MLB Playoff Races

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 8th games.

 

NL Central

CHC (15) 86-57 .601 ---

MIL 82-62 .569 4.5

 

CHC (19 G/6 H/13 A): 3 @STL, 3 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL (Opp. Win% .550)

MIL (18 G/8 H/10 A): 2 vs. CIN, 4 @PHI, 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC (Opp. Win% .505)

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 88.78% (99.09% to make playoffs)

MIL: 10.95% (80.43% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (18) 80-63 .559 ---

PHI 79-65 .549 1.5

 

NYM (19 G/12 H/7 A): 2 vs. WAS, 3 vs. ATL, 4 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA (Opp. Win% .480)

PHI (18 G/12 H/6 A): 2 vs. FLA, 4 vs. MIL, 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS (Opp. Win% .472)

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 73.41% (78.27% to make playoffs)

PHI: 26.53% (34.66% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (18) 73-71 .507 ---

ARI 71-72 .497 1.5

 

LAD (18 G/6 H/12 A): 2 @SD, 3 @COL, 4 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF (Opp. Win% .429)

ARI (19 G/10 H/9 A): 2 @SF, 3 vs. CIN, 4 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL (Opp. Win% .474)

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 76.48% (76.48% to make playoffs)

ARI: 22.76% (22.76% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (16) 82-62 .569 ---

PHI 79-65 .549 3.0

STL 77-66 .538 4.5

HOU 77-67 .535 5.0

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (19 G/10 H/9 A): 3 vs. CHC, 3 @PIT, 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN (Opp. Win% .492)

HOU (18 G/12 H/6 A): 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL (Opp. Win% .480)

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 69.48%

CHC: 10.31%

PHI: 8.14%

STL: 4.47%

HOU: 2.74%

 

AL East

TBR (20) 85-57 .599 ---

BOS 85-58 .594 0.5

 

TBR (20 G/7 H/13 A): 2 @BOS, 3 @NYY, 3 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET (Opp. Win% .521)

BOS (19 G/13 H/6 A): 2 vs. TB, 4 vs. TOR, 3 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY (Opp. Win% .537)

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 47.44% (99.43% to make playoffs)

BOS: 52.55% (99.41% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (18) 80-62 .563 ---

MIN 78-65 .545 2.5

 

CHW (20 G/10 H/10 A): 4 vs. TOR, 3 vs. DET, 4 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE (Opp. Win% .502)

MIN (19 G/9 H/10 A): 3 vs. KC, 3 @BAL, 3 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC (Opp. Win% .505)

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 82.48% (82.66% to make playoffs)

MIN: 17.51% (17.84% to make playoffs)

 

AL West

LAA (2) 87-56 .608

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (13) 85-58 .594 ---

MIN 78-65 .545 7.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 46.86%

TBR: 51.99%

MIN: 0.33%

[laurens]

What do the numbers in betweebn brackets after each name indicate?

[XZero771679666304]

What do the numbers in betweebn brackets after each name indicate?

 

Magic number?

[laurens]

What do the numbers in betweebn brackets after each name indicate?

 

Magic number?

 

Ah yes, didn't think of that #-o

[XZero771679666304]

What do the numbers in betweebn brackets after each name indicate?

 

Magic number?

 

Ah yes, didn't think of that #-o

 

And you gotta love the Angels' magic number. That has been the very definition of a one horse race.

[C.C.]

What do the numbers in betweebn brackets after each name indicate?

 

Magic number?

 

Ah yes, didn't think of that #-o

 

And you gotta love the Angels' magic number. That has been the very definition of a one horse race.

 

They are basically going to have 3 weeks off before the playoffs.

[Sammys Boombox]

Just taking a look toward this weekend. CC Sabathia and Brett Myers should miss the 4-game Phillies/Brewers series.

 

If I were Yost then CC would not pitch Wed. vs. CIN, but Thu. vs. PHI. He'd still face the Cubs in each of the last two series. Matter of fact, it works out even better for him facing the Cubs if he takes an extra day off.

 

His last four starts could be vs. CIN, CHI, CIN, CHI or PHI, CHI, CIN, CHI. It seems pretty obvious to me.

[brewersbrewers]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

[David]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

The Brewers will make the playoffs.

[C.C.]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

Keep your chin up. The Brewers will make the playoffs.

[David]

Has anyone noticed the DRays sucking lately?

 

A lot of contenders have decided to take a crap all at once for whatever reason.

[brewersbrewers]

I agree CC should pitch vs the Phillies but Ned is stupid to do that. The one good thing about the Brewer's choke job is ned will lose his job.

[C.C.]

Has anyone noticed the DRays sucking lately?

 

A lot of contenders have decided to take a crap all at once for whatever reason.

 

No greenies.

[David]

Has anyone noticed the DRays sucking lately?

 

A lot of contenders have decided to take a crap all at once for whatever reason.

 

No greenies.

 

Why is it only affecting the good teams?

[Sammys Boombox]

I agree CC should pitch vs the Phillies but Ned is stupid to do that. The one good thing about the Brewer's choke job is ned will lose his job.

 

The Brewers are not going to choke. After all, there last three games of the year won't mean anything to the team they'll be playing.

[Cubs 32]

What do the numbers in betweebn brackets after each name indicate?

 

Magic number.

[Ball And Glove]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

Cool. Go put on your Packers gear, then, unless you're also one of those people that burned everything Packers-related in your house when they traded Brett Favre. Try not to hurt yourself jumping off the bandwagon.

[bcl412]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

Cool. Go put on your Packers gear, then, unless you're also one of those people that burned everything Packers-related in your house when they traded Brett Favre. Try not to hurt yourself jumping off the bandwagon.

 

The Brewers are making the playoffs. I still wouldn't be shocked if they won the division.

[UMFan83]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

You came in here so brash and confident too...

 

If you're looking for us to take pity in you, perhaps you missed the part where we are 1-7 in our past 8 games.

[C.C.]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

Cool. Go put on your Packers gear, then, unless you're also one of those people that burned everything Packers-related in your house when they traded Brett Favre. Try not to hurt yourself jumping off the bandwagon.

 

Oh yeah...Nothing like a Brewer fan fight on a Cubs message board! Get that loser bandwagon fan "Ball and glove"!!

[Ball And Glove]

You can take off the Brewers off your list, they are done. Another season, another choke job. I really need to find a new team.

 

Cool. Go put on your Packers gear, then, unless you're also one of those people that burned everything Packers-related in your house when they traded Brett Favre. Try not to hurt yourself jumping off the bandwagon.

 

The Brewers are making the playoffs. I still wouldn't be shocked if they won the division.

 

I'm one of the few that still fully realize that the Brewers have a hell of a lot better chance at making the playoffs than almost every other team in the NL not named the Chicago Cubs. I don't consider a 2-8 stretch a "collapse", and I don't think this stretch means Ned Yost and Doug Melvin need to be fired as soon as the season is over (well, Yost maybe, but more for a large collection of screw-ups not directly related to this. Firing Melvin would be immensely stupid and send the Brewers into another vortex of suckitude for 20 years.).

 

I'm still reluctant to say they still have a chance at winning the division. I said a few weeks ago that the Brewers would need the Cubs to fall into a relatively long losing streak for them to have a real chance at it. Well, that happened, but the Brewers haven't been able to capitalize. They really needed to gain some ground to start September, and haven't been able to do it. Obviously, they still have those 6 head-to-head games left to pick up some ground, but it's less likely each day that the Brewers win it. And really, I don't care. This is a team that hasn't been in the playoffs in my lifetime. I really couldn't care less how they get there.

 

This mix of Brewer fan and Cub fan paranoia is really interesting to see at work, though. The majority of Brewer fans seem to think that this team is destined to fail because it's just a loser organization that will never win anything, and they're choking away the entire season again. I've seen comments from some tortured Cubs fans (I won't say majority because it it doesn't seem to be the case here) that seem to think that they'll falter down the stretch again because that's just what the Cubs do. I don't buy into that from either side -- roster turnover is so high year to year that it's not fair to say one team is going to fail "because they're the (fill in team name)."

 

Edit: And apologies for the "fight" with the other Brewers fan. I try to keep that stuff to a minimum here, but I slip up every now and then.

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 9th games.

 

NL Central

CHC (14) 86-58 .597 ---

MIL 82-63 .566 4.5

 

CHC (18 G/6 H/12 A): 2 @STL, 3 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL (Opp. Win% .552)

MIL (17 G/7 H/10 A): 1 vs. CIN, 4 @PHI, 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC (Opp. Win% .503)

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 89.79% (98.78% to make playoffs)

MIL: 9.62% (73.26% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (16) 81-63 .563 ---

PHI 79-66 .545 2.5

 

NYM (18 G/11 H/7 A): 1 vs. WAS, 3 vs. ATL, 4 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA (Opp. Win% .480)

PHI (17 G/11 H/6 A): 1 vs. FLA, 4 vs. MIL, 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS (Opp. Win% .472)

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 82.84% (86.76% to make playoffs)

PHI: 17.08% (26.73% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (16) 74-71 .510 ---

ARI 71-73 .493 2.5

 

LAD (17 G/6 H/11 A): 1 @SD, 3 @COL, 4 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF (Opp. Win% .427)

ARI (18 G/10 H/8 A): 2 @SF, 3 vs. CIN, 4 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL (Opp. Win% .476)

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 86.24% (86.24% to make playoffs)

ARI: 13.41% (13.41% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (15) 82-63 .566 ---

PHI 79-66 .545 3.0

STL 78-66 .542 3.5

HOU 78-67 .538 4.0

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (18 G/9 H/9 A): 2 vs. CHC, 3 @PIT, 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN (Opp. Win% .491)

HOU (17 G/11 H/6 A): 2 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL (Opp. Win% .481)

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 63.66%

CHC: 8.99%

PHI: 9.65%

STL: 8.56%

HOU: 5.22%

 

AL East

TBR (18) 86-57 .601 ---

BOS 85-59 .590 1.5

 

TBR (19 G/7 H/12 A): 1 @BOS, 3 @NYY, 3 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET (Opp. Win% .520)

BOS (18 G/12 H/6 A): 1 vs. TB, 4 vs. TOR, 3 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY (Opp. Win% .541)

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 61.83% (99.65% to make playoffs)

BOS: 38.14% (98.47% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (18) 80-64 .556 ---

MIN 79-65 .549 1.0

 

CHW (18 G/8 H/10 A): 2 vs. TOR, 3 vs. DET, 4 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE (Opp. Win% .504)

MIN (18 G/8 H/10 A): 2 vs. KC, 3 @BAL, 3 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC (Opp. Win% .504)

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 68.58% (68.71% to make playoffs)

MIN: 31.40% (31.56% to make playoffs)

 

AL West

LAA (2) 87-57 .604

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (13) 85-59 .590 ---

MIN 79-65 .549 6.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 60.34%

TBR: 37.81%

MIN: 0.16%

[brewersbrewers]

Ball and glove, I am not a Packer fan or a football fan, baseball is my life, I have been a Brewer fan starting in 1980. I live and breath this team, I have not missed a game either on tv or in person this season. I have gone to 45 games this season at Miller Park, 1 week on spring training and 3 road games. Last year I went threw a manger depesion and I don't want to go threw that again.

[Garwilly]

Ball and glove, I am not a Packer fan or a football fan, baseball is my life, I have been a Brewer fan starting in 1980. I live and breath this team, I have not missed a game either on tv or in person this season. I have gone to 45 games this season at Miller Park, 1 week on spring training and 3 road games. Last year I went threw a manger depesion and I don't want to go threw that again.

 

http://www.ofts.com/christmas/away_in_a_manger.jpg

[biittner77]

How can a team with a 1.5 game lead with 19 to play have an 85% chance of winning the division? How do they calculate that formula?