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Stratos

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Everything posted by Stratos

  1. Stratos
    This is a strawman because my argument was that they should prioritize both talent and durability.
  2. Stratos
    The thing is I think the modern offseason for FOs is a lot about waiting for the asking prices to come down, so we could be waiting a bunch more...
  3. Stratos
    Owen Caissie? I kid, I kid....
  4. Stratos
    What we know about Jed from last 2 years is that he'll likely at least try to a decent degree. He never acts desperate though.
  5. Stratos
    2 anecdotes prove what exactly? That nothing is certain? We already know that. Projections are about probabilities, not certainties. No projection model is making the bet that Cabrera is throwing more innings, has a lower ERA, or a higher WAR next year than Cease. A serious owner would give his FO the resources to get someone who is likely to both make 2 strong starts a series and be on the field to do it. Anyways, Jed has done his duty, so for that I'm grateful. Go Cubs.
  6. Stratos
    I'm upset that so often we have to settle for someone old, half-broken, or costing our best prospects. Cabrera is projected for 2.0 WAR and a 4:00 ERA FFS.. He's got ERA variance upside and IP variance downside (arm injury). Ya for Caissie he's fine but our big SP add is a 4:00 ERA 2.0 WAR guy with arm problems plus bringing back Gopherball McGoo. We would have already had Cease the last several years had old man Ricketts taken the WS cash and ponied up for another good SP. Instead he bought up the rest of the neighborhood to make even more money because he's a greedy b****h and we're all his suckers. We need a nickname for Tom now. How about "Runner-up Ricketts"? BAHAHA
  7. Stratos
    If you ignore the red flags, sure. But hey, I'm the guy last year who said Steele was on Tommy John watch and people here dogged me for that before he went under the knife like a week later. I couldn't care less about temporary dopamine hits from shiny new toys, I want to the Cubs to be the best team in the MLB. The best team in the AL just added a horse in Dylan Cease who should easily go deep into Oct and we added Upside McGee held together with duct tape and projected for less WAR than Imanaga. I do like the upside though. I am very glad they got a prime age player and not some 37 year old ready to decline-implode. Anyways, this is more about Tom than Jed. I think Jed is doing the best that can be expected, I try to never download my Tom-hate on him. At this point you gotta think signing an OF in FA is strongly on the table. No idea how they replace Happ+Seiya next year. Extending one or both another 4ish years isn't the ideal but possible, or another trade next winter. Luckily corner OF/DH are the easiest to replace. I like Conrad but he might be more a late-2027 or 2028 ETA. Anyways I'm cranky, have a nice day.
  8. Stratos
    Never said anything about the current pen, but it's solid so far, no complaints. Cabrera has red flags on his arm health, that's my concern as i stated. The rotation has to go 7 months deep to win a ring and our top guns already have some durability concerns going into next year. Steele's return and Wiggins might be what saves the rotation in the 2nd half.
  9. Stratos
    Last deadline we needed a SP and we got broken garbage who fell apart after a dozen pitches. Previous 2 deadlines we needed relievers but got arse. Heading into the offseason we needed to upgrade SP. We re-signed a HR machine who was BP down the stretch and in the playoffs, then just traded for another pitcher whose arm is falling off. This is not a serious organization. I'm hoping this works out and he stays healthy but if he does it's luck. We know the Cubs medical staff have no idea WTF they're looking at.
  10. Stratos
    Sure but I think if you're gonna control a guy for the next 3 years there's a significant difference between currently healthy guys like those who recently had TJS and won't again for awhile vs those with shredded elbows ready to pop at any moment.
  11. Stratos
    Yeah I'd predict below average glove value from Caissie. He runs like a moose. Might be a good nickname for him lol
  12. Stratos
    What if Cabrera is acquired for Caissie or Conrad but Tucker is resigned. Like the calls for Bichette here, we can dream...
  13. Stratos
    Sure but some aren't actively having elbow issues with 3 years left until FA. This could be Soroka redux. But again, Jed is stuck in a corner. Even with Soroka I imagine the other deals on the table just weren't worth the costs.
  14. Stratos
    Honestly this is a great guess.
  15. Stratos
    Well I'd rather spend significant money on a bat than a SP due to the injury prone nature of SP. We'll see who is dealt first to fully judge the deal. I agree that spending significant cash on players age 33+ is problematic. But then so is dealing away your young prospects. Again, Jed is stuck in a corner with this ownership.
  16. Stratos
    They don't want to pay for a FA bat + FA SP.
  17. Stratos
    Yes.
  18. Stratos
    Well the good news is we probably land one of these big FA bats. Unless Tommy just pockets the money again, which would likely result in a boycott of the 2026 season from me. Go Jays!
  19. Stratos
    Some fair points, but they don't need 10 yr megadeals to sign a good SP. And if they won't sign huge FA deals then they're dumb as rocks to trade talented hitting prospects like Cam Smith. Jed is stuck between a rock and a hard place. This trade is only about saving money.
  20. Stratos
    Given Cabrera's elbow is about to explode I'm not that keen on this deal. Final judgment when the prospects we're sending are announced. 2nd offseason in a row we're sending good prospects away for players because Tom is too cheap to pay for them in FA. What a joke
  21. Stratos
    Top guy they'd be most likely to sign would be the guy whose market ends up the weakest per their va.lue My best guess is could be anyone except the top 2 guys Bichette and Tucker, since Dodgers and/or Jays should be in on them.
  22. Stratos
    Every team with some money to spend should be "checking in on" every quality FA who has any chance to be useful to them. I mean it takes just 1 phone call to Boras to check on the price of a bunch of guys.
  23. Stratos
    Ya Horton's K/9 doesn't jive with the results last year. He probably had some BABIP luck with great defense behind him, plus a pitchers ballpark. There may obviously be some things xFIP and Steamer aren't factoring. These projection systems should be generating the most likely outcomes with room for variance that's better or worse. A 4.34 ERA projection seems a bit high though, but we fans might also be biased.
  24. Stratos
    0.5% chance the Cubs sign Bichette. His market would have to fall flat and with his age and the Jays interest I don't see them winning a bid. The most likely FA's the Cubs sign will be the guys who are most undervalued by this year's market according to the Cubs and it's impossible to say who that will be because we don't know what other teams are willing to bid on players. Last year it was guys like Boyd and Rea, and before that it was guys like Swanson, Suzuki, Imanaga etc. Bellinger was an exception because they didn't have a CF and he was the only good one on the market at the time.
  25. Stratos
    Yeah probably. Which is why this org sucks
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