Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-17-12

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Box Scores

 

Iowa won 3-2 Box Score

 

SS A. Amezaga 2/4, 2 R, HR (4), RBI

RF D. Sappelt 2/3, 2B (12), K

C G. Soto 0/4, K

1B A. Rizzo 1/3, R, HR (23), HBP, 2 RBI, E (8, fielding)

3B J. Vitters 2/3, 2B (17), HBP

CF B. Jackson 0/3, BB

SP C. Volstad 6 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K, HBP, 8-2 GO-FO, 98-62 pitches-strikes; hitting: 0/2, K

RP M. Bowden 1.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K, 0-1 GO-FO

RP S. Maine 1.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, 2-0 GO-FO

 

Tennessee lost 5-3 Box Score

 

2B L. Watkins 2/4, 3B (4), 2 RBI

CF JH Ha 0/4, K

DH J. Lake 3/4

3B M. Cerda 1/4, R, K

SS E. Soto 3/4, R, RBI, K

SP T. McNutt 5.2 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, 7-3 GO-FO, 85-60 pitches-strikes

RP A. Cabrera 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K, 0-1 GO-FO

 

Daytona has the day off

 

The completion of the Peoria vs. Clinton game suspended on 6/16/12 was cancelled

 

Peoria won 10-5 Box Score

 

2B Z. DeVss 1/5, R, RBI, 2 K

CF PC Chen 2/4, 2 R, RBI, K, 2 SB (14)

3B D. Geiger 2/5, R, RBI, 2 K, E (3, fielding)

1B P. Hoilman 2/5, R, 2B (21), HR (6), 4 RBI, 3 K

SS W. Darvill 2/4, 2B (6), BB, SB (8)

DH J. Baez 1/3, R, RBI, HBP

C S. Burruel 2/4, 2 R, 2B (3), K

RF O. Zapata 2/4, R, 2B (4), 2 RBI, K

SP M. Jensen 6 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 2 HBP, WP, 8-5 GO-FO

RP A. Reed 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K, 2-0 GO-FO

 

Boise loses 4-3 Box Score

 

CF S. Dunston 2/4, R

2B G. Amaya 2/3, RBI, BB

SS M. Hernandez 0/3

C W. Contreras 0/3, BB

1B R. Shoulders 1/4, R, 2B (1), 2 K

3B J. Candelario 2/4, 2 RBI, K

LF X. Batista 0/4, 4 K

DH B. Inoa 1/4, R, 2B (1)

SP T. Scott 5 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 4 K, HBP, WP, 4-3 GO-FO

RP H. Simpson 2 IP, 1 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 1 K, WP, 5-0 GO-FO

 

Both DSL Cubs squads have the day off.

 

OVERALL: 2-2

[Guest]

Probable Starters

 

Iowa: RHP Chris Volstad (5.12 ERA, 4.60 FIP, 31.2 IP, 24 K, 8 BB)

Tennessee: RHP Trey McNutt (3.65 ERA, 5.06 FIP, 49.1 IP, 29 K, 22 BB)

Peoria: RHP Michael Jensen (2.55 ERA, 3.46 FIP, 70.2 IP, 58 K, 25 BB)

Boise: RHP Tayler Scott (2011 in the AZL: 7.36 ERA, 4.03 FIP, 3.2 IP, 2 K, 1 BB)

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Some Brett Jackson doombonering:

 

He's got a 32.9% K rate at AAA this season, after a 31.0% in his taste of AAA last season.

 

It'd be optimistic to hope that 32.9% at AAA turns into 35% in MLB. 40% might be on the table.

 

But in 600 PAs, at 35%, that's 210 Ks. If he hits 15 HRs and draws 60 BBs in those 600 PAs, he would need 111 BIP hits to get to a .310 OPB. That's a .352 MLB BABIP, which I really don't think he can sustain.

 

Hopefully, the adjustment to fix whatever hole is in his swing can come by the end of the year.

[ctcf]

Peoria Chiefs ‏@peoriachiefs

Due to unplayable field conditions from last night the Saturday game has been cancelled and will not be made up. 9-inning game at 2pm.

[Guest]

Peoria Chiefs ‏@peoriachiefs

Due to unplayable field conditions from last night the Saturday game has been cancelled and will not be made up. 9-inning game at 2pm.

 

boo i want baez's double to count

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Peoria Chiefs ‏@peoriachiefs

Due to unplayable field conditions from last night the Saturday game has been cancelled and will not be made up. 9-inning game at 2pm.

 

boo i want baez's double to count

 

Wipe's out Concepcion's latest awful start.

[Guest]

Peoria Chiefs ‏@peoriachiefs

Due to unplayable field conditions from last night the Saturday game has been cancelled and will not be made up. 9-inning game at 2pm.

 

boo i want baez's double to count

 

Wipe's out Concepcion's latest awful start.

He finally had more k's than bb's, though.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Peoria Chiefs ‏@peoriachiefs

Due to unplayable field conditions from last night the Saturday game has been cancelled and will not be made up. 9-inning game at 2pm.

 

boo i want baez's double to count

 

Wipe's out Concepcion's latest awful start.

He finally had more k's than bb's, though.

 

 

Still not more IP than Rs, though :(

[Guest]

Volstad gave up 2 in the first, aided by a Rizzo error.

[ctcf]

Volstad gave up 2 in the first, aided by a Rizzo error.

 

Also aided by being Chris Volstad

[Magnetic Curses]

Some Brett Jackson doombonering:

 

He's got a 32.9% K rate at AAA this season, after a 31.0% in his taste of AAA last season.

 

It'd be optimistic to hope that 32.9% at AAA turns into 35% in MLB. 40% might be on the table.

 

But in 600 PAs, at 35%, that's 210 Ks. If he hits 15 HRs and draws 60 BBs in those 600 PAs, he would need 111 BIP hits to get to a .310 OPB. That's a .352 MLB BABIP, which I really don't think he can sustain.

 

Hopefully, the adjustment to fix whatever hole is in his swing can come by the end of the year.

 

I think you're obsessed with expected numbers and what AAA numbers project. Those projections can certainly be guidelines for what can be expected for over a large enough sample size, but you can't necessarily hold individual players to every general prediction. Will he strike out a lot? Sure. Will it follow the projection exactly for every player that strikes out a lot in the minors? Can't say.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I agree that I tend to fall in love with MLEs, but that's not what I'm doing here. If I was doing that, I'd say that his .830 OPS should translate just fine to the majors.

 

I'm specifically worried that he has a major hole in his swing that will cause his numbers to not translate to the majors like they normally would. He's mistake-hitting and getting eaten alive by good pitches. In MLB, he'll see a lot fewer mistakes and a lot more good breaking pitches directed at the holes in his swing.

[Guest]

Vitters double & BJax walk.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Vitters double.

 

OPS back up to .791.

 

Maybe he plateaus here. But I just keep envisioning him getting a little better every year, both offensively and defensively, until you look up in 2015 and he's a 25-year-old who can put up 280/320/410 at 3b with almost average defense. Not an All-Star, but good enough to start.

[Guest]

Vitters double.

 

OPS back up to .791.

 

Maybe he plateaus here. But I just keep envisioning him getting a little better every year, both offensively and defensively, until you look up in 2015 and he's a 25-year-old who can put up 280/320/410 at 3b with almost average defense. Not an All-Star, but good enough to start.

I'd hope for a bit more than .730 out of him.

[ctcf]

Shockingly, Brett Jackson has yet to brettjackson today.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I'd hope for a bit more than .730 out of him.

 

I didn't do this on purpose, but 320/410 is the exact NL average for a 3b this season.

[El Duderino]

Rizzo made his 8th error at 1B today... what the hell?

[RammyFanny]

Baez 1/2 with an RBI single.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Rizzobomb

[ctcf]

Poor Rizzo. Guy is probably bored.

 

LOL @ his line for June: .400 BA, 6 HR, 13 RBI and 1.324 OPS

[CyHawk_Cub]

Rizzo made his 8th error at 1B today... what the hell?

 

So bored he's catching the ball behind his back/between his legs? Gotta do something to stay invested.

[ctcf]

Vitters HBP. Mmmm OBP

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Rizzo's homer was solidly crushed, to a very deep part of the park. Pitched missed up and in, and you just cannot miss there to him right now.

 

Josh Vitters HBP. On base 7 of his last 8 plate appearances. He cannot be stopped.

[Guest]

Rizzobomb

And then the pitcher takes out his anger on Josh Vitters.