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Geographyhater8888

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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888

  1. Geographyhater8888
    I can live with the missing the routine throws and reads (for now) as long as he makes up for it with his his circus throws which he basically has since week 12. He’s completed 61% of his throws over 20 air yards which ranked 2nd in the NFL. Weeks 1-11 he only completed 35% of them. We’re seeing a lot more of the Caleb Williams that made him the number 1 pick. I attribute it partly to better pass blocking from Trapilo who we’ll miss on Sunday but Caleb is also talent as horsefeathers.
  2. Geographyhater8888
    No below replacement level production from the bench, they’ve upgraded, no 15 starts from Ben Brown with added SP depth and Horton being in the opening day rotation. Shota Tailon and Steele all missing 10+ starts and costed wins, so health played a role last year. The. addition of Bregman alone should add at least 3.5 more wins from third base. Third base posted a 0 fWAR and a-.9 going into the all start break. Suzukis home runs were up but his OPS was down 40+ points from both 23-24. Swanson had a down year defensively too, whether or not it’s age related I can’t say. Happ posted his lowest fWAR since 2021 and had bad BABIP luck. The catcher position and the void left by Tucker are the only areas where I expect a noticeable dip in production. The high leverage relief arms might not be as reliable either. I see this team within 3 games of last years win total potentially in either direction and will likely underperform their pythag win record by at least 4 games. Because that’s what they do.
  3. Geographyhater8888
    There’s potential for disaster. Bears defense does play better at home for what it’s worth but the offense can’t mess around in the first half against this opponent.
  4. Geographyhater8888
    Sure. But injuries and age will really be the only thing that will slow them down to the point where “anything can happen” isn’t the only reason for optimism.
  5. Geographyhater8888
    Would you feel dirty cheering for the Cubs if we swapped places? I wouldn’t.
  6. Geographyhater8888
    They basically slept walked tonight 93 wins, got healthy by design during late September and steamrolled their way through the NL. Ran into the Jays who were a buzz saw and yet their talent ultimately prevailed. They’re not much different from Sabans Bama teams recruiting every 5 star recruit.
  7. Geographyhater8888
    It’s demoralizing how we’re in here praising our great offseason trading for Cabrera and signing Bregman while the back to back champs have added Tucker and Diaz to their already stacked roster. Who’s beating them without a number of major injuries?
  8. Geographyhater8888
    Whether or not there’s a salary cap my “their loss” comment was stated with the utmost sarcasm.
  9. Geographyhater8888
    Dodgers stack high priced star players like Nick Saban stacked 5 star recruits. They’re worse than Steinbrenners 2000’s Yankees. Their loss not having clean books in time for the new CBA.
  10. Geographyhater8888
    He also was left on an island allowing more receivers to run routes. It’s no coincidence Caleb suddenly found his deep ball when he took over. Like you said one less pick that can be used for defense. I trust Ben’s talent evaluation though.
  11. Geographyhater8888
    It’s more balanced but I don’t have the exact data. Benedet is a downgrade though.
  12. Geographyhater8888
    Because Zobrist and Bryant were both versatile and split time in left field. None of our 4 infielders have experience in the outfield that I know of. Luckily with the universal DH there’s room for all 4. Either way I agree. Why make the team worse with Suzuki/Happ/Nico/Tailon etc off the books next year when you can cash in on their last year together. Cubs don’t need to stockpile minor leaguers with a top 10 payroll.
  13. Geographyhater8888
    Losing Ozzy hurts. The offense became a lot more explosive once he became the starter with the pass protection holding up for long developing plays. 152 completed air yard average with Ozzy vs 117 completed air yards average without.
  14. Geographyhater8888
    Stafford’s rocket balls will feel like catching bricks in the bitter cold. That’s our hope but it applies to Caleb too.
  15. Geographyhater8888
    If anyone knows of another 2 seeded team who were 4 point underdogs at home I’d love to know.
  16. Geographyhater8888
    If they trade Nico it better be lopsided in favor of the Cubs. Nothing close enough to a straight value swap.
  17. Geographyhater8888
    Horton also swing and miss stuff too. He’s not exactly Javier Assad. We’re better off with him in the opening day rotation than Ben brown and his great strikeout rate.
  18. Geographyhater8888
    And the rotation is deeper. Swapping Brown out of the rotation for Horton is huge. I refuse to believe Brown was worth a 1.1 fWAR. He flat out sucked. The catcher position might see a dip in offensive production though.
  19. Geographyhater8888
    They’ll likely net at least 3.5 more wins from third base while swapping Ben Brown for hopefully close to a full year of Horton+the addition of Cabrera, as long as they can stay healthy I think makes it wash. But yes, there’s no replacement for Tucker when healthy.
  20. Geographyhater8888
    Tuckers OPS was 747 with 7 of his 22 homers hit at wrigley and a 923 away from Wrigley. 21 of Busch’s 34 were hit away from Wrigley and 7 of his 13 were against St. Louis. PCA was more balanced hitting 15/31 at wrigley but his OPS jumped from 698 away to 844 at Wrigley unlike the other 2 for some context. We’ll never know but I’d bet any contention he has is related to his home away splits and perhaps the $ it costed him.
  21. Geographyhater8888
    The wind knocking down his home runs had more to do with disliking Wrigley, whether true or rumored than a few boos. He’ll hate New York if he’s sensitive to booing.
  22. Geographyhater8888
    What most likely happened is they had no interest in extending him for $300 million+ and it turns out he was appropriately valued by the front office. I always thought the $450 million projections were nonsense but if you told me 8 months ago he’d be receiving 3 year offers I would’ve been beyond pissed off he wasn’t a Cub in 2026.
  23. Geographyhater8888
    That’s with steamer projecting Horton to post a 1.2, a full win less than last season. Ben Brown posted a 1.1 fWAR last season. So if he’s worth 1 less win then that means injuries, because you can’t convince me Ben Brown was worth over a win in 15 starts last year because of his respectable FIP. He flat out sucked. I know they’re conservative with their projections but what we hope will be a full season of Horton vs 15 starts from Brown won’t be close a wash like their model says. The rotation will be more more than a win better unless they’re devistated by injuries.
  24. Geographyhater8888
    1.7 of his 3.5 fWAR came against St. Louis in only 12 games including 1.6 in 6 games at Wrigley.
  25. Geographyhater8888
    Busch’s offensive per PA efficiency will go down entirely because Miles Mikolas is no longer in the division I’m afraid.
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