Let me ask you a question, when was the last time the Cards won a series vs somebody above .500? Heres a hint, its before the last Cubs Cards series. STL has beaten the teams like the Pirates, Padres, Royals, and Atlanta, but they cant compete in a 3 game series with teams above .500. That to me is the biggest reason for Cubs fans and others to believe that Stl will fade away. The bullpen in Stl is a complete joke, and having Carp in the rotation is only going to enhance the bullpen problem as its very unlikely he goes deep into games anytime soon.