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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's yielded accurate results for the entire Epstein era.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's exactly what Epstein would say if he were scrambling to find the money to pay all the IFAs he'd promised.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm wondering if we want int'l pool money as a small part of the return and are waiting for the 2nd.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    And they don't have to be consistently dominant to spoil our big plans. Something like the Brewers (and they are run much smarter than the Brewers) could poach two division titles in a five or six year span, and that's enough to really knock our playoff math for a loop. Especially when there's also the Cardinals and Reds to worry about.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    MLB's gotten pretty good at smoothing out the problems for small-market teams. I don't think financial flexibility is near as large of an advantage, or especially as big of a handicap, as it used to be. They won't be flush with cash, but they've been able to run a $65 million payroll this year. None of their key young players is due for free agency anytime soon, and McCutcheon's got one of those long-term extensions everybody loves. I wouldn't say I expect "perennial powerhouse," but they've got a huge pile of cost-controlled talent that could sustain them to competitiveness for several more years.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    It is a baseball front office's job at a fundamental level to find things that consensus rankings and slash lines don't. Looks to me like it's possible the Diamondbacks did a good job of selling high and buying low.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm pretty sure I said at the time the the cackling at the Diamondbacks was overdone. MLB teams don't use public farm system rankings.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    They've got every bit as much young talent as we do, are already actually good, and have a fairly smart front office. I'd be at least a little worried.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    Villanueva will be swing man again. Or is he being counted in the top 4? Either way. If he's in the top four, then you sign another swingman. It's a super risky strategy. I'm not crazy high on either of those guys. But they've got more upside than any of our position prospects that are close to ready, and we've got to take some risks somewhere.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    I love having Milwaukee to look down on, both in the immediate results and the long-term future.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    The first of many last starts, no doubt.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Maybe for 2014, we should just say "screw it" and let the fifth starter job go to a competition between Hendricks and Cabrera. I'm not expecting a lot from either, but they are old enough that I'm not worried about screwing up their development curve. You can save a decent chunk on letting Garza walk and replacing him with one of those guys, and use that money on the bullpen and the offense. We aren't going to compete in 2014 without some surprise breakouts, mineaswell gamble on some.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm not lamenting the Soler signing, but there's still that uncomfortable feeling of realizing we are locked in to paying *at least* $30 million for a guy who is still in Daytona.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Thanks for the free out.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yet another example of Vogelbach doing plenty of stuff right, but then you look at the total production and think "is that all?" like the career .902 OPS? Like the .791 OPS this year.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yet another example of Vogelbach doing plenty of stuff right, but then you look at the total production and think "is that all?"
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Tommy John for Bundy. TINSTAAPP.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yes but Volstad is a totally different type of acquisition and an unusual one at that. He's just a guy they took from a team who was willing to take a guy they were hell bent on trading primarily because he was a head case We paid Volstad money, we gave up some non-zero trade value for him, we gave him a rotation spot (over Travis Wood, incidentally). That was a real investment. If we need to break these up to singularly comparable, discrete groups: In order to get Maholm, we had to put up with Volstad. In order to get Feldman, we had to put up with Baker. In order to get Villanueva, we had to put up with Fujikawa. In order to get Gregg, we had to put up with Putnam, Takahashi and Loe. In order to get 2012 Camp, we had to put up with Corpas. I just throw in Rondon and Castillo because it's never a bad time to remember how overrated the Rule 5 draft is. The successes are better than nothing, but it's not as if they can just wave their "we need a pitcher" wands and get whatever they need. We have to put up with a lot of garbage pitching and wasted money in order to get those diamonds in the rough, and if we need that approach in 2014 to fill out our rotation and bullpen, there will be a lot of garbage pitching and wasted money.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Well, that's intriguing. I'd rather not overpay for space. If it's not there, you dont' *have* to go nuts on these 16-year-olds.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Didn't we effectively pay $2.7m for Volstad? It's all on a continuum of "holy balls, we have no pitching and need a ton of it."
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Just saw that. You can't hope for anything better than that. As meaningless as it is. Its still really good to see. I don't know about meaningless. From what I understand about the DSL, ERA and WHIP should be taken with a grain of salt but the BB/Ks are what's relevant. He's a 23-year-old facing 17-year-olds. Anything less than dominance would be problematic. The only thing relevant here is him getting in innings and not getting hurt.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    There's a ton of variance in individual performance each year. If you aren't Astros'-level bad, then sure there's always a chance that a bunch of your players turn in big seasons and you win a lot more games than might be reasonably expected. As far as finding value pitching, volume helps a lot. He was able to find Maholm and Camp, but in order to get those we had to suffer through Volstad, Corpas and Castillo. This year we got Feldman, Villanueva and Gregg, but they came from the same process that gave us Baker, Fujikawa, Lim, Takahashi and Rondon. It's hard to imagine them (or anyone) being able to hit at a high enough rate to fill all the holes we have in our pitching next year without having to suffer through a ton of misses as well, and the misses can sink seasons.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    CF Bobby Hill
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't think prospect for IFA money is going to be in the ballpark. That's basically prospect for prospect, and then you are going to have a hard time drumming up an indifference in valuation to make the trade worthwhile to both teams. I could see someone like Navarro netting some IFA space.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Probably a lot of roster fill and a few dozen real prospects in the 20-23 range.
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