CubinNY
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Everything posted by CubinNY
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At least on paper. I think they are banking on marginal improvement from the younger guys. I get the feeling that the Cubs think that they have a good (best?) offer for Bellinger and he's going to sign. But, Bellinger solves some problems and potentially creates others. I like their starting pitching. Obviously, defense will be good, but the offense and bullpen are still huge question marks
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You are making a false argument. No one said data is actually kinda worthless. But that's just me. I think most people agree the best predictor of future performance is past performance. Data help people to quantify what that means. However, there is error in measurement, so one has to use reasoning skills in their interpretation. The debate on Bellinger for example is that he's losing power. This may be true, but he's also changed his approach. Some people look at the changed approach and think that is important, others don't. Still other note that CF/1st isn't a position of need or that the Cubs have minor leaguers who could play those positions and it's not worth the dollars to sign him. In all those cases there is interpretations being made. That's why I said everything is relative and context is important. That for some reason you thought was worthy of ridicule.
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lol, you are horsefeathers troll. I was responding to the dude who thinks we've cracked the code. Data are data. The information upon which a decision is made is interpreted and not free of subjective determinations based on "gut" feeling. For example, saying Bellinger is a 120 OPS player and PCA is an 88 OPS player is not based in reality either, because it's projection. Is it better than a cold guess? Sure. How much? we don't know. The thing about ZIPS is that in aggregate, the information on team performance is pretty good. The prediction of individual performance is not that good, but over and underestimations are normalized acrosss the individuals, for the most part.
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So there was no harm in waiting.
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Devil's advocate: Analytical data also do not come straight from God. So you should not think they are accurate to the degree you seem to be proposing. Additionally, everything is relative. Lastly, context needs to be taken into account.
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I freely admit that I am not a professional baseball player, never was, and have never known one personally. However, if I were in the position to be offered multi-millions of dollars to play baseball, I would be looking to wrap up the negotiations as soon as possible so I could carry on with my offseason schedule in peace without having to worry about where I was going to live and play baseball for the next 3-8 years. But I'm also impulsive. I need to know stuff about my future to make me comfortable in my surroundings. When I was in college I would go to my classroom a week before classes started just so I'd make sure I knew where I was going. I'd be the same way I think with my career. After I graduated and went on my interviews I didn't take the first offer, but I didn't wait to take the offer from the place I wanted to work at either. So, although I cannot put myself in the position of a multimillionaire, I can try if unsuccessfully, to give my perspective. It would do psychological damage to not know where I was going to live up to the last weeks before the season starts.
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Kind of reminds me of when the Bulls fired Doug Collins.
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Video: Cubs Top Prospects: Kevin Alcantara
CubinNY replied to Aram Leighton's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I love Alcantara. I hope he makes the timeline, but he's probably going to get traded at some point this season or during the offseason. -
I think both the Pirates and Reds will be right there with the Cubs competing for the division. It's hard to count out the Cardinals, but they are fading. I think the Brewers are still the team to beat.
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I'm guessing the hangup with Bellinger is years vs. dollars. I wonder what it would take for Bellinger to accept a shorter contract. As to the other stuff, It's a unique year. Ohtani and the other high-profile Japanese players, the way Boras likes to operate, and the fact that he has many remaining players. I don't question his results, but it leads to many episodes of pearl-clutching by us fans.
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You are almost getting it. Almost
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If the players divvy up $35 million, how much do you think the owners get?
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I hope they watched the QB play in this last round of playoffs and noticed the stark contrast between what Fields can do after three years and what we saw by all the team's QBs, for the most part. Fields play obviously doesn't match up.
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Jed does not appear to mind big dollar contracts, he does not seem to like long-term contracts. If there is a sticking point, I'd bet it would be years vs dollars.
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define sucker? I mean an extra year, a player option, a few million dollars. What makes a sucker?
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for the first 6 years a player in the MLB he does not have control over how much money he makes in baseball. Teams pay players below what they are worth. Most MLB players never make it six years. The owners know this and the players know this.
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don't you think if there was a mutual match made in love and baseball it would have been made already?
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I think you are drinking the owner's coolaide.
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Sometimes?
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Boras controls everything. He has the top FAs and knows all the markets. The only way any of them go to the Cubs is if the Cubs are the highest bidder at the end of the process. If Jed is not interested in going the extra 10 feet, they will sign with the team who is willing to do it. However, I understand why he won't do it even if I don't necessarily agree with it. The Cubs may not need Bellinger for 5 years if PCA pans out. They may not need Chapman for 6 years if Shaw or someone else like Triantos pans out. They are in a difficult position given their philosophical orientation toward how to build a sustainable program. Obviously, my opinion is to build a good team and worry about the room later. Jed doesn't want to be old and expensive and not good. He'd rather be young inexpensive and not good. It's understandable.
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Solve for this equation New OC (good with rehabbing QBs) - (working for QB collective + New QB target)/(Bears decision making history) = ?
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I'm betting that the Cubs team right now is pretty much what they will look like coming into spring training. I think the Giants will get Chapman and the Blue Jays will sign Bellinger. They may add some mid/lower-tier relief pitching. People will talk about how the Giants and Blue Jays paid too much and will pat themselves on the back for their astute observation. Jed will discuss "value" before ST and into the season. The Ricketts will pocket extra 10s of millions of dollars this year.
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Why do all these teams have success with the inside handoff and the Bears get crushed?
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I’m going Detroit and Buffalo today.
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Agree. Jones is explosive.
