Stratos
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Everything posted by Stratos
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AZ was a HR paradise this spring and Taillon's command/ mechanics were off to his own admission as he was trying some new things. It's happened before where's he's off and gets lit up, then like the 2nd half last year gets in a groove and does well. If the velo stays down he may just not be as effective as the last couple of years but we need to see him rolling at 100% with his mechanics to make a real judgement. I'm not going say he's cooked yet if the first few starts are bad unless he's throwing 89 or something.
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I believe his last ST start he was down only 1mph from last year, which isn't horrendous i guess. I think he was around 91.1 mph if I remember. Hopefully he has his command back.
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Right now forecast says tomorrow may start with a rain delay then let up after a couple of hours. They probably won't be able to have BP on the field.
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ABS is pretty good idea because it should get correct most of the aggregious calls. If some calls an inch off still get called wrong I mean not a huge deal. Guys still need to protect the plate on 2 strikes.
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Got a business idea for MLB: create an app where fans can call ball and strikes and out/safe calls in real time and at the end of the inning and game can compare accuracy to the real umpires Much worse idea: get rid of umps and let fans watching at home make all the umpire calls on the app. The call will be an average of all fan responses on the pitch/play. Terrible idea because fans will be biased towards their own teams' players, but would be fun.
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With all the tech now the nice thing is I highly doubt someone as bad as CB would will ever make it to the MLB anymore. Google says he's been up since 1996.
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He's got maybe a couple weeks of Seiya being out to show he can still hit in the MLB for us until he's buried on the bench or removed from the 26-man, doesn't hurt to give him a shot. Broadcast said Seiya likely going on a rehab stint when the Cubs leave town on Thurs
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That's odd. Someone somewhere on the Angels staff effed up.
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Wiemer made his first out of the season I see.
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I like that chart.
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Yeah I think SP will make less, but position guys and maybe even RP will get more of the pie. Overall teams will probably spend about the same. We saw last playoffs how important relievers are in the postseason, especially the first 2 rounds.
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Changes to ads on our forums
Stratos replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in North Side Baseball Issues & Suggestions
Below is my ad experience here on Firefox desktop. Having some low-intrusion ads doesn't bother me much, sometimes I even turn off the ad blocker on smaller websites to help them out, but this is obnoxious-level. If I didn't have an ad blocker I likely wouldn't bother coming here. Just some honest feedback for you. On the other hand, i'll be going to Metro tomorrow to buy some raspberries...
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Cole Wright: "Weimer looking like a young Steve Buechele running around the bases there..."
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Cabrera is a high-risk, high-upside player, and I think Caissie is similar. It's really hard to know what either of these guys will turn into, upside for either could be WAR into the 3's, or either could be an average MLB player (or possibly worse). We needed another solid SP and had a full OF so the trade is fine. Being low on Cabrera because he sucked in some ST starts makes no sense.
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2 weak hits dropped in and then a split well below the zone hit for HR. That's just terrible luck. Split was too far nside though. At least the velo has looked good.
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CB Bucknor had a real bad day and his frustrations boiled over towards the end if the game: https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/cb-bucknor-umpire-abs-system-mlb-reds-red-sox/ CB's gonna have to make some adjustments or he's going to have a long season.
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https://x.com/MLBBruceLevine/status/2037961487797436456
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I saw during the pregame broadcast for the Opener that Pecota projected 88 wins for the Cubs this year. So there's that.
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Let's say Happ and Seiya have solid years and both put up something between 3.0-3.5WAR this year. What would each get in FA roughly (assuming no crazy collective agreement changes)? I'm thinking something like 4/80 for either. Id figure Seiya might get a bit more than Happ, maybe 4/85. Would we want 1 or both at those prices?
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I think based on what the Cubs gave Swanson and Bregman and those guys being similar WAR infielders, there's a chance Nico left anywhere from 10-40m in the table, we'll never know. But Nico may have wanted the security. When someone offers you 135m that's hard to turn down. Like you said, he could get hurt or have a down year. Yeah maybe he gets another 20m but is it worth the risk? He might also end up with 20m less with a down year, then have to take a short term deal with opt-outs etc. Seems like a pain in the arse for money that probably sits in investments anyways.
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I think he had a good chance to get more AAV in FA. This is a good deal for the Cubs. He must want to stay here, which is nice.
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He's not just a defensive player through, between the wRC+ and baserunning/stolen bases he's been worth around 9-10 runs above league average yearly. If he were an average baserunner and you instead added that value into his wRC+ it would probably be around 115-1118. He was a better offensive player than Happ was last year with a lower OPS and wRC+.
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Agree with this. Yes high contact guys can hit a lot more weak contact which will affect their EV numbers. But Nico's max EV last year was 1081, the worst on the team. He may be able to improve his power/bat speed/EV a bit but i just don't think he's a naturally powerful hitter and I don't think it makes any sense to significantly change Nico's approach to try to squeeze another 5 HR or whatnot out of him. We've seen him try to drive the ball at different times and it hasn't worked. He should lean into what he's good at IMO
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Bregman has below-average bat speed not near bottom of the league, and his avg EV and hardhit% is average not near bottom of the league. We've seen Nico try to pull balls in the air and it just doesn't work for him. Spraying linedrives and yanking liners down the 3b line for doubles seems to work a lot better for him
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Tucker will probably age better, but Tucker is a 5.0 WAR player and Nico is a 4.5 WAR player, the gap in value between them isn't very large. Fans and FOs are biased towards HR and offense. Bregman isn't a better player than Nico because one does it more with the bat and the other does it more with the glove and baserunning. You could throw Swanson in there too.
