3000 hit club

[JDE]

Any current players that you see reaching this? How about 3500?

[rocket]

Derek Jeter is a lock, barring injury. If he averages 155 hits over the next 3 seasons, he'll have 3000.

 

Alex Rodriguez is a lock too. If he averages 120 hits over the next 5 seasons, he'll be at 3000.

 

Players who have an outside shot include Ken Griffey Jr, Manny Ramirez, Johnny Damon, Vladimir Guerrero, and maybe Ichiro depending on how long he plays.

[OleMissCub]

Aside from those previously mentioned, I think that barring an unforeseen injury, Pujols has a real good chance at getting there. He averages around 185 hits as is, and is already above 1500.

 

A fair shot could also be given to Jimmy Rollins who is at just under 1500 right now. Like Pujols, Rollins is under 30, fairly durable, and averages around 185 a season. Given that players have better health these day and thus longer careers, it isn't at all unexpected that Pujols and Rollins could play another 10 years.

 

Before his injury this year, I would have given a fair shot to Todd Helton as well. He's at around 2000 right now and is 34 years old. But it is still unclear how much of an impact his injury will have on the remainder of his career.

 

I don't think it is unreasonable that Carl Crawford could get there one day. He'll only be 27 next year and has over 1100 hits so far and averages around 180 a season. So he's at about the same pace as Pujols and Rollins.

 

Miggy Cabrera could be another candidate. He'll still be only 25 on opening day next year and already has over 1000. However, his work ethic is so questionable that I think it is highly unlikely he'll last even another 10 years.

 

Jose Reyes could also get there if he lasts another 10 years at around his current pace.

 

That's about as far as I'm willing to look into the crystal ball, but if I had to choose who was going to get there, I'd place money on A-Rod, Jeter, Damon, Pujols, Ichiro, and Rollins.

 

I think it is very likely that Damon will be the first member of the 3000 hit club to not make the Hall of Fame.

[erik316wttn]

Derek Jeter is a lock, barring injury. If he averages 155 hits over the next 3 seasons, he'll have 3000.

 

Alex Rodriguez is a lock too. If he averages 120 hits over the next 5 seasons, he'll be at 3000.

 

Players who have an outside shot include Ken Griffey Jr, Manny Ramirez, Johnny Damon, Vladimir Guerrero, and maybe Ichiro depending on how long he plays.

 

Ichiro already has 3000 career hits between the usa and japan iirc.

[Tarver]

 

 

I think it is very likely that Damon will be the first member of the 3000 hit club to not make the Hall of Fame.

 

I'd hope the hell not, but after Rice, nothing should be assumed. I could see the Hall veering into an NFL/boxing standard of expectations real soon. There's just too many members out there who clearly have no idea what they're doing.

[Clem Fandango]

Obviously it's all contingent on a players health and longevity, but if Grady Sizemore can average 180 hits like he is now until he's 38, he'll reach 3,000. 13 more years to go!

[brewersbrewers]

I think Ryan Braun has a great shot at 3000 hits. He is only going to get better as he gets older.

[shnsajax]

I think Ryan Braun has a great shot at 3000 hits. He is only going to get better as he gets older.

 

I don't really picture Braun as a 200 hit guy at any point in his career, so he is going to have to have a solid 17 season career.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I think Ryan Braun has a great shot at 3000 hits. He is only going to get better as he gets older.

 

Outside of playing time, I'd lay even money that 2007 is Braun's career season.

[OleMissCub]

I think Ryan Braun has a great shot at 3000 hits. He is only going to get better as he gets older.

 

I don't really picture Braun as a 200 hit guy at any point in his career, so he is going to have to have a solid 17 season career.

 

Yes, he's really more of a 500 HR club guy than a 3000 hit one.

[brewersbrewers]

I look forward to going to Cooperstown when Mr. Braun gets inducted into the hall of fame.

[Clem Fandango]

I look forward to going to Cooperstown when Mr. Braun gets inducted into the hall of fame.

 

I share your sentiment, only my Cooperstown hero will be Pedro Feliz

[illiniguy]

I look forward to going to Cooperstown when Mr. Braun gets inducted into the hall of fame.

What hat will he be wearing?

[OleMissCub]

I look forward to going to Cooperstown when Mr. Braun gets inducted into the hall of fame.

What hat will he be wearing?

http://tvbythenumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/new_york_yankees_hat_1.jpg

 

His plaque will start off saying "The first designated hitter to reach 500 HR"

[illiniguy]

I look forward to going to Cooperstown when Mr. Braun gets inducted into the hall of fame.

What hat will he be wearing?

http://tvbythenumbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/new_york_yankees_hat_1.jpg

 

His plaque will start off saying "The first designated hitter to reach 500 HR"

and will end with, "is very tired of fans confusing him for Eddie Munster."

[bcl412]

If Ichiro hits 3000 MLB hits that would be pretty remarkable considering how old he was when he started here.

[OleMissCub]

If Ichiro hits 3000 MLB hits that would be pretty remarkable considering how old he was when he started here.

 

Indeed, he averages 228 hits a season. Some others with over 200 per season:

 

Cobb: 224

Sisler: 222

Joe Jackson: 216

Simmons: 214

Lajoie: 212

Hornsby: 210

Gwynn: 209

Puckett: 209

Combs: 208

DiMaggio: 207

Jeter: 207

Terry: 206

Gehrig: 204

Frisch: 202

Traynor: 202

Medwick: 202

Nomar: 201

Boggs: 200

Pujols: 200

[bcl412]

If Ichiro hits 3000 MLB hits that would be pretty remarkable considering how old he was when he started here.

 

Indeed, he averages 228 hits a season. Some others with over 200 per season:

 

Cobb: 224

Sisler: 222

Joe Jackson: 216

Simmons: 214

Lajoie: 212

Hornsby: 210

Gwynn: 209

Puckett: 209

Combs: 208

DiMaggio: 207

Jeter: 207

Terry: 206

Gehrig: 204

Frisch: 202

Traynor: 202

Medwick: 202

Nomar: 201

Boggs: 200

Pujols: 200

 

"First ballot hall of famer" never crossed my mind when it came to Ichiro (probably because I haven't watched the Mariners play in a long time) but he probably should be.

[OleMissCub]

"First ballot hall of famer" never crossed my mind when it came to Ichiro (probably because I haven't watched the Mariners play in a long time) but he probably should be.

 

I think he's a no doubt first ballot guy. Kinda funny that he is an average season (for him) away from equaling Jim Rice's entire WARP3 total. Ichiro is at 73.8 right now and Rice's total after 16 seasons was 80.2.

[Clem Fandango]

I think Ichiro will be a lock if he has a few more 220+ seasons in him. If he can muster 200 or more per season over the next 6 seasons he's in. It's probably not out of line for him to have at least two more 220+ seasons, which can offset him having a few 180-200 hit seasons in his twilight years. I think he'll make it. In 6 years he'll be 40/41. He seems like he's got the type of physique/health that will allow him to play into his mid 40's as a platoon player. Yeah, Ichiro will do it, I'm confident in that statement, not that it has any scientific proof or analysis behind it. Just speculation

[mcgoobs]

I think Ichiro will be a lock if he has a few more 220+ seasons in him. If he can muster 200 or more per season over the next 6 seasons he's in. It's probably not out of line for him to have at least two more 220+ seasons, which can offset him having a few 180-200 hit seasons in his twilight years. I think he'll make it. In 6 years he'll be 40/41. He seems like he's got the type of physique/health that will allow him to play into his mid 40's as a platoon player. Yeah, Ichiro will do it, I'm confident in that statement, not that it has any scientific proof or analysis behind it. Just speculation

 

That would/will be one of the more memorable HOF speeches.