Geographyhater8888

I don’t study league wide player platoon splits, but even with limited at bats from Busch are there any other teams with 300 point OPS platoon gaps from multiple hitters with over 350 at bats?

Thats my point. If CC feels OK leaving PCA near the top of the order despite bad platoon splits then it seems odd to keep hiding Busch to this degree since he wants the best possible matchup. Especially when Busch bats 7th in the games he’s in the starting lineup vs a lefty.

The training wheels are still on. He’s earned the right to face mediocre left handed pitchers, let’s hope he gets these Crochet privileges if or when they’re playing in October because that’s a big bat you’ll be without for at least a couple at bats. Why is PCA batting 5th and not 7th or 8th?

I’m sick of Busch being treated like Willy Parker on goal line plays where Jerome Bettis takes those snaps and he’s on the bench. Take the training wheels off of him already. If Crochet is that brutal vs lefties then why is PCA batting 5th?

I hope the Brewers 19-10 record vs lefty starters isn’t a problem for Boyd.

Can’t say I’m optimistic about this one. I hope Busch is in the lineup at least. I have a strong feeling it’ll be Turner.

Especially when next years rotation barring injuries is basically a lock for Shota Steele Boyd Taillon and Horton, team control shouldn’t matter at all for all the reasons you laid out. Castro from the Twins I’d be happy with.

If someone told you Tucker would be fourth in homer runs and RBIs through the 98 game mark, people would probably guess it’s injury related.

The Mike Soroka prototype was what I was referring to. Not a reclamation project or finding lightening in a bottle for an a baller. Joe Ryan is obviously the biggest prize, is he worth Owen Cassie with tuckers uncertain future, especially if you’re throwing in another top 5 prospect from the farm for Ryan? He’s been impressive but also pitches in the weakest division in baseball which has inflated might inflate his numbers. I ask these questions because I don’t know sh!t. I’d like Castro too. I can make arguments for both, the team is basically a starter away after all. off topic, to what degree do you see PCA sustaining his success at the plate and at what point will learning to take more pitches become a priority. I worry about how his game will age, although we’re years away from that mattering. Whats your ceiling for Shaw and Horton if you don’t mind me pestering you every morning? From the naked eye I see Horton as a number 2 best case scenario. He’s getting whiffs but the strikeouts haven’t been there. If he averaged 98 mph instead of 96 I’d have a more optimistic outlook, because he lacks a truly filthy out pitch.

Seeing that Jed loves loves playing the money ball lottery with guys like Shota and Boyd on discounts, I’m wondering if there’s an arm out there he’s seeking with a lower price tag with that upside he saw from Boyd and Shota. Don’t know any arms off the top of my head but a possibility as opposed to some of the more costly arms like Ryan, or even Kelly and Keller?

Nice win. With the matchup from hell tomorrow at least they took the series.

26 homers in PCAs last 79 games.

2 RBIs from third base today.

Where’s Shaw? Trade, injury or other?

Missed his at bats yesterday but that’s good to see. Now that the weak opposite field contact doubles in his second stint are no longer missing fielders. It’s difficult to tweak your mechanics mid season and see immediate results, unless we’re talking a simple leg kick or too much head movement like PCA last year. Drom the surface his hand placement looks similar to Darwin Barney.

If you have the time to watch this I’d love to hear your thoughts. The gist here is exit velo doesn’t account for top spin that you see from pull hitters where the ball travels further. A lot of Shaw’s contact is opposite field and up the middle with a lot of his balls dying from the lack of wind resistance. His 2 home runs were all pulled. let me know if you have the chance.

Rae doesn’t have it. PCA has saved him at least a couple of runs.

Huge play by PCA to hold The runner and third. Redsox are making some hard contact.

Crochet vs the cubs in a bullpen game. They can’t trade for a starting pitcher soon enough.

Why isn’t Boyd pitching on 6 days of rest?

With the season Ryan’s having and another year of control, I don’t see Jed trading the prospects the Twins will want in return for reasons we already know like the 2 names mentioned unless I’m overvaluing Ryan.

Any shot Horton gets dealt instead of Cassie if a Joe Ryan end up available? He’ll cost a top prospect or young talent, with the uncertainty over Tuckers future and is Horton at all in play?

bWAR does adjust for SOS, they use a simple ranking system which is exactly what it should be called by assigning a MOV vs a dead average team with a 0 SRS based on RF and SOS. If a team has a lot of base runners but struggles to hit with RISP the total WAR will remain higher than the team with less baserunners but more timely hitting, which evens out but obviously there’s still some give and take and it’s never exact. Like the 2015 cubs who overachieved their pythag win loss record by 7 wins for that exact reason. The Cubs are top 3 in stolen bases bottom 4 in strikeouts, dead last in double plays and 1st in OPS+, something you’re not a fan of but it doesn’t usually deviate by more than a few points off of wRC+ in most cases while their SOS has been difficult. All things besides GIDPs and OPS in place of BABIP, walks and home runs that factor into wRC+ WAR calculation. I’m rambling on but from the naked eye, based on what’s actually happened and not projections I’m surprised they’re behind 2 teams. It seems like fWAR assigns wins based on how much teams would pay for said player unlike bWAR which gives Nico an almost 1.5 win edge over fWAR and assigns less wins to Suzuki than fangraphs and other power hitters, which I find interesting and more accurate. 2.8 fWAR vs 1.8 bWAR for Ryan Howard in 08 as another example. Thanks for keeping me engaged. I wish I could reciprocate with some profound insight to share.

Much more sophisticated than baseball reference which I would assume they quantity DRS by fielding percentage or something less comprehensive? Fan graphs projects the cubs to finish with 91 wins, tied for the third best record in baseball behind the tigers and Dodgers who top out at 96 wins. Very conservative projections for all teams. out of curiosity, the Cubs are only third in total team WAR as of right now despite leading MLB in run differential. Since runs correlate with wins, I’d think they’d be number 1. Is it also projection based and players over performing some metrics will penalize total WAR? If so Suarez and Shaw wouldn’t have a 2.8 win gap so I’m curious what’s going on with that. Let me know if when you’re sick of answering my questions.

The NFL is much harder to quantify players with advanced data for too many reasons to list but one thing you never see is +’s that adjust for era. From the naked eye. Marino’s career 86 passer rating is below average in 2025 but he was roughly +1.18 above league average for his career. One thing that’s never adjusted for is stadium factors. Soilder field and MetLife is much harder to throw in than a domed stadium, that’s a start. wOBA and wRC+, while tightly linked are also baseballs equivalent of passer rating and or ANY/A because it’s more of an efficiency based stat as opposed to triple crown stats and OPS that’s a lot more concrete in nature, and don’t assign different values to different outcomes to the extent that that a single is weighed higher as a multiplier than a walk, even though both result in one base. Is this fair? For defensive fWAR how do they quantify that outside of fielding percentage? I’d assume it’s mostly quantity of outs from a positional standpoint. PCA has more unassisted outs than any outfielder because of his remarkable range.