TruffleShuffle
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Everything posted by TruffleShuffle
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Where Are They Now: Scott Bullet
TruffleShuffle replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
it's too bad he wasn't any good, because there aren't many cooler names than scott bullett. -
we signed asante samuel \:D/
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http://i69.photobucket.com/albums/i60/munchkin_2/Beat_Dead_HorseSanitysBlog.jpg
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wait what's this?
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way to go walrond. i guess in the good news dept, petrick pitched and got an out, and marmol pitched a perfect ninth.
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not sure. relies too heavily on his fastball? i see that his LD% was fairly high (19.3, 19.6%) the last two years, but in 2007 it was just 17.6%. but his LOB% was very bad (65%). so i dunno. his history suggests that he struggles when pitching from the stretch, and from what i have seen, he has a fastball and a good slider, but not much else. so many that is why. that being said, he doesn't suck.
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Meph: oh wow his xFIP is low, oh i know why? BECAUSE HE PLAYS IN COMERICA. TruffleShuffle: Meph: I didnt change the subject. The rest of the team's xFIP is not in question. what exactly was your point then? you certainly seemed to be suggesting that it was natural that bonderman's xFIP was going to be low, because he plays his home games at Comerica. Now, why would Comerica have a positive effect on his xFIP, but no expected effect (or perhaps a negative effect) on the staff's other starters?
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Meph: oh wow his xFIP is low, oh i know why? BECAUSE HE PLAYS IN COMERICA. TruffleShuffle: Meph:
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right, and even if he is a guy who is going to have a high babip against, he's still a league-average pitcher. if you want to say that half the league sucks, that's fine, but i have to disagree with that. he was pitching pretty well (3.50 ERA - uh oh there's that stat again!) until he tired and started having some elbow woes the last month and a half of 2007. his biggest struggles seem to be with runners on, and pitching to the hitter leading off an inning. basically, he pitches his worst when it hurts him the most. it's not unreasonable to say that a young guy can improve in this department, and if he does, then you're looking at a pitcher who's solidly above average. he is only 25 after all. if he has a bad year this year, i'd expect it to be because the tigers put too much mileage on his arm over the past few years, not because "he sucks."
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xFIP versus ERA, 2007: Bonderman: 5.01 ERA, 3.99 xFIP Verlander: 3.66 ERA, 4.38 xFIP Robertson: 4.76 ERA, 4.80 xFIP Durbin: 4.72 ERA, 5.44 xFIP Maroth: 5.06 ERA, 5.84 xFIP Rogers: 4.43 ERA, 4.81 xFIP Miller: 5.63 ERA, 5.08 xFIP 2006: Bonderman: 4.08 ERA, 3.68 xFIP Verlander: 3.63 ERA, 4.67 xFIP Robertson: 3.84 ERA, 4.64 xFIP Rogers: 3.84 ERA, 4.92 xFIP Miner: 4.84 ERA, 4.61 xFIP Maroth: 4.19 ERA, 5.48 xFIP apparently the whole comerica lowering the xFIP thing only works if your name is bonderman. strange.
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i don't even care if he can pitch back to back days. if he's really good then make him the closer most of the time; howry and marmol are both good pitchers and can close when needed.
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really scraping the bottom of the barrel here. patterson and closser made outs, fuld walked (second walk of the day), fox pinch hit and struck out.
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Cardinals light up Santana
TruffleShuffle replied to Sweet Swinging Billy's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
sounds like a bad experience after having spicy mexican food for dinner. -
current lineup for the cubs appears to be: P Mateo SS A Blanco (cannot hit for beans) CF Torres (???) 1B Hoffpauir 2B L Figueroa (???) 3B McGehee RF E Patterson C Closser (lol) LF Fuld aside from the great eric patterson, not a whole lot to get excited about here.
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hey not bad, only three baserunners for eyre in that inning. looks like he is in midseason form.
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Yes, I hate playing these kids in pickup games. mostly because they think they can dribble their way through five defenders or make over the head no-look passes. they either end up hitting you in the balls or missing their target by ten feet.
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i'm gonna guess that eyre is getting drilled right now.
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if pecota numbers are close on fontenot, he'd be a useful utility player. way better than a bum like cintron anyway.
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wait so you are saying that era is a meaningless stat, after citing runs allowed for why bonderman sucks? FTH?!?!? anyway, i would like to see the proof that he sucks. his BB/9 has been below league average the past three years, his K/9 is above average, his HR/9 is near the league average. his xFIP the past four years has been: 2004: 4.15 2005: 4.10 2006: 3.68 2007: 3.99 and his FIP minus ERA has been solidly between -0.6 and -0.8 over the past four years, so he's been consistently boned over by bad defense behind him. his PECOTA-projected ERA is 4.00 this year. so please, show me how it is that he sucks. because from all the numbers that I'm seeing, he's at least a league-average pitcher, and once you take out the lousy fielding and bad luck, he's probably better than average.
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he's drawn three walks in five plate appearances. that's why he's awesome.
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thank God jim hendry actually went out and signed a player who should get on base and work the count a lot. my patience has been severely tested by all of the jock jones, alfonso soriano type signings. this actually should be a fairly tough lineup to get through, and there won't be as many 8 inning, 95 pitch outings by opposing starters against us.
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yeah that helped, but may was 10-11 and hauled down 10 rebounds. illinois couldn't stop him. anyway, i wasn't saying that guards aren't important, i just never understood where the whole "guards win in the tourney" thing came from. to me, it's a lot harder to find dominant big men than it is to find guards who can score a lot. the past several years, i generally pick teams that do have a big post presence to win it all, and i avoid picking teams that rely heavily on the three. 2002 my picks were ridiculous (had maryland winning, but also had kent st to the elite 8 and southern illinois and missouri to the sweet 16... finished in the top 1000 out of 2 million on espn) and then won in 2004 (okafor) and 2005 (may). last year i didn't want florida to win so i went against my theory and picked ucla, but it has paid pretty big money for me in the past. this year is tough, because i really like tennessee, but they don't have a really great big man, and rely pretty heavily on the trey. the years i won the pools i was in, i knew who i was picking from pretty much the start of the season. this year i don't have a strong feeling at all. might end up being unc though.
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I think an interesting discussion would be: who is the best Indiana tournament team? IU, Purdue, Notre Dame, Butler? They're practically interchangeable. Good luck with that one. I like Butler the best because guards usually win in the tournament. Purdue is either going to do pretty well or get beat out right away. IU has the talent to go pretty far, but have struggled with bad teams while beating good teams. Notre Dame is a solid bet for the sweet 16. is this really true? everyone says it, but i don't necessarily know that i believe it. 2007/2006: best players on the team were a center (noah) and power forward (horford) 2005: unc won the game because of sean may 2004: uconn had good guards, but okafor was easily their mvp 2003: carmelo anthony was tourney mvp, averaged about 10 rebounds per game that year 2002: juan dixon was the terps' mvp, but lonnie baxter and chris wilcox were two of the better big men that year. 2001: battier was tourney mvp; dunleavy and boozer also played huge roles.
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looks like zambrano is hurt, just like he was every time he had a bad start last year. Is that a joke? yeah, last year when zambrano was pitching like crap for the first few weeks, everyone said there must be something wrong with him. then he started pitching better, and nobody said he was hurt any more.
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looks like zambrano is hurt, just like he was every time he had a bad start last year.