Stratos
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Everything posted by Stratos
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Neely we hardly knew ye.
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Yeah he played 1b the other day Apparently before the Austin injury Counsell said Busch had earned the right to play without a platoon anyways. Maybe Austin was going to get more time at DH vs LHP than anything.
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Even if it doesn't happen he was still a 5.4 fWAR player. Because of the walks and chase i think he'll typically be limited to sub-120 wRC+ numbers. I hope I'm wrong but i think the plate discipline will always haunt him and will prevent him from reaching his offensive potential similar to Javy. If PCA could manage just an average BB% his ceiling would be sky high. He could steal many more bags, get better pitches to drive, and hit higher in the order. I like his athleticism in box a lot.
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I think this is a good deal for both sides.. Looking at recent 5 WAR players like Bichette and Tucker, they made 4-5m in their first arb year, 12m in the 2nd year, and around 17m in the 3rd. That's around 35m total in arb. With inflation let's assume PCA could make up to about 45m in his arbitration years pre-FA. That means the Cubs will effectively be paying about 70m (35m AAV) for Pete's first 2 free agent years, while the Cubs assume all the risk here. And Pete still gets to hit FA at a good age. Looking at Tucker's FA deal, 5 WAR in FA at those ages is worth about 55m AAV, and will be higher with inflation when Pete is 29-30.
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Very true about the legs. Id love to see a sprint speed regression chart like we've seen with bat speed.
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Remember when they extended Nico by 1 extra year? That was criminal. Hope PCA gets 3-4 extra years.
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Pay him 500k per base on balls.
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The projections are always wrong because with 26 players plus guys in the minors etc there's a lot of variance that can happen via injuries, performance, luck etc. FG is saying 84 wins is the most likely outcome but that can vary by something like +/- 10 wins or whatever if a lot goes right or wrong and everything in- between.
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I don't really see anything in the statcast metrics to be concerned about last year for either of them. For Happ maybe he lost a few HR in the Wrigley wind, and maybe Shaw's excellent glove at 3B cost Swanson some outs at SS. Who knows. This season is anyone's guess but I'm not too concerned for them A lot more question marks in the rotation IMO and I think those answers will probably determine how well the season goes.
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They show a bunch of regression from our offense and pitching. I think we did over-achieve on both last year
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Read somewhere that the plan is for Brown to stay slightly stretched out via a multi inning relief role. He pitched 2 innings last time
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Carlson has hit LHP a lot better (.757 OPS) than RHP in his career, he could possibly play in RF sometimes vs LHP with Seiya DH'ing, especially if Shaw is scuffling. Conforto probably won't get much playing time when Seiya is back and everyone is healthy, he's blocked everywhere and he'd be on the team as insurance in case of injury somewhere or Mo scuffles. I can't see Kingery ever getting a start even if an INF lands on the IL. He'd be a PR and riding the bench in case of mid-game injury. I think Shaw as the only backup INF is fine as long as they never start him at DH, which would be easy since he can move around and give regulars some rest at DH vs LHP. However, but it would be nice to have a good PR in the 9th for Mo and Kelly/Amaya. Carlson only has average speed.
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With this AZ hitting environment i could care less about how guys are hitting any of our pitchers. The concern with Jamo should be the velo (obviously) and his mechanics. I think if he's feeling good with his command and overall mechanics they can still start him when the season starts and pray he isn't batting practice and see what happens. Even with prime mechanics if the velo doesn't somehow improve he's almost certainly going to put up below-average results unless he simply gets lucky, with a real chance of him being cooked.
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Nvm
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Well some of them matter, like velo. It's just interesting stuff to look at
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They'd be nuts not to keep at least one of Happ/Seiya/Nico and if they do they should get it done right now. I guess Shaw could move to corner OF if they wanted. His arm looked like arse on the one throw from CF I've seen so far.
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Besides our guys and Jazz Chisholm the FA class stinks on the position side next offseason. Seiya and Happ are the best OF that will be available so they won't be replaced 1:1 in FA. We know there's no chance they pay for Skubal. Maybe they'd sign someone like Peralta.
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MLB teams would euthanize puppies during the 7th inning stretch if it would make them money.
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They might tap Rea first before Brown if they need another SP.
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Chicago Cubs 2026 Top 20 Prospects, No. 2: Jaxon Wiggins
Stratos replied to Jason Ross's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
I'm a bit worried about his secondaries because they looked mediocre this spring. Interested to see how the fb plays in mlb, looks pretty beastly. Didn't know about his IVB, nice find. -
Chicago Cubs 2026 Top 20 Prospects, No. 2: Jaxon Wiggins
Stratos replied to Jason Ross's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Guys are on pitch counts not innings limits these days. Horton was very efficient, not a lot of Ks, BBs, or baserunners, so 147 ip isn't as bad as it seems. We should all start quoting annual total pitch counts more, and stat sites should put those stats more front and center. -
Alcantara, maybe those long levers takes him a while to get in sync. People said he started slowly last year.
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2 fielding errors by Shaw in RF today. Yikes.
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Even dumber is asking a guy who has never managed to manage the team. Maybe they'll ask Judge to be their closer next time.
