Stratos
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Everything posted by Stratos
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If he's going to hit 35 HR in Minute Maid then WTF did we include Cam Smith for?
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If we assume they have about 40m after trading Belli then that's enough for Kelly, a good late inning guy, and a SP. They might go Buehler- level on the SP and go after an extra reliever, a lefty
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If we assume they have about 40m after trading Belli then that's enough for Kelly, a good late inning guy, and a SP. They might go Buehler- level on the SP and go after an extra reliever, a lefty
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If we assume they have about 40m after trading Belli then that's enough for Kelly, a good late inning guy, and a SP. They might go Buehler- level on the SP and go after an extra reliever, a lefty
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Mastrobuoni Tucker Mastrobuoni Mastrobuoni Mastrobuoni Mastrobuoni Mastrobuoni Mastrobuoni Mastrobuoni
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This trade is crazy. I'm enjoying the dopamine explosions. Celebrate today, go back to realistic brain tomorrow.
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Mastrobuoni
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Confirm with Thawv
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Re-sign Wisdom and Madrigal.
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Maybe Soto kicked Ricketts in the butt a little. But I doubt it haha
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We also have Mastrobuoni. If Madrigal was still here we could slap the NL Central into submission.
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Word is KatyPerrysBootyHole has their crack to the ground and hearing some rumblings. possibly from her own hole though.
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Just a reminder that if Ricketts would up the payroll by 25m and start playing closer to the big boys we wouldn't be having some of these discussions. They could extend Tucker and go out and get more talent.
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Interesting if true. Us trading two 3b doesn't make sense. Shaw more destined for 2b longterm post-Nico IMO. I think that deal is well good enough for Astros without Wesneski.
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Losing Paredes stings too. 3 WAR bat for the next 3 years that isn't making much yet. Tucker is a 2 WAR upgrade over Paredes for 1 year. Plus Smith. Tucker is a 2 WAR upgrade over Seiya and arguably Bellinger given one of them would go delete too if a trade happens. Who do the Cubs play at 3B is the real question. Much easier to replace OF or DH than 3B. A hole at 3B plus questions on Nico's health makes the infield more iffy. This is more complicated than " let's get a star bat".
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The equivalent to the Red Sox prospects the Cubs would have had to give (and beat) to get Crochet would have been roughly Shaw and Cam Smith (2 mid 1st round picks) graded at "55" by MLB Pipeline, plus two 45-graded prospects, so e.g. Wiggins and Mathis. That's a solid haul for only 2 years of Crochet. If the Cubs really like their best prospects I don't blame them for holding on to them. If we're looking at the next 2 years some fans will be upset we don't have Crochet, but over the next 8 years or so we might win on that. We're all just frustrated that the Cubs have been mediocre the last few years.
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Whomever he gets traded to will assume his production as well. Every team cares about both.
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Just a note that I didn't say the Astros wanted all 2 or 3 guys as mentioned. My point was those guys are valuable to us too. Point of the trade should be that we're better from it and same with Astros and we might not get there in a deal.
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If Bellinger only made 10m he'd be more valuable and would bring more back in trade. Every GM cares about surplus.
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I'm with you on this, though to be fair this could be the difference between winning the division or otherwise getting into the playoffs or not. At the end of the day the Cubs have to calculate the value of Tucker vs the prospects. Tucker is projected to make about 16-17m in arbitration. His market value for 1 year is maybe 40m? So we'd be getting like 23m in surplus value in a trade. Paredes has surplus value the next 3 years, Seiya I assume has some also. As for the prospects they'd probably need to have some kind of model to project what the average likely outcome for each prospect (any prospect can outperform or underperform their most likely outcome) in their system over 6 years of service time and what they'd project to be paid in arb and therefore their projected surplus value. Then you compare those values vs Tucker's value for 1 year, plus maybe factor some intangibles or other factors like what else is available on the market and its price, and then FO would have a rough idea whether the trade makes sense or not. I would imagine if Paredes was a FA right now and got a 3-year deal (same as his time left before FA) he'd be making 20m AAV at least. He's projected at 6m in arbitration so that's good surplus obviously, plus the other 2 seasons.
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If you get an extension from Tucker at market rates (10/350 ish?) I'd say the value of getting the extension is more or less negligible. You're not really "gaining" much if anything. You also lose the QO. If they trade for him they're paying for the 1 year at a solid surplus salary. You could say any extension below market rates is added to the value of the trade but that's not in any way guaranteed so you can't really factor that into the trade calculation.
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Let's hope, but I just don't know if the fit is good enough based on what the Astros need and will demand for that good of a player, and the prospects Jed may like to keep. Can't see Seiya being happy at DH or Tucker given its his walk year, they'd have to rotate guys through DH. Hard to see a solid 3B like Paredes go after years of punting the position, and we can use all the SP we have. If it falls through we could still move Bellinger & it opens up options for us. DH is an easy fill and there's 28 other teams with bats too, sign Carson Kelly, another SP, some late-inning pen arms incl. a lefty.
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That might screw up the Bellinger trade. Let's hope we don't blow the whole thing.
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What would Corey Seager get this offseason if he were 28 y/o? Willy Adames didn't get a crazy market price. Maybe Willy's agent effed up by jumping the market a tad? I guess Matthew Boyd was signed at market price given what SP are getting now? If so, I apologize to Jed a bit for earlier comments. Someone let me know if he gets this.
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Not allowed apparently: "New York also picks up an undisclosed amount of money it can use to sign an international amateur before the end of the signing period on Sunday. To be clear, the signing bonus space is unrelated to Roki Sasaki. The Japanese star will be part of next year’s amateur class. Teams cannot trade for ’25 bonus allotments until that signing period begins on January 15." https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/12/red-sox-acquire-carlos-narvaez-from-yankees.html
