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Stratos

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Everything posted by Stratos

  1. Stratos
    Great news!
  2. Stratos
    I'd call Flexen's run with us extreme luck. The stats point that way. BABIP, K/9, xFIP If they can get Martin to give up far fewer HR, walks. and hits, then yes he can be good. Maybe he's made strides already this winter with his stuff.
  3. Stratos
    It's almost shocking how much Corbin Martin sucks.
  4. Stratos
    I'm hitting PCA last vs LHP
  5. Stratos
    My take too. But if Jed has some models that somehow show Bregman is more likely to age like fine wine instead of 90% of MLB hitters then I'll worship the ground Jed walks on as a POBO God. I will say that basically every FA deal Jed has signed over 10m AAV has worked out well so I have a lot of faith in him. I'm really skeptical on this deal but i guess there's no choice but to see it unfold.
  6. Stratos
    Yeah they need to do a much better job at resting guys this year. They couldn't afford to rest Dansby, Nico, PCA last year. I think Shaw should make this easier
  7. Stratos
    I they'd be insane to trade Rea to save a small bit of LT hit.
  8. Stratos
    Yeah with the deferrals and no QO the contract doesn't really seem overpriced anymore.
  9. Stratos
    Let him cheat again?
  10. Stratos
    I'm not getting too excited. A trade could be next, or this could be a 1 year bump over the LT line to make it a smoother transition when guys leave next offseason. It would be easy for them to get back under the tax in 2027 with so many leaving.
  11. Stratos
    Shocked they opened up the books. This is obviously very good for next year but IMO the AAV is too high. I don't think the contract is very good over the longterm. He's 32 y/o to start the year. They should be happy if they get two 4 WAR years the first 2 seasons then declines. I also don't like the fact he's been a RHB in Houston and Boston, his power numbers have probably been inflated a bit. You're also bringing a known cheater into the clubhouse. The Cubs could have kept Cam Smith at 3B and used the Bregman money to sign Tucker longterm, and stick Shaw at 2b when Nico leaves. Go 2026 Cubs!!
  12. Stratos
    I think they add a corner OF for sure, even if just some AAA journeyman. Caissie was insurance for Happ/Seiya but also Mo at DH as LHB.
  13. Stratos
    Bichette has some versatility too. which should help next year and beyond. I could see him at 2b next year and that's one heck of a 2b
  14. Stratos
    Bregman will be 32 around opening day. Post-prime is coming for him. Rather have Bichette, though i think he'll age poorly, but hey whatevs. Shaw i have no issues playing either.
  15. Stratos
    Again, injury and projections isn't about certainty, it's about probability. The probability that Cease makes more starts over the next 3 seasons is much higher than for Cabrera. If you want to defend Ricketts on this go ahead.
  16. Stratos
    I don't disagree with any of this and it doesn't go against what I've said. Again my point is if the owner was serious about winning he would be spending on top talent and we'd be able to keep good young talent like Cam Smith and Caissie and Cease (when he was in our system). This trade is a gamble with a lot of upside if Cabrera stays relatively healthy (without major surgery). Jed is forced to make a high risk, high reward play like this because ownership doesn't give him the resources he needs to do better. Nobody on this board would take Cabrera over Cease if money weren't a factor.
  17. Stratos
    Again i never said they should sacrifice quality of innings for quantity. What they did was go cheap and got a guy with arm issues who hasn't been able to throw a full season rather than paying for someone on the open market just as or more effective in ERA who have much better records at staying healthy and don't have recent elbow/ shoulder issues. Tom is cheap. He's not serious about winning. We all know this of course.
  18. Stratos
    Didn't Jed say Ricketts let them go over the line list year for Bregman? So i think some of the budget is based on circumstance. I think if Jed can convince Tom the player & contract is a good one and worth the investment he'd go over the line a bit
  19. Stratos
    My argument isn't that they should sacrifice quality of innings for quantity.
  20. Stratos
    Pretty much everyone gets hurt at some point these days but Cabrera is less durable than most, including the top guys on the market this winter. The point is that we have Cabrera for 3 seasons and he's been exhibiting the red flags recently, so if he spends the back half of 2026 on the IL and/or we only get like a year and a half out of the guy then the trade is a fail. This is a trade-and-pray move and Jed knows it but he's stuck in a corner due to limited payroll. Anyways, everyone can just go ahead and huff the gas that a new acquisition brings and stick their heads in the sand. Sorry to be a buzz kill.
  21. Stratos
    This is a strawman because my argument was that they should prioritize both talent and durability.
  22. Stratos
    The thing is I think the modern offseason for FOs is a lot about waiting for the asking prices to come down, so we could be waiting a bunch more...
  23. Stratos
    Owen Caissie? I kid, I kid....
  24. Stratos
    What we know about Jed from last 2 years is that he'll likely at least try to a decent degree. He never acts desperate though.
  25. Stratos
    2 anecdotes prove what exactly? That nothing is certain? We already know that. Projections are about probabilities, not certainties. No projection model is making the bet that Cabrera is throwing more innings, has a lower ERA, or a higher WAR next year than Cease. A serious owner would give his FO the resources to get someone who is likely to both make 2 strong starts a series and be on the field to do it. Anyways, Jed has done his duty, so for that I'm grateful. Go Cubs.
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