Why Derrek Lee will NOT win the Triple Crown

[Derwood]

First off, I hope he does win it, but...

 

Assuming Lee can pass Carlos Lee for RBI's, I still don't think he'll lead the league in this category. Why? Because his teammate, Aramis Ramirez, will pass him.

 

After Ramirez's 2 RBI single in the 8th inning of tonight's game, he now has 78 RBI to Lee's 83. Now, as teams are starting to intentionally walk Lee everytime first base is open, his RBI chances will go down, while Ramirez is more and more likely to bat with men on base.

 

So unless Dusty stops sacrificing with his #2 hitter in front of Lee every time, I think A-Ram will end up leading the team in RBI.

[DivineBovine]

DB odds on Lee to win the triple crown- 10:1 against

 

The average is no gimme. If Pujols and Lee hit at their career averages the rest of the season, Pujols catches him easily. 17 points in average can be made up in a week or two. Pujols has made up 14 points in the past 10 games. And Cabrera has a shot too.

 

DB odds on Lee winning batting title- 3:4 in favor.

 

And with homers or average, Lee is a clear underdog in both categories. He'd be lucky to win 1. Again- Pujols is a big threat in both categories, but the add Dunn, Jones, even Aram to the home run mix and even more to the RBI mix, Lee's chances are slim.

 

DB odds on Lee winning homers: 2:1 against

DB odds on Lee winning RBI: 3:1 against

 

 

 

 

*odds are for entertainment purposes only.

[Coach C]

Doesn't help Lee's case that if Dusty is having Burnitz batting behind Lee. Any team will IBB Lee, just to get Burnitz, and just throw off-speed/curveballs at Burnitz. If Aramis was batting behind Lee, then most likely they would pitch around at Lee more often than IBB'ing.

[CubsHawks25]

Doesn't help Lee's case that if Dusty is having Burnitz batting behind Lee. Any team will IBB Lee, just to get Burnitz, and just throw off-speed/curveballs at Burnitz. If Aramis was batting behind Lee, then most likely they would pitch around at Lee more often than IBB'ing.

 

 

"We don't want to mess with the R-L-R-L thing, Dude. I'm a manager and I know how to do what I'm doing, man"

[10man]

DLee is now third in RBI's behind CLee and Pujols.

[Hacking Out Machine]

Doesn't help Lee's case that if Dusty is having Burnitz batting behind Lee. Any team will IBB Lee, just to get Burnitz, and just throw off-speed/curveballs at Burnitz. If Aramis was batting behind Lee, then most likely they would pitch around at Lee more often than IBB'ing.

 

I don't have any stats on this, but it seems to me that Derrek has been struggling with runners on base since Baker finally moved some on base guys to the top of the order. Maybe someone can find evidence of this. I think the biggest reason he won't win the triple crown is because he won't hit well enough. Hopefully, he gets hot again, but I think it's more reasonable to expect his career norms for the rest of the year than what he did in the first half.

[SAMMYWHO]

Even if he doesn't win any of the three, it's been one heck of a season and extremely fun to watch. We may never see another Cub have this good of individual season. Hopefully it's good enough to get us in the postseason.

[LoneStarCubFan]

Doesn't help Lee's case that if Dusty is having Burnitz batting behind Lee. Any team will IBB Lee, just to get Burnitz, and just throw off-speed/curveballs at Burnitz. If Aramis was batting behind Lee, then most likely they would pitch around at Lee more often than IBB'ing.

 

Dusty is an idiot. There's absolutely no reason for Lee and ARam not to be hitting 3-4 in this line-up. The R-L-R thing is a mile-high pile of horsecrap.

 

Not only is Dusty going to cost Lee the Triple Crown, he's going to cost this team another playoff appearance.

[cubbieinexile]

Tom Ruane did a study once and on one of his lists Derrek Lee's name is on it. Unfortunately it has to do with underperforming in RBI opps.

 

I think we are going to have to settle for Derrek Lee winning the "better" Triple Crown which is leading the league in AVG, OBP, and SLG. Not as rare as the "lesser" triple crown but definitely more important. At one point he looked like he could have led the majors but I don't think he will make it.

[UMFan83]

Tom Ruane did a study once and on one of his lists Derrek Lee's name is on it. Unfortunately it has to do with underperforming in RBI opps.

 

I think we are going to have to settle for Derrek Lee winning the "better" Triple Crown which is leading the league in AVG, OBP, and SLG. Not as rare as the "lesser" triple crown but definitely more important. At one point he looked like he could have led the majors but I don't think he will make it.

 

I don't think he's leading in OBP anymore, any Cabs and Pujols are breathing down his neck for AVG. Stupid prolonged slump we've all expected

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Tom Ruane did a study once and on one of his lists Derrek Lee's name is on it. Unfortunately it has to do with underperforming in RBI opps.

 

I think we are going to have to settle for Derrek Lee winning the "better" Triple Crown which is leading the league in AVG, OBP, and SLG. Not as rare as the "lesser" triple crown but definitely more important. At one point he looked like he could have led the majors but I don't think he will make it.

 

I don't think he's leading in OBP anymore, any Cabs and Pujols are breathing down his neck for AVG. Stupid prolonged slump we've all expected

 

He's got a slim lead on Nick Johnson in OBP, but we'll see how Nick does now that he's off the DL. Lee has the higher OBP in 115 more PA's.

[Derwood]

if he keeps getting walked 1 or 2 times per game, he's going to be limited to 2 or 3 at-bats. An 0-2 or a 1-3 will keep pulling his average down.

[10man]

Seems like its been a while since Derrek had a really monster day at the plate. Hopefully that day off did him some good and he'll mash the Phillies.