2018 NCAA Mock Tournament Selection

[bukie]

Low key contemplating the possibility the Pac12 is also a one bid league

[UMFan83]

MEAC (Bethune-Cookman)

SWAC

NEC (LIU-Brooklyn)

Southland

Big South (Radford)

Ivy League

MAAC

Horizon

Atlantic Sun (Lipscomb)

Big West

Big Sky

Southern (UNGC)

Colonial Athletic (Charleston)

OVC (Murray State)

Summit (SD State)

Missouri Valley (Loyola)

West Coast (Gonzaga)

 

I think that is every conference that is more likely than not to be 1 bid, let me know if missed some. Gonna have to get the rest possibly tonight but probably tomorrow morning if that fits with your schedule.

[SouthSideRyan]

2-3-4

 

Xavier

Purdue

UNC

Michigan State

Cincy

Texas Tech

Auburn

Tennessee

Michigan

Gonzaga

Clemson

West Virginia

 

Next 20 out:

 

William & Mary

Bradley

Davidson

Louisiana

ETSU

Rider

Montana

Fresno

Marshall

Illinois State

Northeastern

Maryland

Wyoming

UNC Greesnboro

Tulsa

Belmont

Charleston

San Diego St.

VERMONT

BUFFALO

[SouthSideRyan]

I'm finding very little difference from the 4th through 9th teams in the Big 12.

[SouthSideRyan]

My next 12: (Blech)

 

Arizona

Texas A&M

Va Tech

NC State

Creighton

Oklahoma State

Houston

Arkansas

Rhode Island

Seton Hall

Butler

Oklahoma

[bukie]

Bucknell wins the Patriot in dominating fashion, giving themselves a shot at making a 4 seed really nervous.

[bukie]

My 5-16:

 

5. Cincinnati

6. Purdue

7. Xavier

8. North Carolina

9. Michigan State

10. Michigan

11. Auburn

12. Texas Tech

13. Gonzaga

14. Tennessee

15. Wichita State

16. Clemson

 

My one bid leagues:

MEAC (Bethune-Cookman)

SWAC (Texas Southern)

LIU-Brooklyn (NEC)

Southland (Stephen F Austin)

Radford (Big South)

Ivy (Penn)

Iona (MAAC)

Lipscomb (A-Sun)

Wright State (Horizon)

Big West (UC Davis)

Charleston (Southern)

Big Sky (Montana)

South Dakota State (Summit)

Murray State (OVC)

Loyola (MVC)

Pac-12 (Arizona)

WCC (Gonzaga)

 

Bottom 20:

Tulsa

UNC Greensboro

Washington

Northeastern

Temple

BYU

Buffalo

Boston College

Belmont

St. John's

South Dakota

South Dakota State

Louisiana

Old Dominion

Oregon

LSU

Charleston

Murray State

Western Kentucky

San Diego State

 

Next 12:

Arizona

Houston

Miami FL

Florida

Seton Hall

TCU

Rhode Island

Oklahoma

Missouri

Texas A&M

Arkansas

St. Bonaventure

[bukie]

I officially hate every team's profile after, say, Florida.

[UMFan83]

2-3-4

 

2. Xavier

2. UNC

2. Purdue

2. Auburn

3. Cincinnati

3. Michigan

3. MSU

3. Tennessee

4. Wichita State

4. Texas Tech

4. Clemson

4. Gonzaga

 

Next 12:

 

21. Arizona

22. Florida

23. Miami

24. TCU

25. Nevada

26. Seton Hall

27. Arkansas

28. Texas A&M

29. Creighton

30. Rhode Island

31. Missouri

32. Butler

 

Bottom 20 (alphabetical):

 

Belmont

BYU

Davidson

Central Florida (UCF)

East Tennessee State

Georgia

Illinois State

Louisiana

Northeastern

Old Dominion

Saint John's

San Diego State

South Carolina

South Dakota

Stanford

Toledo

Tulsa

Utah Valley

Vermont

Wyoming

[bukie]

I'll compile the data and organize everything later today. Until then, everyone enjoy announcers declaring that every team playing is a tournament team.

[SouthSideRyan]

I'll preface this thinking I'd probably put ND in as of now when it's all said and done. But I'm already sick of their record with Colson as a supporting point. They're 14-3 with him, well 11 of those wins were against 150+ teams(including D3 Chaminade in this group) 2 of those 3 losses were to 100+ Ball State and Indiana.

[bukie]

No auto bids today, but MTSU lost in the CUSA quarters, which probably steals a bid from someone, possibly MTSU.

[bukie]

Current S-Curve (22 teams)

1. Virginia

2. Villanova

3. Duke

4. Kansas

5. Xavier

6. Purdue

7. North Carolina

8. Cincinnati

9. Michigan State

10. Auburn

11. Michigan

12. Texas Tech

...

59. Big West (UC Davis)

60. Lipscomb (Atlantic Sun)

61. Wright State (Horizon)

62. Ivy (Penn)

63. Iona (MAAC)

64. Southland (Stephen F Austin)

65. Radford (Big South)

66. LIU-Brooklyn (NEC)

67. SWAC (Texas Southern)

68. MEAC (Bethune-Cookman)

 

Also currently in the field (21):

Arizona

Arkansas

Butler

Clemson

Creighton

Florida

Gonzaga (WCC)

Houston

Kentucky

Miami FL

Missouri

Nevada

Ohio State

Oklahoma

Seton Hall

Rhode Island

TCU

Tennessee

Texas A&M

West Virginia

Wichita State

 

Auto bids to seed yet (12):

America East (Vermont)

Big Sky (Montana)

Bucknell (Patriot)

Charleston (CAA)

CUSA (Old Dominion)

Loyola Chicago (MVC)

MAC (Buffalo)

Murray State (OVC)

South Dakota State (Summit)

Sun Belt (Louisiana)

UNC Greensboro (Southern)

WAC (New Mexico State)

 

Still in discussion for at most 13 bids (39 teams):

Alabama 

Arizona State 

BYU 

Baylor 

Boise State 

Boston College 

Colorado 

Florida State 

Georgia 

Kansas State 

LSU 

Louisville 

Marquette 

Maryland 

Middle Tennessee 

Mississippi State 

Nebraska 

New Mexico State 

NC State 

Notre Dame 

Oklahoma State 

Oregon 

Penn State 

Providence 

Rider 

St Bonaventure 

St Mary's

South Carolina 

Stanford 

Syracuse 

Temple 

Texas 

UCF 

UCLA 

USC 

Utah 

Virginia Tech 

Washington 

Western Kentucky 

[bukie]

So, still plenty to pare down. Next steps:

 

- top 12 teams that are in the field and not seeded

- bottom 12 auto bids that are not seeded

- top 12 still in consideration

- bottom 20 still in consideration

[SouthSideRyan]

Boise despite some favorable officiating the last couple possessions is down 3 with 7.6 seconds to 7 seed Utah State.

[SouthSideRyan]

Down goes Boise. They were the 2 seed, but that's a tough loss for a bubble team.

[SouthSideRyan]

Next 12 seeded

 

4. Tennessee

4. West Virginia

4. Gonzaga

4. Clemson

5. Wichita State

5. Ohio State

5. Kentucky

5. Florida

6. Arizona

6. Texas A&M

6. Houston

6. Creighton

 

Next 12 auto-bids

 

58. Sun Belt (Louisiana)

57. Bucknell

56. Big Sky (Montana)

55. UNC Greensboro

54. Charleston

53. America East (Vermont)

52. MAC (Buffalo)

51. South Dakota State

50. Murray State

49. CUSA (Old Dominion)

48. Loyola Chicago

47. WAC (New Mexico State)

 

12 more in

 

Va Tech

NC State

OK State

Arizona State

Florida State

Kansas State

Notre Dame

Providence

Texas

UCLA

USC

Baylor

 

20 more out

 

Western KY

Maryland

Rider

UCF

Washington

Louisville

Temple

Stanford

St. Mary's

South Carolina

Penn State

Oregon

New Mexico State

Nebraska

Mississippi State

Georgia

Colorado

BYU

Boise State

Boston College

[UMFan83]

So, still plenty to pare down. Next steps:

 

- top 12 teams that are in the field and not seeded

- bottom 12 auto bids that are not seeded

- top 12 still in consideration

- bottom 20 still in consideration

 

Dumb question but bottom 20 still in consideration, is that the last 20 teams we are keeping in consideration, or the 20 teams I want to eliminate from consideration?

[bukie]

So, still plenty to pare down. Next steps:

 

- top 12 teams that are in the field and not seeded

- bottom 12 auto bids that are not seeded

- top 12 still in consideration

- bottom 20 still in consideration

 

Dumb question but bottom 20 still in consideration, is that the last 20 teams we are keeping in consideration, or the 20 teams I want to eliminate from consideration?

ELIMINATE

[UMFan83]

4 13. Tennessee

4 14. Wichita State

4 15. Clemson

4 16. Gonzaga

5 17. West Virginia

5 18. Ohio State

5 19. Kentucky

5 20. Arizona

6 21. Houston

6 22. Florida

6 23. Miami

6 24. Nevada

 

Next 12 Autos

 

Sun Belt

Big Sky

(Bucknell)

(Charleston)

America East

(UNC G)

MAC

(Murray State)

(South Dakota State)

CUSA

WAC

(Loyola)

 

 

Next 12 (alphabetical):

 

Arkansas

Butler

Creighton

Florida State

Kansas State

Missouri

Oklahoma

Rhode Island

Saint Bonaventure

Seton Hall

TCU

Texas A&M

 

ELIMINATE:

 

BYU

Baylor

Boise State

Boston College

Colorado

Georgia

LSU

Maryland

Nebraska

Oklahoma State

Oregon

Penn State

Rider

South Carolina

Stanford

Temple

UCF

Utah

Washington

Western Kentucky

[SouthSideRyan]

The next 12 should be from the group of 39 still in the pool.

 

Arkansas

Butler

Creighton

Missouri

Oklahoma

Rhode Island

Seton Hall

TCU

Texas A&M

 

are all already in the tourney.

 

So you need 9 more from bukie's "still in discussion" group in addition to St. Bonnie, KSU, and FSU.

[UMFan83]

The next 12 should be from the group of 39 still in the pool.

 

Arkansas

Butler

Creighton

Missouri

Oklahoma

Rhode Island

Seton Hall

TCU

Texas A&M

 

are all already in the tourney.

 

So you need 9 more from bukie's "still in discussion" group in addition to St. Bonnie, KSU, and FSU.

 

I knew I'd horsefeathers this up eventually. Ok hang on

[UMFan83]

Revised:

 

Alabama

Arizona State

Florida State

Kansas State

Louisville

NC State

Providence

St. Bonaventure

Texas

UCLA

USC

Virgina Tech

[bukie]

I'll be out of meetings at some point today and weigh in and organize everything.

[SouthSideRyan]

Bama just beat the holy hell out of Auburn in the 2nd half(such a shame), I'm not sure I'd swap them in for Baylor quite yet, but one more and I think I would.