Stratos
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Everything posted by Stratos
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Yeah they can't actually hit the baseball.
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Because our current everyday 3B is replacement level bad unless the trending metrics have somehow changed dramatically in the last month. If they all but concede and sell some guys at the deadline Morel can go back to 3B and Busch to 1B. I'm just throwing out ideas.
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Yes I'm aware how the statistics work out and the tradeoffs involved. The SP's sparkling ERA's is great to have but isn't doing enough to get this team wins. This month's schedule is a joke and they keep losing and not scoring runs. The team SLG is 27th in MLB and 29th since May 1, and PCA isn't helping there. Maybe PCA out and Canario in would be a net wash, or net negative, who knows. The point is the current formula isn't working, its a disaster. So change the formula. What's the risk? They keep sucking? We can risk some SP regression for some more SLG.
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Nothing ventured nothing gained. At this point, what's the statistical probability the Cubs dramatically improve by sending the same lineup of players out every day vs trying some different players? A month ago I supported Hoyer and Counsell's approach of patience. The offense isn't regressing to the mean, the same thing has happened pretty much day after day for the last 2 months, there's a clear trend. Something needs to change.
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I'd ideally prefer that too. But does any of it matter at this point?
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I get what you're saying. Yes he could be. But we know for 100% certain that the team sucks right now with PCA in the hitting lineup. Give someone else a chance in the lineup. It's time to act urgently. The time for patience and calculated rationality based on statistical most likely scenarios is past. Time to take some risks.
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If we're talking playing one of these guys for the next 2 seasons id agree with you. I'm not thrilled with Canario's profile either. But being concerned with most likely scenarios is less relevant for the next 3 months because we're desperate, which calls for desperate measures. Looking for lightning in a bottle. At this point I would be making whatever changes I could that could possibly help because the status quo isn't working. If we keep PCA I would consider trying Busch at 3B and sliding Morel to DH (Busch likely isn't as bad at 3b as Morel and fields hit balls well at 1b), sticking Bellinger at 1B, or keep Bellinger at CF and try Mervis again at 1b, or whomever. Morel's terrible fielding/range has him as a replacement player right now. All potential options should be on the table for any position we're deficient. We're still carrying Mastro FFS.
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Playing Canario may not work. Maybe it will make them worse. Maybe he hits over 100 wrc+. We don't know. What we do know is that this team sucks and is losing as its currently constructed, this offense is broken, they have no slug, they're not hitting HR, they're leaving lots of guys on base, and the bottom of the order is among the very worst in the MLB in hitting. In Canario's short stint this year he registered the 3rd highest average bat speed in the MLB, that's above Morel, he has excellent power, potentially elite. Maybe he's terrible, maybe he goes on a Morel/Wisdom tear when they were called up. The risk of trying Canario is zero, they need to act with urgency and take risks. The Cubs continuing with the same lineup and roster is a losing idea.
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Bullpens are random. Mariano Rivera was randomly the best reliever of all time
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Nice to see another good start from Hendricks. Working in the curve as a legit 3rd pitch to keep guys from guessing so easily seems to be helping too.
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I'd go with either over PCA at the moment. Both are on the 40-man. Bellinger is fine in CF. They should be desperate and try anything that may improve the offense.
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There's no point in watching these games. They don't score, and when they do or the SP is excellent the pen blows their leads. It's a miracle their record isn't worse than it is.
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He's still probably a better hitter than PCA on a team that is amongst the worst offenses in the majors the last couple of months and need more HR power and driving in runs for an offense that only does well in BB and baserunning and very deficient in driving in runs once on base. It's worth a shot, the status quo isn't working.
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His approach is pretty bad (too aggressive), his hit tool/skills are below average, plus he's young and green. He has no chance out there right now. I guess he's just there for the glove in the FO's mind.
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Canario has also put up a 45 K% in his 2 very small MLB stints (42 PA total). I agree he's not a savior, but he should help the offense on a team that has serious run-scoring issues and could use some kind of change in dynamic. One of our OF's are DHing almost every game anyways. I think he and Morel's power and pull approach comes at the expense of the contact/avg and limits their potential.
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Just watched Bigge at Iowa, throwing 97-98. Control has been the question with him obviously. Seems like we have a lot of good stuff/lame control relievers.
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Well let's hope Howard's good hitting continues for most of this year and the defense is still there.
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Cool. PCA would be good to keep through the Giants series due to the large OF. He should be playing every day in Iowa, he's not ready for prime time. I would love to see Mastro deleted from this org.
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I think Howard will always be an above average glove, below average bat guy. All of his main hitting stats so far in his career per Fangraphs are below average, which confirms the tool reports. Cubs took a shot with the glove high floor. Seems like a utility infielder or poor-hitting SS.
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Cubs (Steele) vs Giants (TBD): 6/24/24, 8:45pm
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
I want to urinate on this team. -
Cubs (Steele) vs Giants (TBD): 6/24/24, 8:45pm
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Could be fun watching PCA patrol CF in the giants park, whatever corporate name it is now. -
Cubs (Steele) vs Giants (TBD): 6/24/24, 8:45pm
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Cubs play Baltimore, Phillies, Brewers in July. Going to be a miracle if they make a pre- deadline push like last year. Thing is the pen started rolling in early June last year. Leiter just went down. Even if the offense improves they still need to close games. -
Busch has a 24.5% K% in June, and a 166 wRC+. Only 1 HR and .156 ISO though.
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Does anyone actually read his takes? I use BN for the news and skip all of his opinions.
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Darn. Shaw seems ok, just hit a HR.
