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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    No.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    How can you realistically have any idea whether this is true or not without knowing the potential returns? Because despite the "hur hur, Kevin Towers has the dumbs!" meme, MLB teams aren't stupid. Any package they offer us for Wood is going to be roughly equivalent to his value. So the only reason to make the trade is if they offer us something of equalish value that we need more than an early-prime, cost-controlled starting pitcher. And there's more or less nothing that fits that description.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Theriot was a useful player right up to the age of 30 and showed a perfectly normal aging curve. I'm not seeing much evidence that pitchers just "figured him out."
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Corey Patterson was never a great player. He had one very good half in 03 and after that, he went from good to flat out brutal. He was a 3-win player in 2004 and a 4-win player in 2006.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Horrible logic. By this way of thinking then anyone and everyone the Cubs have of any kind of value is a "sell high candidate." That phrase and its counterpart have become so absurdly abused. Besides the fact that comparing ballplayers to equities is a profoundly imperfect analogy, "sell high" doesn't mean "sell the moment the value is slightly higher than it used to be" and "buy low" doesn't mean "buy anything that used to be highly valued and is now lower," and those seem to be the operating definitions these days.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yep, never mind, you just forfeit the next-highest pick. http://mlb.mlb.com/pa/pdf/cba_english.pdf
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    D'oh. I guess I should say if you know you're likely to be signing guys that would cost you that pick. You can't sign a pick-tied free agent if you've already forfeited your pick, iirc.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Well, we're two years removed from a season in which he underperformed his peripherals by a good chunk. I can buy into the idea that xFIP underrates his ability to give up non-HR fly balls, but he's not a sub-.220 BABIP pitcher long-term.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    The Cubs' radio broadcast has taken a weird turn (normal, for them, I guess), with Hughes and Moreland spending several innings going on about a woman who wandered into their broadcast booth and talked to them, leaving them a note addressed to Len Kasper. Moreland keeps saying she made him nervous because of her "garb," some kind of 4th of July hat.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    they're wrong. i'm right. Doesn't it feel good to say that once in awhile? Embrace the dark side.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    I understand that Torreyes has always been a guy who provoked a wide variety of evaluations, but he's a 20-year-old in AA who appeared in multiple top-20 lists before this season. He was in no way comparable to roster fill.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    No cuter or funnier than saying that an actual, honest-to-goodness prospect is worth less than $1m in straight cash.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Torreyes isn't a 20 year old Cuban. He's a guy the Cubs have seen play for them for a year and a half. Granted, the Cubs familiarity level with him doesn't really change his value to other teams. Brett did say that Law didn't think Torreyes was worth more than $800k. And like I told Brett, Law is only worth listening to when he agrees with me.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    If Torreyes were a 20-year-old Cuban with his skill set and no signing restrictions, he'd get something similar to Concepcion, at least. He's worth a ton more than $800k in cash.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Not specifically. It was more of "those are a ton of names and I'm lazy, maybe someone else will do the work for me"
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Anyone have an opinion on Boston's IFA history: http://www.soxprospects.com/international.htm ?
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    #want
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Sure. But not Garza. We have too many holes to fill and need to spread the cash we have around.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Unless he's a free agent apparently. Paying cash is a lot easier than paying prospects.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Or something, because he wasn't really DFA'd and I should know better than to believe Peter Gammons.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    If you wanted someone impactful, you should have traded him back when he had 64 starts left in his contract rather than 16.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Sure they will. Maybe even a top-100 prospect and another that goes into our top 10.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's not a crap deal. Your expectations are simply out of whack.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    The market for FA pitchers is brutal, and Garza is likely the best. There's a ton of teams with a ton of money looking to purchase top-end FA starting pitchers. The Cubs have already explored extension negotiations with Garza and decided they weren't interested in his asking price. In what universe is that confluence of events not going to result in a bad deal? Sure you can, so long as there is more than one team that wants him. It's the same garbage that the Blackhawks heard when they were forced to dump several players due to salary cap. They still got excellent value in the trades despite having no ability to keep the players.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Disagree. Getting a couple of useful prospects > a draft pick > having Garza on a bad FA deal
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