Stratos
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Everything posted by Stratos
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Dansby projected to finish with a 3.5 fWAR. Pretty good considering how bad most of his season was at the plate. Seiya's numbers look very similar to last year.
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Let's put Amaya and Paredes in a race.
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Neely's fastball looks very hittable so far. Guys hitting .375 and .750 SLG on it so far, very high exit velo. Early yet though.
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Before the deadline our 5-9 hitters in the lineup all had wRC+ under 100. Yuck. Glad things have improved.
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Yeah he'd be fine in a piggy-back or swing guy role. Hopefully we have enough healthy SP to make that happen. He might just have had some control issues since coming back from injury. He did a bit better last year getting deeper in games.
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Well he was also out for half the season, that's going to atrophy some of your muscle strength if you can't throw for that long. You could be right though hard to say i guess.
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Assad has a 3.11 ERA as a SP and a career 3.05 ERA as a SP, which is better Steele's career SP ERA (in half the IP though). Very likely not sustainable with that LOB% but still.
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There's a week and half of games left in the season. There's not much point in promoting him at this point. He can start next season in high-A.
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Cubs have a 2.4% chance of clinching a wild card spot. They need to go on a run, and it needed to be this month because next month is tougher and this month was easy. They need to sweep the Marlins.
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Jed: Cubs expected to be over the luxury tax THIS year
Stratos replied to UMFan83's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Don't worry, they'll be back under next year LOL -
Tigers (TBD) vs Cubs (Assad): 8/20/24, 7:05pm
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Nothing says Wrigley like an LED light show. -
Jed: Cubs expected to be over the luxury tax THIS year
Stratos replied to UMFan83's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I am happy and not surprised Neris is gone. Some money freed to grab a guy or 2 for pen this winter or whatever. Pen for 2024 so far: Hodge, Merryweather, Miller, Wesneski, Palencia, Roberts, Almonte, Little Lopez and Smyly are FA this winter. -
Please don't put words in my mouth. This isn't the first time you've made this kind of argument.
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If they didn't show the K-zone on the broadcast i don't think many of us would be mad at too many calls. Removing the k-zone might increase our enjoyment, we'd have to eyeball it like the umps and players do and not get mad so much about calls. If you get caught looking at strike 3 and its 2 inches outside thats partly your fault IMO for not protecting the plate with 2-strikes.
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IMO signing virtually any player to a 10-year deal from around age 30-40 based on the stats they put up in their 20's is a dumb risk and most often fails. Swanson is going to age and decline eventually, if it hasn't happened already (unknown), we all know that. But he's put up more WAR so far over the last 2 seasons than the other 3 SS that winter and we won't have him until he's 40. He costs far less than Turner and Xander.
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I don't think he has much Javy magic IMO. He's just overly aggressive and once or twice a week it bites him, not even including the lack of walks. Sometimes the aggresiveness works in his favour, and it's probably just luck whenever it works or not. I'm embarrassed for him on a regular basis, but he's young. Javy's brain was different.
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Jed: Cubs expected to be over the luxury tax THIS year
Stratos replied to UMFan83's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Was there another buyout previously and owed this year? Boxberger is also owed 800k this year on a buyout. -
Neris balked on pretty much every pitch that inning before the one they called a balk. You have to be pretty dumb to be a 35 y/o veteran and keep doing this as part of your routine while everyone has been reminding you constantly all season to stop.
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Well i'll argue that umpiring has never been more accurate in the history of baseball, by orders of magnitude. They're kept honest by the fact that players and fans and the league can see if they're wrong now with the K-zone on the broadcast etc and so they'll get criticized and embarrassed when missing calls unlike 20+ years ago when strikezones were at the umps complete whim.
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Yeah, but getting that 1st round bye is pretty huge, for a best of 3 WC series too. He only throws like 10 pitches an appearance anyways so he's not working near as hard as say Neris haha
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I agree. Worth a shot forcing an error on a few throws rather than a routine one to 1B. Odds either way aren't great.
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Not having Leiter lost us the game there. Smyly is worse vs LHB, and Lopez is terrible vs LHB. Merryweather did very well vs LHB last year but he's just not himself yet. This is the pen Hoyer has left Counsell with. We also needed some cleaner fielding in this game or a better outing by Imanaga. If Counsell is lacking that much confidence in the pen that he thought sticking with Imanaga was the better bet then we have pen issues again. You can't score 8 runs and lose.
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At the moment, with this recent winning push, i'm just grateful i have a reason to actually watch the games and keep a sliver of hope even though there's only like a 6% playoff odds right now. This is exactly what Ricketts and the business wants and I'm a sucker in a way, but i've already bought my MLB.tv sub for the year so they aren't getting anything extra out of me...besides some Wrigley and on-air ad exposure.
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I think Belli is a bit better than the 115 wRC+. I'd expect more HR as his .ISO is well down this year. In the first half he seemed to pop-up a bunch of pitches balls he crushed last year. A catcher and full year of Paredes will go a long way compared to this year. Cubs have -0.4 fWAR out of 3B this season compared to 2.6 WAR last season, and -0.9 fWAR this year out of C compared to 1.5 WAR last year. That's about 5.5 wins difference so far. CF is also down by about 4 wins this season because PCA/Bellinger in 2024 is far less productive than Belli/Tauchman from last year. I think we could get 2 more wins out of CF next year. An effective pen for the first 3 months would also nab more wins. Soto would add about 3 wins over e.g. Happ, plus whatever we get if we trade one of our current OF. Maybe add 5-ish wins (?) if we kept all our OF. Given all the teams that will want Soto we might have maybe a 10% shot at landing him if we're serious about it.
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https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/08/cubs-pursued-logan-ohoppe-at-trade-deadline.html
