Guys talk me down

[UMFan83]

Not sure I can talk you down recent history has me very concerned!

 

The Montreal Canadiens started last year off 9-0... With about a 1/3 of the season gone the Habs were 12 games above .500! Then they had a key injury (Price- gone for the season) and that started to send them down the standings as they couldn't keep the puck out of there own net. By the end of the season they finished with a .500 record and were out of the playoffs after such an awesome start to the year it was highly unlikely that they would have missed the playoffs.

 

Looking at the Cubs 1/3 of the way thru I remember talking about how they were 35-14 or something around there and it reminded me of how I felt with the Habs the great joy of seeing your team do great and have high hopes for a playoff run... But I couldn't bring myself to thinking that they would continue that dominance and was thinking that all we need to do is play .500 ball the rest of the way and we will be in the drivers seat and should avoid the wild card game and have a good chance at a bunch of home games in the playoffs. Since then I think that is exactly what the team has done play right around .500 ball...

 

I guess all that I can say is that lets hope that the injury bug has taken its bite and is going to move along to some other team (just not the Jays- as I would love to see Cubs v Jays WS- then I will have problems not knowing what team to cheer for from my seats in Rogers Centre)

 

The Cubs were historically dominant for almost 20% of the season. Not just like record wise. Like in terms of how badly we destroyed the teams we played. Even with this bad run, they are lapping the field in RD meaning they are losing a lot of closer games (with a few stinkers) and still occasionally blowing teams out. A lot of losing close games is bad luck. Either bad sequencing, or a scalded ball a few inches away from a double, closer leaving one pitch up, etc. The Cubs have basically lost every single close game they've played since early June. And in this 5-13 stretch, their record in 1 or 2 run games is 1-7. That's really bad luck, even the worst teams on average will win 3-4 of those.

 

Overall the Cubs are so unluckly they are 7 games off of their Pythagorean projection. They should be 59-26, but are 52-33. Almost any team that is 7 games worse than their record would fighting an uphill battle to make the playoffs. The Cubs instead are currently 8 games up in the division. That's how good they are (and how mediocre the Pirates and Cardinals have been, although I guess in a worst case scenario world, the Cardinals would be overperforming their pythag instead of also well underperforming and the Cubs really would be in 2nd)

 

I may spin a different tale when we are all upset during the games, but I still have little doubts that we will come out of this tailspin and soon.

[d_money]

It's over. You're on your own, we can't help.

[imb]

talk me down

 

"good morning this is george michael not kitty"