Brandon Glick

Back in 2016, the Chicago Cubs made history. Now, the team is merely just trying to return to the playoffs. How does this year’s roster compare to the drought-busting legends of then? Image courtesy of © David Banks-USA TODAY Sports The premise behind this is simple: we’ll look at which roster had the better player(s) at each position. As you’d expect, the World Series winning roster is going to look a little bit more stacked than the Wild Card hopeful one, but it’s an exercise meant to demonstrate that one size does not fit all when it comes to contending for the championship. The Cubs 2016 roster data is from Baseball Almanac; the up-to-date Cubs 2023 roster data is from The Athletic. All stats are current through August 17, 2023. This is part one of a three-part series. Parts two and three will feature outfielders and pitchers, respectively. CATCHER Miguel Montero/Willson Contreras/David Ross v.s. Yan Gomes/Miguel Amaya/Tucker Barnhart NOTE: Barnhart was DFA’d before this article could be published. The triumvirate of catchers in 2016 all famously had at least one RBI each in Game 7 of the World Series (the first time in postseason history for three catchers to do so in the same game), but this was not a prolific group. Montero and Ross were at the tail-end of their respective careers, sporting batting averages below .230. Contreras was still early in his career (though he did post an impressive .845 OPS in 252 at-bats during the regular season). The Cubs catchers this year were built around a new pitching infrastructure, prioritizing defense and game-calling rather than offense (hence why Contreras was allowed to walk to the rival Cardinals). None of the catchers have been great at the plate, though Gomes and Amaya have above-average OPSs of .735 and .751, respectively (the MLB average this year is .733). The big boon these players have provided is helping the pitching staff, as the Cubs were allowing just 4.24 runs per game through the end of July (down from 4.51 last year). Ultimately, which group you take is up to what you desire out of your catchers. Montero and Ross were good enough defensively (and uniquely specialized enough to work with certain pitchers on the staff) to make ends meet, and no one on this list was ever as good at the plate as Contreras, even early on in his career. Advantage: 2016 Cubs FIRST BASE Anthony Rizzo v.s. Jeimer Candelario Before even delving into this matchup, it’s fair to note that the 2023 Cubs have been flat-out atrocious at first base this year, rolling out negative-WAR guys like Eric Hosmer and Trey Mancini for most of the season before mercifully trading for Candelario. That being said, Candelario is a massive upgrade, and he’s having a career year on both sides of the diamond (he’s already up to 3.5 bWAR this season). However, despite Candy’s .846 OPS and above-average glove at both infield corners, he can’t compare to the last face of the franchise. Rizzo was tremendous at the plate in 2016, posting a .929 OPS with 32 home runs and 109 RBIs as the lefty slugger in the middle of the lineup. He finished fourth in MVP voting that year, won the Silver Slugger and Gold Glove, and became the only first baseman in history to win the Platinum Glove. Rizzo was as good as anyone in baseball in 2016. Advantage: 2016 Cubs SECOND BASE Ben Zobrist/Javier Baez v.s. Nico Hoerner/Christopher Morel While Baez served as a super-utility guy in 2016 (25+ games at three positions) and Morel is the primary DH for this year's Cubs (the DH didn’t exist in the NL back in 2016), their respective defensive homes were generally at second base. And a good thing, too, because this is one hell of a matchup. Zobrist would win the most important World Series MVP of all time, while Baez chipped in with elite defense and a .737 OPS (and co-NLCS MVP). Their defensive versatility was part of what made them so valuable to the Cubs, but Zobrist (.832 OPS in 2016) and Baez were legitimate threats at the plate as well. Not to be outdone, Hoerner and Morel have been a dynamic duo as well, with Morel playing nearly every position on the diamond and Hoerner flashing his gold glove bona fides at both second base and shortstop. Hoerner has settled into the two-hole in the lineup nicely, posting a .743 OPS and leading the team with 30 steals. Morel has provided tremendous power from literally every spot in the lineup and is second on the team in OPS with a .843 mark. I was trying to avoid a “push” situation, but these are two elite duos. The Cubs of 2016 and 2023 should be thankful for their production from the keystone. Advantage: Draw THIRD BASE Kris Bryant v.s. Nick Madrigal/Patrick Wisdom I don’t think there needs to be much in-depth analysis here. Remember how I said Rizzo was as good as anyone in baseball in 2016? Bryant was even better, winning the MVP with a .939 OPS, 39 home runs, and 102 RBIs. [Just an aside real quick: did anyone remember how insanely identical Rizzo and Bryant were offensively in 2016? Bryant slashed .292/.385/.554 and Rizzo slashed .292/.385/.544. Wild.] Meanwhile, Wisdom is trying his damnedest to become the first ever 300-strikeout, 40-home run player in MLB history. On the other hand, Madrigal is still trying to learn how to post an OPS that starts with a seven without getting any extra-base hits. [In all fairness, Madrigal has been a pleasant surprise this year, especially with the glove, and Wisdom does lead the team in home runs. But, I mean, come on. This isn’t even close.] Advantage: 2008 Cubs (Aramis Ramirez truthers unite!) Actual Advantage: 2016 Cubs SHORTSTOP Addison Russell v.s. Dansby Swanson In hindsight, this is an easier matchup to look at, as Russell’s star very quickly faded thanks to some off-the-field issues. However, he was still quite a productive player in 2016, posting a 3.7 bWAR and earning an all-star selection thanks to some outstanding defense and a .738 OPS. He was a steadying presence in the middle infield and had some legendary moments during the run to the title. Alas, Dansby Swanson is just better. He’s putting up a .780 OPS with the best defensive metrics for any shortstop in the National League this year. He’s added a true winner’s mentality to this club, with some comparing his signing to that of the fateful Jon Lester signing during the 2014-2015 offseason as the one that marked the turn of the tide from rebuilding to contention. The 2023 Cubs are on the board. Advantage: 2023 Cubs View full article

I guess maybe because Fulmer started out as a starter? But's he converted to relief quite nicely. He's one of the Cubs best options out of the pen, though he's had a massive workload (for a reliever).

I think this sentiment is a little outdated. I completely understand it (hey, those Royals teams I mentioned were very formulaic in the 7th, 8th, and 9th, using Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis and Greg Holland), but it's just generally out of practice. You use your best guys in the highest leverage spots now. Whether that's the sixth, eight, fourth or extra innings. No reason to put a middling guy in just because it's the "middle" innings.

Yea, this is the point I really tried to hammer home at the end of the article. The Cubs clearly recognize how rare it is for a reliever to be good across the entirety of a multi-year deal. There's something to be said for having a prime Kimbrel or Papelbon or someone like that, but there's not much use in handing out a multi-year deal to a middle-inning guy when you can just turn your farm system into a factory for them.

I'm generally in agreement with this sentiment, as I've said. It's just worth pointing out that there are considerations the front office has, which includes limited roster spots, playing time, etc.

Ever since the Kansas City Royals won back-to-back American League pennants in 2014 and 2015, teams have tried to copy their method of “shortening” games by prioritizing dominant bullpens. Over the last three years, it’s hard to say anyone’s gotten more bang for their buck from their relievers than the Chicago Cubs. Image courtesy of © Kevin Sousa-USA TODAY Sports I’ll ask you to think back to the golden era of the last Cubs core. Two of the biggest acquisitions those teams made were Aroldis Chapman for prospects and Wade Davis for Jorge Soler. Joe Maddon famously kept his “circle of trust” in the bullpen extremely tight, carefully deploying relievers even with recent runs of lights-out pitching like Héctor Rondón and Justin Grimm. Those trades, while proving bountiful at the time (and certainly moves the Cubs would not take back even if given a chance), began the depletion of the farm system and organizational depth that would prove fatal to the Theo Epstein-built empire. It was obvious, in hindsight, that the Cubs needed to do a better job of not only developing their own in-house pitching (both starting and relieving) but also making the most of some low-risk, high-upside offseason signings in order to maximize their bullpen contributions for a lesser cost, both prospect-wise and monetarily. The Cubs of today had a new philosophy under Jed Hoyer: they were going to build elite bullpens out of boxes of scraps [in a cave?]. Over the last three seasons, including this one, the Cubs have ranked 8th, 9th, and 6th in bullpen ERA in the National League, respectively. Now, while those figures may not sound too impressive, it’s worth mentioning that they climb into the top five each year once the calendar hits June. The games in April and May still matter, but the method by which the Cubs have built their bullpens lately necessarily leads to trial and error. Guys with established track records like Michael Fulmer and Brad Boxberger will struggle out of the gate whilst thrust into high-leverage roles, and under-the-radar acquisitions like Daniel Norris implode while trying to eat innings. It’s not a perfect system, but it has led the Cubs to unearth gems like Mark Leiter Jr., Julian Merryweather, and homegrown closer Adbert Alzolay. All of that fails to mention another significant aspect of this methodology of roster construction: cost-cutting. Whereas some teams around the league have no issue handing out massive contracts to dominant relievers, the Cubs have shied away from the practice, preferring to trust their pitching infrastructure to help scuffling relievers reach their full potential. On this year’s roster, two relievers are accounting for more than $1 million against the Cubs’ luxury tax payroll: Fulmer and Boxberger, who combined are making less than one-third of Edwin Diaz’s salary this season. As a result, the Cubs rank 20th this year in bullpen spending, with the roughy ~$8 million they’ve shelled out accounting for only 4.35% of their payroll. The two years prior to this one, the Cubs finished the season 28th (in 2022) and 29th (in 2021) in bullpen payroll. There should be no doubt that there has been a shift in organizational philosophy on this front. Additionally, if you think these cheap, quality relievers are valuable for a winning team, then don’t forget how valuable they were for a losing one. Last year, the Cubs traded Mychael Givens, David Robertson, Scott Effross, and Chris Martin for a bundle of prospects (and the now-departed Zach McKinstry), highlighted by starting pitchers Ben Brown and Hayden Wesneski. Those three veteran relievers were worth a combined $11 million on one-year deals, and Effross was and still is in pre-arbitration. Contending teams are always looking for bullpen help (see: the Nelson Velasquez for José Cuas trade), and it’s made all the more valuable when those relievers don’t force a team to recalculate their operating costs midseason. Exactly why the Cubs have zigged while the market for relievers has zagged is unclear. However, it’s undoubtedly fueled by the notorious volatility of even the best arms on the market (remember how awful Craig Kimbrel was when he initially signed his contract with the Cubs? And then how terrible he was for the White Sox after the trade for Nick Madrigal?). It’s not a flawless system the Cubs have, and some more year-over-year stability would do the team some good to help them avoid the early season slumps that have defined the last few seasons. However, there’s no denying the Cubs have gotten awfully good at maximizing their return on investment in the bullpen recently. If that’s a quality the team can maintain through this next competitive window, odds are the future is bright. View full article

I absolutely agree that, in the very short-term, Mastrobuoni may be the better call. Especially since he's a little more versatile defensively. But unless you really, truly believe this Cubs team is at (at the very least) a contender to get to the NLCS, and Mastro's bat is the difference between getting there and not, I don't think calling him up to keep PCA down is in the team's best long-term interest. There is legitimate, non-zero value in bringing a guy up for the famous "cup of coffee" in September to allow him to see what the best guys in the majors do, and apply that to a full offseason of prep. That being said, you can absolutely make the case that the extra roster spot over the offseason is more valuable than PCA getting big league exposure BECAUSE he's already pro-ready. If he was a rawer prospect, I'd actually argue more for him to come up and get the chance to really see what it'll take to succeed at the highest level.

Tiger nailed it (again) - you just don't know if PCA will be as great in the majors as he has been in the minor leagues. It's a massive jump between the two levels. Again, I'm on team "bring him up", but more so as a specialist. There's no need to force him to be an everyday starter right now.

Agreed. You'd have to imagine they go into the offseason expecting to put PCA on the 40 man after Spring Training (if he's not already on it). Still, keeping that extra spot open for an under-the-radar guy can be important -- look at Tauchman this year.

I like the mentality of this, especially in a playoff push. But there is value to keeping guys on the 40-man who may not be quite ready yet. Development takes time. It's a tough balancing act of contending at all costs v.s. future benefits.

I don't disagree - would love to see him get a few chances. Could help his development down the line. Really the only thing stopping the Cubs once the calendar reaches August is whether they want to burn the spot on the 40-man roster.

Saw this too - his bat is so much more advanced than anticipated. Wouldn't be surprising to see him get a couple of starts down the stretch. Very exciting!

Pete Crow-Armstrong True blue-chip prospect, with an 80-grade glove and 65+ speed. If his plate discipline carries into the majors, he'll be a perennial 3+ WAR guy. Owen Caissie Best bat in the system. Improvement in strikeout rates makes me think he's gaining feel for the zone. His glove is improving in right field. This kid is a stud. Cade Horton Best arm the Cubs have had in the system in a LONG time. Hopefully his relative freshness after barely pitching in college means he'll stay healthy and durable for a long while. His slider is a top ten pitch in all of minor league baseball. Kevin Alcantara It's rare that five-tool guys also have high baseball IQs, but that's Alcantara in a nutshell. If he stays healthy, he's capable of becoming an even better prospect at his peak than PCA is right now. Jordan Wicks A lefty pitching prospect with a dominant changeup and a history of adjusting to whatever challenge the next level throws at him. If Steele is Lester and Horton is Arrieta, this guy is the next Hendricks. Ben Brown Didn't love the Robertson trade when it happened, but Brown has really shown something here in 2023. He's struggled with his command pretty deeply at Triple-A, but his raw stuff is as good as anyone's. And that hammer curveball is something to behold. Matt Shaw This is a pick right out of the Theo Epstein era. High-quality college bat with an advanced feel capable of quickly ascending through the minors. He'll probably have to move to third with the middle infield blocked off, but Shaw's bat should play anywhere. Matt Mervis I haven't lost faith. He's a big lefty bat with great discipline and hitting more line drives than ever. His cup of coffee in May wasn't great, but Mervis has a chance to be the Cubs first basemen of the future if he can bring his plate approach from Triple-A into the majors. James Triantos It speaks volumes to the Cubs' depth that I have this guy all the way down at 9th. His bat stays in the zone for an exceptionally long period, and his feel for hitting may be the best in the entire system. Finding him a long-term defensive home would do wonders for his chances of being the big leagues in short order. Alexander Canario God that injury over the winter sucked. He had a massive breakout season in 2022, and his power is the most prodigious on the farm. If he's ever fully healthy again, he should resume his spot as the rightful heir to right field in Wrigley. Moises Ballesteros If Triantos isn't the guy with the best feel for hitting in the system, it's this guy. Who knows if he can stick at catcher long-term, but his bat is beyond advanced for his age and level. One of my favorite players in the system. Brennan Davis Man. This hurts. And even 12 is probably generous after the last two years of injuries and underperformance. If he can ever get right again, his tools are as loud as anyone from the previous core. 2024 is make or break for the former top prospect. Jackson Ferris I'm the down-man on this guy. I liked the Cubs' strategy in the 2022 draft of going under-slot college pitcher (Horton) and over-slot high school guy, but my opinions on them have flipped (Horton has impressed, Ferris has not). He's got a ton of projectability, but that deliver is so complex that I wonder how he'll respond to the inevitable simplification of it. Haydn McGeary I don't know how I could put this guy any lower. After an obscene college career, he's just taken every level of minor league baseball to task this year. Incredible hand-eye coordination and easy loft in his swing makes me think we'll see him in the majors shortly (against all odds for a 15th round pick last year). Cristian Hernandez My hype for him has been waning, but it's important to remember he's a 19 year old in A-ball. He's got time to make good on his incredible talents. Jefferson Rojas He's flying up my list, and will probably be top ten in the system by the offseason. Pablo Aliendo He's slowed down after a torrid start at the plate this year, but he's got legit catching chops and could pair with Amaya down the road as an elite two-way catching tandem. Brandon Birdsell He's just having a monster season at High-A. He'll be in the Double-A rotation before the year is out, and he's quickly becoming one of the most important starting pitching prospects in the system. Michael Arias A converted shortstop with an elite fastball and funky delivery. He's got a ton of relief risk, but he'll be an impact arm some way or another. Kohl Franklin He has a top three changeup in the system in my eyes, and is one of the few arms the Cubs have that poses practically zero relief risk. I still have a lot of faith that he'll be a back-end starter in Wrigley for a long time to come.

Definitely a threat with their pitching staff. I'd like to think the Cubs can match up with them pretty nicely, but Stroman's recent struggles and Sandy's recent uptick do not bode well for a potential series. Would be a fascinating matchup between two of the few teams in the majors who don't use homers as their primary means of scoring.

You're totally right. I think my head is in NFL mode after the Bears' preseason game 😅 (which now uses the 7 seed system anyways, so it was probably just a projection of the nightmares I have of having to face the Braves in the playoffs for the next decade).

Shame. This is the most important award in all of sports. There has never been a more important trophy in the Cubs' history than the one Bellinger will receive for CPOY.

Agreed that he's not the perfect candidate given his youth, but in a year where the NL lacks the obvious narrative-driven story the AL has (Liam Hendricks beating cancer), a guy rediscovering the height of his powers is a cool story. And yes, the Cubs need to make every effort to keep him. The lefty power and gold glove in the middle of the lineup is an enormous piece to have for the next half-decade. I have no idea what his number will be given his past struggles and meh peripherals this year, but the Matt Olson contract (8-162) seems like a reasonable compromise.

The Chicago Cubs are competitive into the second half of the season for the first time in years. If they keep this up, who might they face come October, and how could they match up with them? Image courtesy of Jovanny Hernandez / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK The Cubs are in good position in the push for a berth in the National League playoffs. They enter the new week 3.5 games out of the division lead, and just a half-game out of the final Wild Card spot. They’ve proved their mettle in a prolonged hot stretch since the All-Star break, taking two of three from the World Series-favorite Atlanta Braves and three of four from the Reds (to usurp them in the standings, albeit not permanently). Combining all of that with a favorable schedule on tap, the Cubs appear ready to forge ahead into the playoffs for the first time since 2020. If we can make the bold assumption that the Cubs do meander into the big dance, what will they be staring down as they try (against VERY stacked odds) to make it back to the Fall Classic? First things first: the top two seeds in the National League are all but sewn up by the Braves and Dodgers, respectively. The Cubs are a whopping 14 games behind Atlanta for the best record in the NL, and 9.5 behind the Dodgers. That makes Chicago highly unlikely to secure a first-round bye in the playoffs. From there, the Cubs have two relatively straightforward paths: win the division, or secure one of the three Wild Cards. If the Cubs take the Central, they’d become the third seed, matching them up with the six seed (the Wild Card with the worst record). Looking at their prospective opponents in that scenario, it’s likely the Cubs would face one of their division rivals in the Brewers or Reds, though the resurgent Padres and Marlins are also within shouting distance of the playoffs. The Diamondbacks are also only a few games back, but they’ve been mired in an abysmal slump since July 1, and appear to be fading fast. It’s reasonable to suspect one of the Phillies or Giants (holders of the top two Wild Card spots currently) could fall back a seed or two, but we’ll assume they hold steady and match up as the four and five seeds. If the Cubs can’t quite capture the division flag, but do sneak in as a Wild Card (again, assuming they would grab the six seed in this scenario), they would play the winner of their division - either the Brewers or the Reds. So, against these likeliest of opponents (the Brewers, Reds, Padres and Marlins), who do the Cubs stand the best chance against? 1. Milwaukee Brewers So far this year: 3-4 Games left: Six The Brewers are a good team, anchored once again by their pitching staff. Corbin Burnes and Freddy Peralta are fronting the rotation, old friend Wade Miley is having a fine bounce-back season after an injury-plagued sojourn on the North Side, and Brandon Woodruff was just activated off the 60-day IL. Their bullpen is also pretty lights-out, with Devin Williams and flamethrowing wizard/warlock/magician Abner Uribe shutting things down late in games. However, their offense has been… well, offensive, with Willy Adames and Rowdy Tellez particularly struggling after years of solid production. For a Cubs team geared to win with defense and timely hitting, the Brewers pose a massive threat. They're wired to win the close, low-scoring affairs that become more prominent in the playoffs. 2. Cincinnati Reds So far this year: 4-5 Games left: Three The Reds are the antithesis of the Brewers: electric offense, horrendous pitching. The lineup is loaded from top to bottom, with young studs like Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer solidifying their major-league credentials. Joey Votto is also having a resurgent year, posting an .842 OPS across 42 games. Their pitching staff, on the other hand, is downright atrocious. Rookie Andrew Abbott is the only starter with a sub-3.00 ERA, and most of the pitchers on the team are sporting ERAs starting with a 4 or a 5. The bullpen, while anchored by a dominant Alexis Diaz, is also a mess, ranking 17th in the majors in ERA even with their closer’s contributions. This is the team the Cubs should want to play in the Wild Card round, as their inexperience and unreliable pitching should do them no favors against a team led by World Series champions Dansby Swanson and Cody Bellinger. 3. San Diego Padres So far this year: 4-3 Games left: Zero The fact that this is the one team on this list against whom the Cubs have a winning record this year (so far) is emblematic of the Padres’ wildly disappointing season as a whole. They are, on paper, perhaps the most talented team in all of baseball, with a trio of aces in the rotation (Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Blake Snell); one of the best relief pitchers in the league (Josh Hader); and an absurd cache of talent in the lineup (Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr., Juan Soto, Xander Boegarts, Ha-Seong Kim… it just goes on and on). They’ve been burned by injuries and poor performances all over the roster, but this team is still the scariest on this list. Any one of their star hitters can take over a three-game series, and their rotation is uniquely suited to throw out an ace-caliber arm every game in the Wild Card Series. This team is currently sub-.500 and the farthest away from a playoff spot of everyone here, but that means that if they do get in, they’ll likely be riding a wave of momentum. Hopefully, the Cubs can avoid them in the first round. 4. Miami Marlins So far this year: 2-4 Games left: Zero A somewhat similar profile to the Brewers (good pitching, anemic hitting), though closer to average on both ends rather than the Brewers’ extremes. The Miami lineup has some legitimately good players, notably including former Cub Jorge Soler and batting champion Luis Arraez. The pitching staff has some big names, but reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Sandy Alcantara has been less consistent in his brilliance this year, and wunderkind Eury Perez has been on a tight innings limit since May. You’d have to feel good about this matchup, especially since it would mean the Cubs won the division and are playing at Wrigley in October (a stark contrast for a team based in Florida). If the Cubs were to beat their first-round opponent, they’d go on to face the Dodgers (if they are the three seed) or the Braves (if they are the six seed) in the National League Division Series. While further analysis of those potential series would be warranted, it’s a “cross that bridge when you come to it” situation--especially since, all things considered, the Cubs are probably losing either of those series. Both teams are top three in team OPS (the Braves are shockingly secure in first place, with an almost unfathomable .840 OPS as a team), and their pitching staffs are much deeper than the Cubs’ Justin Steele-plus-a-hope-and-a-prayer construction. Regardless of that, though, anything can happen once you’re in the playoffs, and the Cubs can make some serious noise if they get there this year. Although the more important thing for fans to focus on is how the Cubs perform here in crunch time down the stretch, rooting for a potential playoff opponent (even if it’s a division rival) has its own merit. View full article

The Cubs are in the heat of a division (and Wild Card) race, and I’m here talking about the most important award in baseball: the Comeback Player of the Year award. Image courtesy of © Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports This Cubs team has some pretty exciting talents on it: Justin Steele will all but certainly finish top ten in the Cy Young voting, the middle infield combo of Dansby Swanson and Nico Hoerner may double-up on gold gloves, and Tucker Barnhart is batting .308 in the second half (through 13 at-bats…). However, without any doubt, the most valuable player on this iteration of the Chicago Cubs is Cody Bellinger, a former MVP and Rookie of the Year for the Dodgers who was only available because they non-tendered him following a couple of injury-plagued campaigns. The Cubs have had a long history of legendary players winning the most prestigious awards in the sport, from Greg Maddux and Jake Arrieta winning the Cy Young to Ernie Banks and Kris Bryant winning Most Valuable Player. But for all of the legacies that have been formed and solidified on the North Side, there has never been a Comeback Player of the Year in the Cubs pantheon. The award, developed in 2005 as part of an MLB sponsored partnership with Pfizer for Viagra, has been won by luminaries and journeymen alike, including Albert Pujols last year and Daniel Bard in 2020. Counterpoint: Why Christian Yelich is the Comeback Player of the Year Now, after an arduous wait of 18 years, Cubs fans finally have something to look forward to: their first eventual Comeback Player of the Year award winner. Cody Bellinger is having a monstrous season, posting a 3.9 fWAR alongside a .329/.379/.559 triple-slash line. He’s added 18 home runs and 17 stolen bases, while playing his normally apt center field and first base defense. Digging in a little further, you’ll find that Bellinger has a 150 weighted runs created-plus (wRC+), meaning he’s been 50% better than the average hitter this year (for reference, he was at a 161 wRC+ during his MVP-winning season in 2019). He’s also impressed with his plate discipline, striking out a career-low 15.6% of the time, while walking in 7.5% of his plate appearances. Overall, he’s been the 15th most valuable offensive player in all of baseball this year according to bWAR, and all the names on the list above him are established stars (like Freddie Freeman and Ronald Acuna Jr.) or young players having breakout seasons (like Corbin Carrol); in other words, Bellinger’s company are candidates for awards like the MVP or Rookie of the Year, rather than competition for the illustrious Comeback Player of the Year title. Now, there are other contenders for the award. As much as Cubs fans may adamantly argue that this is a one-horse race, other players have come back from their own struggles and setbacks to return to their former glory, namely a player up in Wrigley North: Christian Yelich. Yelich is having a fine season for the division-leading Brewers, and he just peaked with an absurdly hot July (he slashed .333/.389/.626 for an OPS of 1.015). But who won July Player of the Month in the National League? Cody Bellinger. Who is playing on the hottest team in baseball, that’s on the precipice of usurping the division lead to cap off an incredible comeback from an abysmal start to the season? Cody Bellinger. And who, pray tell, is the guy playing on a one-year prove-it deal rather than simply living up to the status of a $200 million contract? Why, that would be one Cody James Bellinger. Admittedly, his batted-ball metrics aren’t quite as elite as his golden years in Los Angeles, and he’s almost certainly been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the new shift rules, but his overall numbers don’t lie - Cody Bellinger is (basically) back. And in case you need any more proof that he’s locked up this honor, remember that this award, more than any other, favors one thing first and foremost: the narrative. Bellinger was a prodigy, a top-15 prospect in all of baseball at the time he was recalled to replace an injured Adrian Gonzales in 2017. He was unstoppable for the next three years, culminating in that legendary 2019 season. But then, during the Dodgers’ march to the 2020 World Series (the Covid season), Bellinger dislocated his shoulder on a home run celebration in Game 7 of the NLCS. He fell off the proverbial offensive cliff the next two years, posting a combined 68 wRC+ in 2021 and 2022, resulting in his eventual unceremonious non-tender off the Dodgers’ roster. But now, Bellinger is healthy again. He’s swinging like the top prospect of old, and he’s only getting hotter as the season goes on. The Cubs, like Bellinger, have been a fun story this season, garnering (positive) national attention for the first time in years. The team is winning again, and Bellinger is the main catalyst as to why. Though both he and the team will claim that the playoff push is more important, we all know what truly matters for this season: Cody Bellinger rightly hoisting his 2023 National League Comeback Player of the Year trophy come November. View full article

Yea, not great. REALLY wish the Cubs would've added a back-end guy at the deadline. Alas, they'll have to make due. Unfortunately, the team will be HEAVILY relying on Stroman to come back completely healthy if it wants to make any noise. That's a lot to put on a 32 year-old groundball pitcher.