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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Red Sox scrambling to get the "We didn't really want him, anyway" stories out there.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    If I wanted to get an article up on Bleacher Report saying the Cubs were interested in Fibber McGee, how long would it take? 15 minutes?
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    He needs to grow it back. Can't win a championship in Chicago without one.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't recall an in-depth article about him specifically, but it was reported that was one of his major duties with the Red Sox over the years. It was mentioned in passing here: http://www.weei.com/sports/boston/baseball/red-sox/alex-speier/2011/10/31/why-dale-sveum-candidate-manage-red-sox And then here's the iPad advertisement/article that did a good job getting us all excited about the idea: http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/6908844/information-age-changing-way-game-played
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Swam with a long A. As a kid, I remember calling him Dale Suh-vee-um. Damn those baseball cards for not telling me how to pronounce it. Kent Huh-ruh-bake.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Swam with a long A.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Walks too many, has a bad 86 MPH fastball, and gives up a lot of fly balls. One start at Wrigley in June and his career would be over.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Link. :D I like it! That's right in line with where I am on him.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    I put mine in spoiler tags to keep the page from getting ridiculously long.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    The Cespedes thread got distracted by this, and I think it's an interesting case. There's two ways to look at Randy Wells for 2012: The positive spin He was 3.5 WAR pitcher in 2010 and 2011, and his 2012 can be written off to injuries that never let him get into a rhythm. He looked like he had it back in an excellent August stretch run. The negative spin This one's mine. I've always been a Wells skeptic. He's got a mediocre fastball and he doesn't strike out a lot of guys, which I don't think gives him a lot of margin for error and makes him a poor bet to sustain any success. He was absolutely terrible last season outside of August, and his August numbers were fueled by a .181 BABIP. Throw in the wildcard of how he's 29 years old but relatively inexperienced as a pitcher, and I'd be interested in hearing people's projections and expectations of him in 2012.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/soriaal01-field.shtml He did hold runners at a much better rate in 2007, and his assists came at a higher rate and in much more traditonal "kill" situations. I have no idea how if that's the reason for the UZR discrepancy, I just think those stats are cool.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    That doesn't say confirmed. It says "reportedly" every time, and those reports have been disputed since.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't need my manager to understand EQA or anything. I'm more interested in how they handle statistically-based advanced scouting tools like spray charts.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Agreed, but I'm not willing to give up quite just yet. Depending on which random rumors you believe, the nine-year offers may be backloaded and finagled in order to give a nominal value over $200 million, but in real terms may be worth notably less. It's not quite gotten to crazy-town on the total value, yet.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    ITT: A whole bunch of people who aren't Albert Pujols speak confidently about what's going on inside Albert Pujols' head.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Of course we can. Our payroll was $135 million the last two years, and we have quite a few spots being filled by cheap, pre-FA players.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Pass
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    From what I understand, the Cardinals' 200/9 offer was structured to try to prop up the nominal dollar value with deferments and severe backloading. It was close to a true $180 offer in terms of real value.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Honestly, six or seven or eight years doesn't matter to me. You aren't signing Albert Pujols with an eye to what he can give you when he's 39. It's total value. $180 is about as far as I'd go.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    You weren't expecting to go higher than $25M/year? I think it's more about the AAV for him (within reason, of course... obviously 27/5 or something isn't going to trump that offer). It's an ego thing. He obviously will have more than enough money to do everything he could ever dream of even if he stays in St. Louis. He just wants to be the highest paid player in the game. I'd do 25 million AAV for a 7-year deal, but nine is too many. I have no idea what Albert Pujols wants, so he states otherwise, I'll very tentatively assume he goes for the most total money.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Assuming he goes to the highest bidder, that's further than I'd go. On to Fielder.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Bryce Harper.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm trying to figure out how Bruce Chen manages to hold his own as a MLB pitcher. He strikes out too few, walks too many and gives up HRs at a decent rate. He's not a GB pitcher and his fastball sucks.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    3.5? Keep creeping it up, and in a few more posts Wells will be a 5-WAR pitcher. fWAR: 3.0, 3.2 bWAR: 3.0, 3.2 bpWAR: 2.3, 2.4 (these tend to be lower in general). But yes, I do believe he has more upside. Randy Wells' two good seasons relatively out of nowhere and were always based on strikeout rates that made it very difficult to project sustained success for him. And, unsurprisingly, it caught up with him last year. He was replacement level at best for four full months.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Cashner has oodles more upside. Wells wasn't just hurt, he was bad. You tried to gloss over this by splitting out August, but it doesn't wash. He sucked in June, July and September, and his brief flirt with decency in August was fueled by a .181 BABIP. I see no reason to go to any lengths to hold open a rotation spot for a 29-year-old who sucked last year. If we get to mid-March and no one has particularly stepped forward or we have some injuries, then he's fine for plugging into a hole.
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