That's not true. I disagree. Go look at Football Outsiders. They have the number one ranked defense in terms of efficiency, the 4th ranked ST, and the 24th ranked offense. Basically this means that if the defense isn't damn near perfect they're screwed. I realize history will show that some teams can win this way (2000 Ravens come to mind), but I'd venture to say that it's the exception rather than the rule. Also, the Bears SOS has been tough, but not as hard as it might look on paper. Again according to Football Outsiders, Detroit's has actually been a bit tougher, as has Minnesota's, Seattle's, and San Fran's. Football Outsiders also has an estimated win tool to figure out how their ratings should correspond to record. They have the Bears at 10.6 estimated wins so far. Considering they are 6th in their overall ratings, that seems pretty consistent with where they think the Bears are. I did a poor job of summarizing my point, which was that they need their defense to play lights -out or close thereto in each and every game in order for the Bears to win, as evidenced by the fact that their offense is amongst the League's worst. If the D were just a notch or two lower they'd be on pace for 7 or 8 wins. In general, needing your D to play that well all the time isn't likely to lead to success Sure its possible this team will pull a 2000 Ravens, it just isn't very likely.