Stratos
-
Posts
3,785 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Stratos
-
Soto replaces a corner OF or DH. So we're about 3 wins better with Soto, maybe 4. Doubtful he keeps up this pace with the glove. We still have a CF that can't hit anything above his shoelaces, no 3B, and crappy catchers. Jansen and Shaw could help there for not much money. Shaw should be in Iowa before the end of this season. PCA can bat 9th LOL. Jansen + Shaw might nab us 3-4 wins over this year's team. Then there's the pen that's garbage for half the season and has no closer.
-
No.
-
Just noticed that Wicks was put on the 60-day IL. Oh well...
-
The lineup just isn't very good without Bellinger in it, and wasn't that good with him in it anyways. The bottom half of the lineup is very weak. Morel and Swanson need to step it up, but doesn't look like its gonna happen. This team doesn't have what it takes. Too bad since the pen has now seemingly settled in.
-
Cubs Expressing Interest In Blue Jays Catcher Danny Jansen
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
If they don't land him it looks like there's a pit of nothing at C in FA this offseason. -
OAK is now "ATH" i think on the calendar. Guess they may be on the move lol
-
Always found it odd that the Cubs cared what the rooftops did. You have a ballpark in a neighbourhood and neighbours will watch, its fun.
-
123 year old buildings. This is pretty dumb.
-
You're judging Drury on 167 PA's, his stats this season are largely irrelevant given the sample size. We'd probably need the guy for a few months next season until Shaw is ready. Shaw has good surplus potential on a team desperate for surplus, i wouldn't block him to pay a guy who will be age 32-34 hitting decline years. If they want someone quality on OD then trade for a guy like Parades.
-
Interesting. Given we have Shaw probably ready later next season i'd go Drury and put that 20m somewhere else, maybe Soto. Just not into giving that much money to 32+ y/o position guys. Agree to disagree. People here don't like this idea but I'd even try Busch there for half a season with Bellinger at 1B. Busch has the hands and reaction time for 3B. Land Soto and put him RF, he's doing fine there this season. Try to trade Soto at age 30.
-
He's only played 167 PA's this year because he was injured earlier. His wRC+ in a sample of a 1.5 months of PA's is largely meaningless.
-
Unless he comes on a shortterm deal I don't see the Cubs signign Chapman. Too old for longterm, pass.
-
I'd take a risk on Baty, but it would be nice to acquire a 3B that we think can perform immediately in 2025. Longterm project at 3B doesn't do much for us with Shaw in the wings. I'd be fine with a veteran holdover at 3B to start 2025. Brandon Drury is a FA this winter, could be had on a 1-year maybe for not much, and probably available this deadline for not much. Had a hamstring injury earlier this year.
-
I'd do that trade without thinking,.
-
Matt Shaw? haha
-
Fear has nothing to do with it. How are they going to get a decent starter for a replacement player as you say? You can't make both arguments at the same time. Why would they trade a guy if they need him? We need depth and, as of now, a DH and backup middle infielder. How much do you expect to get for a guy who's an ok DH that sucks at fielding & having a 96 wRC+ year at the plate?
-
I wouldn't trade Morel, he's decent backup at 2B/SS in case of injury. If Shaw or Triantos come up and DH is covered by someone who can hit as well as Morel then he'd be expendable.
-
Well he's not "replacement level" in terms of being a replacement player, he's an above-average MLB starter. He has value to contending teams right now looking for SP, especially while having a good season and his contract. Good relievers also have trade value at the deadline, but good relievers can also be had in any offseason. We have trade leverage because above-average SP at the deadline are a bit scarce and teams want them, but during the offseason in FA they aren't as scarce, they come at-cost and acquired without giving up another player.
-
They've done well with Taillon and Imanaga on value, i have some confidence they can find more. Taillon is a career 3.92 career ERA SP, which is solid, but can be replaced at good value just about any offseason. If they can get something for him worth the bother then sure i'd trade him. Taillon has 2 years of control left at a good salary, i'm sure they can get something pretty good back for that.
-
We don't have to use WAR as a measure then, because sure WAR may not encompass 100% of a player's value in theory. My argument is essentually that every FO's job in terms of payroll is generally to maximize the talent on the team per the budget they're given. I'm using WAR to measure talent, but yes there's some intangibles and other things to consider. Jed's been very careful with money on guys like Taillon, Imanaga etc to maximize value but more careless with Mancini, Smyly, Barnhart etc. He needs to be even more disciplined on value, not less. We also need more surplus via good young players, which seems to be coming, and we'd have more this season without the injuries to almost all of our young pitchers.
-
That's like saying after a month of play in the regular season that there's no correlation between hitting talent and BA and SLG because some bad hitter hit .350 in a month and some great hitters hit .220. Run the same playoffs back 100 times and you'll find correlation. Randomless/luck of small samples doesn't change that.
-
I think Bellinger will probably be fine, he just hasn't found the HR stroke this year, he's been off just a bit on pitches he usually cranks.
-
Measured by what? WAR?
-
I disagree about correlation between WAR and post-season success. Small samples like 1 month of playoffs or 5 or 7 game series do lead to a lot of randomness though and the best teams don't always win. WAR is an individual statistic but team WAR and other team stats aren't. There's a fairly strong correlation in the regular season between team WAR and team wins.
-
How does a GM maximize wins over the short and longterm?