MLB Playoff Races

[UMFan83]

How can a team with a 1.5 game lead with 19 to play have an 85% chance of winning the division? How do they calculate that formula?

 

Who are you talking about? The only 1.5 game lead I see is TB over Boston and its a 60% chance

[biittner77]

I meant 75% which would be the Mets

[Mizzou]

Wow, look out for the Astros. They entered today just 4 back in the Wild Card. Aside from 3 against us, every team they play from here on out has a losing record.

[David]

Looking like the Dodgers are in pretty good shape.

 

Just put my name in for their playoff ticket lottery. I'll be out there for damn sure if they manage to pick my number.

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 10th games.

*Angels clinched AL West.

 

NL Central

CHC (13) 87-58 .600 ---

MIL 83-63 .568 4.5

 

CHC (17 G/6 H/11 A): 1 @STL, 3 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL (Opp. Win% .553)

MIL (16 G/6 H/10 A): 4 @PHI, 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC (Opp. Win% .502)

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 91.11% (99.44% to make playoffs)

MIL: 8.69% (80.74% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (14) 82-63 .566 ---

PHI 79-67 .541 3.5

 

NYM (17 G/10 H/7 A): 3 vs. ATL, 4 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA (Opp. Win% .483)

PHI (16 G/10 H/6 A): 4 vs. MIL, 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS (Opp. Win% .474)

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 90.12% (92.05% to make playoffs)

PHI: 9.76% (16.53% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (14) 75-71 .514 ---

ARI 71-74 .490 3.5

 

LAD (16 G/6 H/10 A): 3 @COL, 4 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF (Opp. Win% .426)

ARI (17 G/10 H/7 A): 1 @SF, 3 vs. CIN, 4 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL (Opp. Win% .474)

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 93.11% (93.11% to make playoffs)

ARI: 6.76% (6.76% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (13) 83-63 .568 ---

PHI 79-67 .541 4.0

HOU 79-68 .541 4.0

STL 78-67 .538 4.5

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (17 G/8 H/9 A): 1 vs. CHC, 3 @PIT, 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN (Opp. Win% .489)

HOU (16 G/10 H/6 A): 1 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL (Opp. Win% .482)

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 72.05%

CHC: 8.33%

PHI: 6.77%

STL: 5.05%

HOU: 5.87%

 

AL East

TBR (16) 87-57 .604 ---

BOS 85-60 .586 2.5

 

TBR (18 G/7 H/11 A): 3 @NYY, 3 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET (Opp. Win% .518)

BOS (17 G/11 H/6 A): 4 vs. TOR, 3 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY (Opp. Win% .541)

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 75.52% (99.83% to make playoffs)

BOS: 24.47% (98.29% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (17) 81-64 .559 ---

MIN 80-65 .552 1.0

 

CHW (17 G/8 H/10 A): 1 vs. TOR, 3 vs. DET, 4 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE (Opp. Win% .502)

MIN (17 G/7 H/10 A): 1 vs. KC, 3 @BAL, 3 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC (Opp. Win% .505)

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 69.82% (70.04% to make playoffs)

MIN: 30.16% (30.44% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (13) 85-60 .586 ---

MIN 80-65 .552 5.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 73.82%

TBR: 24.30%

MIN: 0.28%

[UMFan83]

Man I'd really love to slap the Astros around this weekend and kill their playoff hopes as payback for 2004

[Cubs 32]

Man I'd really love to slap the Astros around this weekend and kill their playoff hopes as payback for 2004

 

A sweep of the Astros would be nice, but I'd definitely take 2/3.

 

They're on some kind of run right now, winning 13 of their last 14 games (29-10 since August 1st).

 

And on the opposite side of things you have the Diamondbacks, losers of their last 13 of 16 games (currently on a 6 game losing streak).

[bcl412]

I would love to win 2 of three and end the Astros and then go on to end the Brewers as well (hoping they get swept in Philly)

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 11th games.

*Angels clinched AL West (9/10).

 

NL Central

CHC (11) 88-58 .603 ---

MIL 83-64 .565 5.5

 

CHC (16 G/6 H/10 A): 3 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL (Opp. Win% .552)

MIL (15 G/6 H/9 A): 3 @PHI, 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC (Opp. Win% .503)

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 95.25% (99.73% to make playoffs)

MIL: 4.65% (74.23% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (14) 82-63 .566 ---

PHI 80-67 .544 3.0

 

NYM (17 G/10 H/7 A): 3 vs. ATL, 4 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA (Opp. Win% .484)

PHI (15 G/9 H/6 A): 3 vs. MIL, 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS (Opp. Win% .475)

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 87.19% (90.19% to make playoffs)

PHI: 12.71% (22.63% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (14) 75-71 .514 ---

ARI 71-74 .490 3.5

 

LAD (16 G/6 H/10 A): 3 @COL, 4 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF (Opp. Win% .425)

ARI (17 G/10 H/7 A): 3 vs. CIN, 4 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL (Opp. Win% .472)

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 93.23% (93.23% to make playoffs)

ARI: 6.71% (6.71% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (13) 83-64 .565 ---

PHI 80-67 .544 3.0

HOU 80-68 .544 3.0

STL 78-68 .534 4.5

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (16 G/7 H/9 A): 3 @PIT, 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN (Opp. Win% .489)

HOU (15 G/9 H/6 A): 3 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL (Opp. Win% .483)

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 69.58%

PHI: 9.92%

HOU: 9.25%

STL: 3.74%

 

AL East

TBR (16) 87-57 .604 ---

BOS 85-60 .586 2.5

 

TBR (18 G/7 H/11 A): 3 @NYY, 3 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET (Opp. Win% .518)

BOS (17 G/11 H/6 A): 4 vs. TOR, 3 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY (Opp. Win% .541)

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 75.43% (99.87% to make playoffs)

BOS: 24.55% (98.02% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (16) 81-65 .555 ---

MIN 80-66 .548 1.0

 

CHW (16 G/7 H/10 A): 3 vs. DET, 4 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE (Opp. Win% .494)

MIN (16 G/6 H/10 A): 3 @BAL, 3 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC (Opp. Win% .505)

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 71.33% (71.41% to make playoffs)

MIN: 28.66% (28.76% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (12) 85-60 .586 ---

MIN 80-66 .548 5.5

TOR 79-67 .541 6.5

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 73.47%

TBR: 24.44%

TOR: 1.80%

MIN: 0.10%

[David]

We can do some serious damage to that magic number with the head to head games coming up. Every win = -2.

[Soul]

We can do some serious damage to that magic number with the head to head games coming up. Every win = -2.

Then I highly suggest we win.

[TruffleShuffle]

CHC: 95.25% (99.73% to make playoffs)

 

not that the cubs have been playing great, but those are the highest they've been all year, i think.

[Vanilla Ice]

CHC: 95.25% (99.73% to make playoffs)

 

not that the cubs have been playing great, but those are the highest they've been all year, i think.

actually, i think they got up to 99.9 something

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 13th games.

*Angels clinched AL West (9/10).

 

NL Central

CHC (10) 88-58 .603 ---

MIL 83-65 .561 6.0

 

CHC (16 G/6 H/10 A): 3 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL

MIL (14 G/6 H/8 A): 2 @PHI, 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 96.69% (99.76% to make playoffs)

MIL: 3.20% (67.63% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (13) 83-64 .565 ---

PHI 81-67 .547 2.5

 

NYM (15 G/9 H/7 A): 1 vs. ATL, 4 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA

PHI (14 G/8 H/6 A): 2 vs. MIL, 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 83.34% (88.48% to make playoffs)

PHI: 16.53% (31.29% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (11) 77-71 .520 ---

ARI 72-75 .490 4.5

 

LAD (14 G/6 H/8 A): 1 @COL, 4 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF

ARI (15 G/8 H/7 A): 1 vs. CIN, 4 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 97.83% (97.83% to make playoffs)

ARI: 2.16% (2.16% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (13) 83-65 .565 ---

PHI 81-67 .547 2.0

HOU 80-67 .544 2.5

STL 78-70 .527 5.0

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (14 G/7 H/7 A): 1 @PIT, 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN

HOU (15 G/9 H/6 A): 3 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 64.43%

PHI: 14.77%

HOU: 11.53%

STL: 1.02%

 

AL East

TBR (14) 88-58 .603 ---

BOS 87-61 .588 2.0

 

TBR (16 G/7 H/9 A): 1 @NYY, 3 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET

BOS (14 G/8 H/6 A): 1 vs. TOR, 3 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 74.02% (99.92% to make playoffs)

BOS: 25.98% (99.44% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (16) 81-65 .555 ---

MIN 82-66 .554 ---

 

CHW (16 G/7 H/10 A): 3 vs. DET, 4 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE

MIN (14 G/6 H/8 A): 1 @BAL, 3 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 58.20% (58.28% to make playoffs)

MIN: 41.79% (41.89% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (10) 87-61 .588 ---

MIN 82-66 .554 5.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 73.46%

TBR: 25.90%

MIN: 0.09%

[nilodnayr]

I meant 75% which would be the Mets

 

Look at their third order winning percentage. What that shows is really how "good" the teams are. It shows the Mets are actually a bit better than their record, but more importantly it shows the Phillies are a decent bit worse than their record.

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 14th games.

*Angels clinched AL West (9/10).

 

NL Central

CHC (7) 89-58 .605 ---

MIL 83-67 .553 7.5

 

CHC (15 G/6 H/9 A): 2 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL

MIL (12 G/6 H/6 A): 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 99.22% (99.91% to make playoffs)

MIL: 0.77% (48.71% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (13) 83-65 .561 ---

PHI 83-67 .553 1.0

 

NYM (14 G/7 H/7 A): 4 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA

PHI (12 G/6 H/6 A): 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 65.83% (80.42% to make playoffs)

PHI: 34.02% (59.33% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (10) 77-72 .517 ---

ARI 72-76 .486 4.5

 

LAD (13 G/6 H/7 A): 4 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF

ARI (14 G/7 H/7 A): 4 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 98.26% (98.26% to make playoffs)

ARI: 1.72% (1.72% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (13) 83-67 .553 ---

PHI (13) 83-67 .553 ---

HOU 80-68 .541 2.0

STL 78-71 .523 4.5

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (13 G/7 H/6 A): 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN

HOU (14 G/8 H/6 A): 2 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 47.95%

PHI: 25.31%

HOU: 10.70%

 

 

AL East

TBR (14) 88-59 .599 ---

BOS 88-61 .591 1.0

 

TBR (15 G/7 H/8 A): 3 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET

BOS (13 G/7 H/6 A): 3 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 64.01% (99.87% to make playoffs)

BOS: 35.99% (99.82% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (13) 83-65 .561 ---

MIN 82-67 .550 1.5

 

CHW (14 G/4 H/10 A): 1 vs. DET, 4 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE

MIN (13 G/6 H/7 A): 3 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 76.01% (76.09% to make playoffs)

MIN: 23.99% (24.09% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (8) 88-61 .591 ---

MIN 82-67 .550 6.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 63.84%

TBR: 35.86%

MIN: 0.10%

[Soul]

NL Central

CHC (7) 89-58 .605 ---

MIL 83-67 .553 7.5

 

7.5 game lead, but really it's 9 games. I like.

[nilodnayr]

CHC: 95.25% (99.73% to make playoffs)

 

not that the cubs have been playing great, but those are the highest they've been all year, i think.

actually, i think they got up to 99.9 something

 

99.82572 was the highest (8/30)...until today :)

[Guest]

If both the Phillies and Mets are going to make the playoffs, I'm hoping the Phillies win the division.

[Mizzou]

If both the Phillies and Mets are going to make the playoffs, I'm hoping the Phillies win the division.

I was just thinking about that on the drive to work. I don't know who I'd rather face in the first round... why would you rather face the Mets?

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 15th games.

*Angels clinched AL West (9/10).

 

NL Central

CHC (6) 90-58 .608 ---

MIL 83-67 .553 8.0

 

CHC (14 G/6 H/8 A): 1 @HOU, 3 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL

MIL (12 G/6 H/6 A): 3 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 99.56% (99.96% to make playoffs)

MIL: 0.44% (53.53% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

NYM (13) 83-66 .557 ---

PHI 83-67 .553 0.5

 

NYM (13 G/7 H/6 A): 3 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA

PHI (12 G/6 H/6 A): 3 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 56.52% (73.36% to make playoffs)

PHI: 43.26% (64.41% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (9) 78-72 .520 ---

ARI 73-76 .490 4.5

 

LAD (12 G/6 H/6 A): 3 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF

ARI (13 G/6 H/7 A): 3 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 98.56% (98.56% to make playoffs)

ARI: 1.43% (1.43% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

MIL (13) 83-67 .553 ---

PHI (13) 83-67 .553 ---

HOU 80-69 .541 2.5

STL 78-71 .523 4.5

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (13 G/7 H/6 A): 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN

HOU (13 G/7 H/6 A): 1 vs. CHC, 3 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 53.08%

PHI: 21.15%

HOU: 7.62%

 

 

AL East

TBR (14) 88-60 .595 ---

BOS (14) 89-61 .593 ---

 

TBR (14 G/6 H/8 A): 2 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET

BOS (12 G/7 H/5 A): 2 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR: 49.85% (99.87% to make playoffs)

BOS: 50.15% (99.89% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (12) 83-66 .557 ---

MIN 82-68 .547 1.5

 

CHW (13 G/4 H/9 A): 1 vs. DET, 3 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE

MIN (12 G/6 H/6 A): 2 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 76.54% (76.58% to make playoffs)

MIN: 23.46% (23.52% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (6) 89-61 .593 ---

MIN 82-68 .547 7.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 49.78%

TBR: 50.04%

MIN: 0.06%

[Soul]

If both the Phillies and Mets are going to make the playoffs, I'm hoping the Phillies win the division.

I was just thinking about that on the drive to work. I don't know who I'd rather face in the first round... why would you rather face the Mets?

 

Horrible bullpen. No game will ever really be out of reach unless it's like 5 runs in the 9th. Even then....

 

The Phils do have Lidge, so if they take a lead into the 9th they've shown they can close it. Shortens your opportunities.

 

That's my take on it anyway. I'd rather face the Mets.

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 16th games.

*Angels clinched AL West (9/10).

 

NL Central

CHC (4) 91-58 .611 ---

MIL 83-68 .550 9.0

 

CHC (13 G/5 H/8 A): 1 @HOU, 2 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL

MIL (11 G/6 H/5 A): 2 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 99.89% (99.99% to make playoffs)

MIL: 0.11% (49.13% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

PHI (12) 84-67 .556 ---

NYM 83-67 .553 0.5

 

NYM (12 G/7 H/5 A): 2 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA

PHI (11 G/6 H/5 A): 2 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 38.19% (64.25% to make playoffs)

PHI: 61.48% (80.22% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (8) 79-72 .523 ---

ARI 74-76 .493 4.5

 

LAD (11 G/6 H/5 A): 2 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF

ARI (12 G/5 H/7 A): 2 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 98.89% (98.89% to make playoffs)

ARI: 1.11% (1.11% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

NYM (12) 83-67 .553 ---

MIL 83-68 .550 0.5

HOU 80-70 .533 3.0

STL 78-72 .523 5.0

FLA 78-72 .520 5.0

 

MIL and PHI (see above)

STL (12 G/7 H/5 A): 2@CIN, 3 @CHC, 4 vs. ARI, 3 vs. CIN

HOU (12 G/7 H/5 A): 1 vs. CHC, 2 @FLA, 3 @PIT, 3 vs. CIN, 3 vs. ATL

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 49.02%

NYM: 26.05%

PHI: 18.74%

HOU: 5.32%

FLA: 0.42%

STL: 0.35%

 

AL East

TBR (12) 89-60 .597 ---

BOS 89-62 .589 1.0

 

TBR (13 G/5 H/8 A): 1 vs. BOS, 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET

BOS (11 G/7 H/4 A): 1 @TB, 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR:64.77% (99.96% to make playoffs)

BOS: 35.23% (99.96% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (10) 84-66 .560 ---

MIN 82-69 .543 2.5

 

CHW (12 G/4 H/8 A): 1 vs. DET, 2 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE

MIN (11 G/6 H/5 A): 1 @CLE, 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 86.94% (86.96% to make playoffs)

MIN: 13.06% (13.09% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (5) 89-62 .589 ---

MIN 82-69 .543 7.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 64.73%

TBR: 35.20%

MIN: 0.03%

[Marco4]

That 0.11% scares me. Not as much as the 0.01% does. But the fact that its still there... I can't relax.

[Cubs 32]

Updated through September 17th games.

*Angels clinched AL West (9/10).

 

NL Central

CHC (4) 91-59 .607 ---

MIL 84-68 .553 8.0

 

CHC (12 G/4 H/8 A): 1 vs. MIL, 3 vs. STL, 4 @NYM, 3 @MIL, 1 @HOU

MIL (10 G/6 H/4 A): 1 @CHC, 3 @CIN, 3 vs. PIT, 3 vs. CHC

 

BP Odds to win NL Central

CHC: 99.81% (99.98% to make playoffs)

MIL: 0.19% (53.81% to make playoffs)

 

NL East

PHI (11) 85-67 .559 ---

NYM 84-67 .556 0.5

 

NYM (11 G/7 H/4 A): 1 @WAS, 3 @ATL, 4 vs. CHC, 3 vs. FLA

PHI (10 G/6 H/4 A): 1 @ATL, 3 @FLA, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS

 

BP Odds to win NL East

NYM: 36.08% (62.65% to make playoffs)

PHI: 63.66% (81.60% to make playoffs)

 

NL West

LAD (8) 79-73 .520 ---

ARI 75-76 .497 3.5

 

LAD (10 G/6 H/4 A): 1 @PIT, 3 vs. SF, 3 vs. SD, 3 @SF

ARI (11 G/4 H/7 A): 1 vs. SF, 3 @COL, 4 @STL, 3 vs. COL

 

BP Odds to win NL West

LAD: 97.41% (97.41% to make playoffs)

ARI: 2.59% (2.59% to make playoffs)

 

NL Wild Card

NYM (11) 84-67 .556 ---

MIL 84-68 .553 0.5

HOU 80-71 .530 4.0

FLA 79-72 .523 5.0

STL 78-73 .517 6.0

 

BP Odds to win NL Wild Card

MIL: 53.62%

NYM: 26.58%

PHI: 17.94%

HOU: 1.32%

FLA: 0.33%

STL: 0.04%

 

AL East

TBR (10) 90-60 .600 ---

BOS 89-63 .586 2.0

 

TBR (12 G/4 H/8 A): 4 vs. MIN, 4 @BAL, 4 @DET

BOS (10 G/7 H/3 A): 3 @TOR, 4 vs. CLE, 3 vs. NYY

 

BP Odds to win AL East

TBR:80.19% (99.99% to make playoffs)

BOS: 19.81% (99.95% to make playoffs)

 

AL Central

CHW (9) 84-67 .556 ---

MIN 82-70 .539 2.5

 

CHW (11 G/4 H/7 A): 1 @NYY, 3 @KC, 3 @MIN, 3 vs. CLE, 1 vs. DET

MIN (10 G/6 H/4 A): 4 @TB, 3 vs. CHW, 3 vs. KC

 

BP Odds to win AL Central

CHW: 87.62% (87.63% to make playoffs)

MIN: 12.38% (12.39% to make playoffs)

 

AL Wild Card

BOS (4) 89-63 .586 ---

MIN 82-70 .539 7.0

 

BP Odds to win AL Wild Card

BOS: 80.13%

TBR: 19.81%

MIN: 0.07%