Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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Trading Soriano
Hairyducked Idiot replied to ctcf's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Carroll's tweet sounded a lot more like speculation to me than a report. -
I like Jebadore. The best one I came up with was Theoyer Hoystein, imo.
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So after all that, Epstein's first move really was boner-inducing after all.
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I honestly don't see how it means any of those things. Byrd can be benched and the AA outfield still has plenty of openings.
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Decent money, BABIP Value Bet. Fine, whatever, let's do something bigger.
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Maddux leaving Cubs to head to Texas
Hairyducked Idiot replied to Prizefight's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It's rare because most guys have really elite talent. Hey use your 15/20 eyesight to see which pitch it is coming off his hand and then turn on it with you superpowerful wrists and batspeed. Whereas Maddux did have an elite arm the difference that made him an legendary player was his head. Exactly how much head does it take to throw a 90 MPH fastball with plus-plus movement and pinpoint control? Maddux's gifts were every bit as much physical as Randy Johnson's. -
Kaplan sits down with Ricketts (& Kenney Extension)
Hairyducked Idiot replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Why anyone would want to watch baseball played under a roof is beyond me. And while we're at it, I hate artificial turf as well. Because we're fans of, you know, the sport and not the ambiance. -
Why have a mid-20s proven hitter when you can have an A-ball workout star?
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Yet it could easily apply to them in just the second year of that kind of deal. It certainly could. But it also might not. I'm not saying that means "don't sign Pujols or Fielder." I'm just saying that the Cubs aren't in some sort of identical boat to all the other big market teams who sign big-money free agents. They are in the same boat as almost all of them. The Yankees and Red Sox are the only two perpetual contenders that only add elite talent to elite teams. Who are the examples of teams that have/should have paid free-agent prices for elite talent that are comparable to the Cubs?
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Yet it could easily apply to them in just the second year of that kind of deal. It certainly could. But it also might not. I'm not saying that means "don't sign Pujols or Fielder." I'm just saying that the Cubs aren't in some sort of identical boat to all the other big market teams who sign big-money free agents.
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The biggest reason it is sometimes okay for a team to "overpay" for elite production and suffer the backend is because they know that production in the short-term will be highly valuable to them because they are almost certain to be in a playoff race. That doesn't apply to the Cubs.
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FYP
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It's actually really good for the Cubs. Bad for baseball though. It's not that good for the Cubs. It removes what was likely to be a major part of quickly rebuilding the system for the team. Long term, it isn't so much good for the Cubs as it is bad for the small market teams. Who make up almost the entirety of our division.
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What percentage of recent WS winners bought a massive free agent in order to get there? Some have, but I'm sure it's not all.
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When you play in a low run-scoring environment, the runs you produce are more... wait for it...wait for it...wait for it... ... ... ... valuable.
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That doesn't mean that. And even if it did, the ability to neutralize a pitcher's park adds to his value.
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The new rules are complicated enough to have new market inefficiencies, and I am confident in managers like Epstein to find them quickly. All the hand-wringing about the rules changes misses the point. It was never about OBP or farm systems or overslots or whatever. It's about finding the inefficiencies and exploiting them. When they change, you find new ones.
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YES. This is 2011 and you are on a sabersavvy website. I should not have to be going back over the concept of positional adjustments.
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And then? Say yes then ignore their calls for a week when I "forgot" to confirm the trade in the MLB computer system.
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He'd be more terrible than Kemp. And also Kemp isn't terrible. But this argument is terrible. *edit I'm also terrible for having Jeff Kent on my mind because we were talking about stupid MVPs RNG/150 2011: -4.7 2010: -27.5 Career in CF: -9.6 He is terrible. FYP
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Interest in Hank Conger?
Hairyducked Idiot replied to Guancous's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Are you sure you want to bump Cespedes all the way down to fourth just for a guy like Pujols? -
At what point can we stop with the "Non-white = lazy" stuff? I know it's a joke, it just seems to have gotten well over-played. I agree. Tell all the Cubs fans and media to stop believing it already.
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He'd be more terrible than Kemp. And also Kemp isn't terrible. But this argument is terrible. *edit I'm also terrible for having Jeff Kent on my mind because we were talking about stupid MVPs
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166 vs. 171 in OPS+ Yes, Kemp was a better defender. I'm not saying Braun was the obvious winner, but let's not pretend that he didn't deserve consideration Sure. That consideration should have been "He was a slightly worse hitter, he played a less premium defensive position, and he missed 12 games." That's the end of the consideration. Last two NLers to lead the league in offensive WAR from an up-the-middle position: Biggio 95 and McGee 85.
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He wasn't and he didn't.