Keener98

Kendall switched teams?

The Dodgers offense is as bad or worse than ours, tomorrows game may never end since scoring 1 run is so difficult for both teams.

Seriously how many damn times are you going to just keep saying this?

I think somebody forgot to tell Jones that we had games Fri Sat and Sun this week.. Its time for a day off for him

Laugh all you want but at least I have some sort of statistical proof to back up my opinion instead of just looking at ERA and saying see here is my proof. I cannot believe in this day and age there are still people who judge pitching this way. Thats not to say the Brewers have an amazing starting rotation. Sheets is an Ace, Gallardo is eventually a #1 or #2 most likely but Bush, Suppan, Capuano and Vargas are all #4/#5 starters. But the majority of the problems with the team's pitching this year compared to their 3 year averages is just how terrible the fielding is. So ERA isn't a statistic? What is so horrible about ERA, but so great about choosing a statistic which just ignores hits given up, and assumes that hits is a stat that the defense is entirely responsible for(which is a pretty simplistic view)? ERA doesn't correlate from season to season, it has an extreme amount of noise in it. Look at Joe Blanton in 2005 and 2006, he pitched better in 2006 and had an ERA that was way higher. ERA is a combination of luck, how well you pitched, your home park, your bullpen and the defense behind you. The stats I pointed are mostly just controlled by the pitcher and show much stronger year to year correlation. Even if you don't buy into something like BABIP the fielding metrics fully support the opinion. Teams with very good plus/minus universally have better ERA's than FIP's. Those with very bad plus/minus universally have worse ERA's than FIP's. There is a very real correlation between fielding and ERA and that is pretty much out of the pitchers hands. Capuano is a great example of a pitcher whose ERA doesn't really correspond with how he has pitched. 67% of his ground balls have been fielded for outs; the major league average is 75% so he obviously is giving up a lot more singles than he should. His bullpen has given up 3.904 runs more than expected on him. Compare his 2005 to his 2007 and he's actually pitched better overall but in 2005 he had a 3.99 ERA! Thats not to say he's a 3.99 ERA pitcher, he was extremely lucky in 2005 and has been unlucky in 2007, his true ERA level is probably around a 4.60 or so both seasons. 2006 is the only good year in his career and that was driven by a big reduction in walks. Every single stat except ERA disagrees with you and even if you are going to judge just by ERA they are roughly league average, not terrible. Anyway its not worth it, since anything I say will be chalked up to me being a Brewer fan. If you want to have a really honest discussion about how to evaluate pitching we can do that, but I don't think that is where this thread is really going. Capuano has sucked because hes giving up Hr's at an alarming rate.

I love that we wont let Murton play cause of guys like Floyd and Monroe

He leads all of baseball in this

Hey it only took till Sept 2 for Izturis to finaaly help us

Jesus Christ are you kidding me....

Pitt already up on Milw 1-0 in the 1st

Thats encouraging, and I swear the Cubs better tender him a contract.

Yea there isnt much the Brewers D can do on all those Hr's Capuano has been giving up.

Slumpbuster gone bad folks

Kick his ass Phillips, and if you cant do it just go get the big Texan out in LF to have your back

Yea Im signed up for premium but it should be running out soon. Id guess you could PM Tim and let him know you are paying for mine, that would probably be the easiest way to handle it. Thanks by the way, and GO ILLINI

OMG

Monroe is a veteran no more explanation needed.

Me too...sort of...Kids day care is closed today...I told the wife that if I "Had to" I'd stay home today... Mizzou...you gonna go watch Illinois whoop up on the tiggers tomorrow? Hah, yeah right. Like they stand a chance. I don't plan on going, but I might change my mind and head down to tailgate. Though after last night, I highly doubt it. You going? Just curious, but which team are you saying doesnt stand a chance? Illinois. I'm predicting a blowout. Mizzou is going to be solid this year. Want to put a wager on the game Mizzou? Premium up for grabs? Sure, I'm confident enough to bet on my team. What's the bet? Well the line is Mizzou by 4.5, and since you said you were expecting a blowout, how about this bet. Ill bet you U of I is within 10 points in the end. 6 months premium on the line? I'll bet 6 months worth of premium that we cover the spread. Well Ive found 2 different spreads Ive seen 4.5 and Ive seen 5.5. I just figured since you said you were expecting the blowout, you would feel safe giving me 10 points. Screw it, I'll take it. I'll wager 6 months of Premium that we beat you by at least 10 points. We're on. And the winner is..........not you! If only Juice didnt get hurt, the Illini would be 1-0 right now

There is noway in hell under any circumstance, that Steve Freaking Trachsel should take any starts away from Hill.

Like I said, youthful mistakes. Illinois is clearly the more talented team. How in the world do you figure that? I'll give credit where credit is due, because you guys played a good game. But is shouldn't have been that close. And someone tell that backup QB to stop crying. How embarrassing! So is my 6 months of premium paid yet?lol

INI

Blocked punt for TD for IL !

Yup and hes good, be prepared lol

Cubs win!

Neither do I he sucks. Most overated closer in baseball. Way to waste Marmol Lou. I see another lucky cheap save for Dempster coming. What?