Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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2013-14 International Free Agency Thread
Hairyducked Idiot replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Not a huge Cabrera fan, but I wouldn't trade him for that space. If we do trade for that space, it'd better come *really* cheap. -
Where did he come from? Getting your fourth crack at a league you are several years too old for does wonders.
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Keep, please.
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This has no practical impact because the guys behind him are just as awful, but I'm glad we won't have to hear about how every absurd insertion into a key situation is justified because Marmol might build up trade value anymore.
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Not even four in the top 30 after all that? weak.
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Playoff droughts and the slow ascent
Hairyducked Idiot replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
A combination of Epstein saying they haven't left any money on the table in recent years and the fact that revenues aren't going up considerably with the way attendance is going (lower attendance should roughly cancel out the new TV money everyone's getting). We won't really know until they get there, but I'm assuming that we'll get roughly the same payroll next year. Maybe a little higher, maybe a little lower (if the Wrigley renovations bite into the available cash). Enough to replace or re-sign Garza, buy another round of undervalued pitching, and sign one big-name position player like Choo or Ellsbury. I could also seeing us just get shut out of the Choo/Ellsbury tier. There's only a few of those, and a lot of teams will have money. -
Playoff droughts and the slow ascent
Hairyducked Idiot replied to Transmogrified Tiger's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Can a team go from 70 wins to 90 in an offseason? Absolutely. Are the 2014 Cubs poised to do that? I have a hard time seeing it. We're not graduating anyone of significance and we don't have a ton of money to spend, not to mention a weak FA class. -
Works for me. That's baseball and all that.
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Agreed. Any legit pitching emerging on the market is a good thing for us, but I think there's some wishscouting going on. Good for him that he can "touch" 97 when letting it go in a bullpen session, but wasn't it less than 6 K/9 in the Cuban League? Pass.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-24-13
Hairyducked Idiot replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
One of the lest vomit-inducing pitching days we've had in a while. -
Just gonna throw out there that Trevor Bauer is a 22-year-old pitcher with a 4.71 FIP at AAA and a 5.26 FIP in the majors, while Didi Gregorius is a 23-year-old SS with 1.5 fWAR in 49 games.
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Sure, but once you start looking at his injury history, it's hard to say that it shouldn't have been easier to say earlier.
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I think we underestimated Maholm's trade value and overestimated Vizcaino's in the aftermath of the trade. It wasn't the outright steal it seemed, just a good move for both sides that included some high risk for us.
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Yeah, the interesting question with Wood is whether he's legitimately got a talent for limiting home runs despite being a fly ball pitcher. If he does, then you'd expect him to pitch more toward his 3.46 FIP. If not, then you'd expect him to pitch more toward his 4.40 xFIP.
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OK. I'll stipulate that if, out of the 30 major league front offices, there's still one out there who is both dumb enough to believe in Wood's performance based on superficial stats (ignoring both the scouting reports and the advanced statistics that say he's somewhere in the vicinity of average) *and* in the market to overpay for a starting pitcher, it's theoretically possible that they might overpay us by such a degree it would overcome the fact that we desperately need guy's like Wood for the near and medium-term futures. It seems extremely unlikely to me, but I can't say that it's impossible.
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I really doubt Kevin Towers uses ERA. He might use some proprietary mix of stupid and scouting reports, but not ERA.
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I find it very hard to believe that there are any GMs out there who both go by ERA and will be buyers at the deadline.
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I think we need to force him to listen to "Be a Man" from Mulan on loop for 12 hours straight. Not making him do that isn't working. When will Dale give it a try already?
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Of course everyone has a price. But unless we're assuming that some other team is terminally stupid, it's only worth talking about trades that can realistically happen. Nobody needs pitching for next year more than we need pitching for next year, so it's unlikely that anyone will offer us more for Travis Wood than Travis Wood is worth to us.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-21-13
Hairyducked Idiot replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Hendricks didn't have it tonight. -
Not the Cubs' pick but: Will Carroll @injuryexpert 4m Enjoy overpaying for Manaea, Royals. This might be that last failure of the Moore era, but I doubt it. #injured
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It's going to be hilarious if the current regime manages the exact same result with Starlin Castro with the opposite methods.
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The Pattersonian vibe I get from Baez is eerie sometimes. Right down to the obsessing over arbitrary splits in his BB/K rate. Baez has so much more true power though, which should carry him through to the big league easier. Also, Pie had much better minor league walk rates than anything Almora has shown to date. He really didn't have a batting-eye problem.
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The damage Rondon just did to Feldman's ERA and thus trade value is probably more than Rondon's long-term value to the team.
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Castro's OPS has just gone lower than Jose Macias' worst season.