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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    And I'm okay with that. The difference between Marquis and Hill, while large, is at least cancelled out by the difference between the Brewers' lineup differences versus righties and lefties. I'm not convinced the Cubs aren't doing this for stupid reasons (their weird insistence that Hill is a marginal rotation guy), but it's the right move.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    About as weird when they declared the 2003 NLCS a tie midway through game 6.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was pretty harsh on the organization for the last time Hill was skipped, because it was asinine. I still don't get the whole "pull him after five innings or the first sign of trouble" kid gloves, either. But this isn't really a "skipping," it's a simple, smart rotation shuffle for matchup purposes. The Brewers lineup, along with the Cubs', is one of the most brutal in the NL on lefty starters. And getting Zambrano an extra start against our true rivals for the division, the Brewers, is a smart move. I'm not sure if they were really being smart, or if they are still idiots about Hill and idiot-lucked their way into the right decision, but this was the right decision.q
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Marmol's leverage index has improved nicely of late, up around 1.8 now, and he leads the league in expected wins added.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    The PECOTA-adjusted playoff odds report on baseballprospectus, which I'm a big fan of, has the Cubs at 96 wins and a 70% chance of making the playoffs, best odds in the National League and behind only the Yankees.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Using pythagorean record *is* a projection system. It represents the adjustment you make to your preseason projections as the season wears on.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    He's got a ways to catch Cedeno's .957. doesn't matter... you don't bench a guy OPS'ing .893. You play who you believe is the better player, period.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    This. Cedeno was the better player coming into ST, he was the better player on Opening Day, and he's the better player now. He just has to keep performing in his limited opportunities to hope it gets noticed.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    I agree. I am trying to figure whether they have ever started this well (i.e., not just winning, but pounding teams) in my lifetime. Don't know how old you are. I glanced through all the "good start" Cubs teams I could remember and didn't find any 14-6. 2003 and 1985 made it to 13-7, though. 1969 started 14-6.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Tall, Dark, and Handsome. Well duh. But I take it he doesn't look as lost? He got robbed on a third hit on a swinging bunt and a bad call at first. He made consistent contact, lots of fouls and few swings and misses that I recall. He didn't crush anything.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    14-6. This means: On pace for 113 wins (that really makes me appreciate what the Mariners did). Can go .500 the rest of the way and match last season's record. Need to play .535 the rest of the way to win 90. Need to play .605 the rest of the way to win 100.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ronny Cedeno is personally ruining Kerry Woods' save total.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ronny Cedeno, starting shortstop, your table is ready.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fukudome gets a respect call on a borderline 2-2 pitch.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Marmol's trend of making half his appearances when the game is not within 2 runs continues. And it needs to end.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    D'oh, fielder's choice but no run. That wasn't on my outcome list :(
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Murton stared down one of the juiciest fastballs he'll ever see on 2-1. Just below the waist, just to the inside side of the middle of the plate. He's praying for a walk.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Outcome odds of Murton at-bat: Walk: 40% Ground ball RBI FC: 20% GIDP: 39.9% Other: .1%
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fantasy players all over the country are checking their rulebook to see if Pujols now qualifies as the awesomest 2b in history.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Is there anyone in the entire freaking country who doesn't have a mediocre Harry Caray impression? It must be a requirement for citizenship.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    My head knows that a two-run lead isn't a bad place to use Howry. My heart hurts knowing he's out there in April in a closish game.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    I've said all along the Brewers are a mid-80s win team, because their bullpen and defense really are that bad. As a stathead, I almost even hate saying that, but it's true.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Brewers just pulled a Phillies on a game-ending DP, now tied.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    I thought Pie was out on first look, but safe on replay.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't mind Pie not being pinch-hit for here. Two-run lead, you want his defense out there, and he needs PAs.
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