NCAA Mock Tourney Selection 2016

[bukie]

Princeton lost last night so a Yale win in Columbia tonight gets them the bid.

 

Several other bids decided today as well.

[Smack]

So, dumb question. Do we not list the team we represent in our rankings? Or list them but don't actually comment on them in any other way other than listing them?

[bukie]

Do not list your team at all. Don't worry about hurting their chances, I can use the magic of stats so it doesn't affect your teams placement.

[bukie]

One bid thief as Northern Iowa beats Wichita State in the MVC semis.

[bukie]

First auto bid goes to OVC cinderella Austin Peay, the 8 seed of the OVC tourney who beat the 5-4-1-2 seeds in consecutive days to earn their way into the opening round games.

[bukie]

Yale wins at Columbia to win the Ivy League bid for the first time since 1962.

[bukie]

Northern Iowa, UNC Asheville, and Florida Gulf Coast clinched auto bids yesterday.

[Smack]

1. Representing Purdue

 

 

2. Top 36 Teams:

 

1 Kansas

2 Michigan St.

3 Virginia

4 Villanova

5 North Carolina

6 Oklahoma

7 Indiana

8 Xavier

9 West Virginia

10 Oregon

11 Miami FL

12 Kentucky

13 Utah

14 Iowa St.

15 Maryland

16 Iowa

17 Duke

18 Arizona

19 Texas A&M

20 Baylor

21 California

22 Texas

23 Wisconsin

24 Notre Dame

25 Seton Hall

26 Texas Tech

27 Colorado

28 Providence

29 Vanderbilt

30 Cincinnati

31 Pittsburgh

32 Saint Joseph's

33 Butler

34 South Carolina

35 Connecticut

36 Wichita St.

 

 

3. Other teams for consideration:

 

VCU

Michigan

Gonzaga

Ohio State

Syracuse

Tulsa

Florida

Oregon State

USC

St. Bonaventure

 

 

edit: If I screwed anything up let me know!

[bukie]

27 more hours to submit candidacies for the committee.

[UMFan83]

Did Iona steal an at large spot tonight?

[SouthSideRyan]

Valpo lost to Green Bay tonight, looking closer at their resume, they may have played their way out.

[bukie]

UNC Wilmington, Chattanooga and Iona clinched auto bids tonight.

[SouthSideRyan]

Still need to work through my Part 4, but here's what I'm working with. This bubble, ugh.

 

1) Illinois

 

2)

 

Virginia

Kansas

Michigan St.

Villanova

North Carolina

West Virginia

Oklahoma

Kentucky

Indiana

Miami FL

Arizona

Xavier

Oregon

Purdue

Iowa

Iowa St.

Duke

Texas A&M

California

Maryland

Utah

Wisconsin

Baylor

Texas

Connecticut

Cincinnati

Saint Mary's

Butler

Texas Tech

Notre Dame

Seton Hall

Syracuse

Pittsburgh

Tulsa

Florida St.

Colorado

 

 

 

3)

 

Wichita St.

Vanderbilt

Gonzaga

VCU

Valparaiso

San Diego St.

Stephen F. Austin

Florida

Creighton

Saint Joseph's

Houston

Clemson

South Carolina

USC

Michigan

Providence

Arkansas Little Rock

Dayton

Oregon St.

Ohio St.

UCLA

Mississippi

Monmouth

Virginia Tech

Georgia

Washington

St. Bonaventure

LSU

Temple

Marquette

UAB

 

[bukie]

Looked at the RPI for the first time this morning, and it's insane. How is this still a thing that gets used for real?

[bukie]

Reminder that anyone who wants to participate in the committee has until the end of the night before I go on a power trip.

[Smack]

Reminder that anyone who wants to participate in the committee has until the end of the night before I go on a power trip.

 

How many people are in so far?

[bukie]

Reminder that anyone who wants to participate in the committee has until the end of the night before I go on a power trip.

 

How many people are in so far?

3 so far, which is better than 1.

[UMFan83]

Fav Team:

Michigan

 

Top 16:

 

1. Michigan State

2. Kansas

3. Villanova

4. North Carolina

5. Xavier

6. Virginia

7. Oklahoma

8. West Virginia

9. Indiana

10. Miami FL

11. Utah

12. Purdue

13. Oregon

14. Kentucky

15. Arizona

16. Iowa St

 

 

Other 20 at large (no particular order):

 

-Duke

-Maryland

-Texas

-Texas A&M

-Iowa

-Cal

-Arizona

-Baylor

-Wisconsin

-Dayton

-Notre Dame

-Texas Tech

-Seton Hall

-Wichita St

-Vanderbilt

-St. Mary's

-UConn

-Colorado

-Providence

-Texas Tech

 

 

Others Considered:

 

-St. Josephs

-Oregon State

-South Carolina

-Pittsburgh

-Syracuse

-Cincinnati

-Arkansas Little Rock

-Monmouth

-St Bonaventure

-USC

-Temple

-San Diego St

-VCU

-Tulsa

-Gonzaga

-Florida

-Valpo

 

 

Damn I thought I had a pretty good grasp on CBB this year, but there were teams I put in my safe field that at first glance seemed like mediocre bubble teams.

[bukie]

Green Bay wins the Horizon.

 

St. Mary's and Gonzaga are playing for the WCC title.

[bukie]

Fairleigh Dickinson wins the NEC.

[snoodmonger]

I'm surprised to see you guys putting Wichita St. as definitely in. Very, very weak resume imo.

[UMFan83]

I'm surprised to see you guys putting Wichita St. as definitely in. Very, very weak resume imo.

 

I'll admit to not having followed them all that closely this year but all 3 of the rankings bukie linked to in the OP, especially kenpom have them amongst the top 25ish teams in the country. Kenpom has them 11th

[snoodmonger]

I'm surprised to see you guys putting Wichita St. as definitely in. Very, very weak resume imo.

 

I'll admit to not having followed them all that closely this year but all 3 of the rankings bukie linked to in the OP, especially kenpom have them amongst the top 25ish teams in the country. Kenpom has them 11th

 

kenpom loves WSU. But their tournament resume is pretty bad. Here are their numbers using both RPI and KENPOM

 

vs RPI Top-

25: 1-0

50: 1-4

75: 1-5

100: 4-7

101-200: 8-1

201-300: 7-0

vs 301+: 4-0

best RPI wins: 8, at 84, at 89

worst RPI losses: at 121, vs 84, at 84

SOS rank: #107

 

vs KenPom Top-

25: 1-1

50: 1-3

75: 1-4

100: 4-7

101-200: 11-1

201-300: 6-0

vs 301+: 2-0

best KenPom wins: 25, at 76, 76

worst KenPom losses: at 115, 90, at 81

SOS Rank: #115

 

 

Only one top 75 win using either metric. Only 4 top 100 wins using either metric.

 

Not sure the MVC is a two bid league, personally. Don't see much that dazzles me on that resume. Looks like they feasted on a ton of cupcakes.

 

That said, I don't follow all of cbb closely enough to really participate in this kind of thing, so maybe that's actually a strong resume this year. I'd assumed a team with barely any legit wins in a weak league that they won't win would be on the outside looking in.

[bukie]

They also dominated their conference this year and every team is weak.

[bukie]

My picks:

 

Top 16:

1. Kansas

2. Villanova

3. Virginia

4. Michigan State

5. UNC

6. Oklahoma

7. West Virginia

8. Xavier

9. Miami

10. Indiana

11. Oregon

12. Purdue

13. Kentucky

14. Arizona

15. Utah

16. Duke

 

 

Rest of at-large field:

 

Texas A&M

Maryland

Iowa

Iowa State

California

Baylor

Texas

Wichita State

Seton Hall

Butler

Wisconsin

St. Mary's

Vandy

Notre Dame

Cincinnati

Dayton

Pitt

Texas Tech

VCU

St. Joseph's

 

 

Deserve consideration:

 

Connecticut

Valpo

South Carolina

Providence

San Diego State

Colorado

Syracuse

USC

Florida

Michigan

Florida State

Houston

Oregon State

Tulsa

Georgia Tech

George Washington

St. Bonaventure

Arkansas-LR

Creighton

BYU

Ohio State

Monmouth

Akron

SF Austin