
    I'd have some interest in Sirota depending on what he's asking for. But I sincerely doubt the underslot savings on Mathis are anywhere near enough to make that viable.
  25. Rob
    Yesavage or Smith is fine.
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