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Rcal10

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Everything posted by Rcal10

  1. But it kind of is. Reality is the Cubs have a 95% chance to make the playoffs. I think we all would have been happy with that before the season started. We have some suggesting they will be lucky to get in and be stomped out immediately. Others suggesting this is an 83-86 win team. Again, that’s just negative commenting. Once the playoffs start the best team probably has a 15% chance of winning it all. The worst team maybe a 6% chance. Bottom line is, now and has always been, get in and hope to get lucky. Because even the best teams need to get lucky to be playing well when they get in.
  2. For all the gloom and doom about the Cubs getting caught and missing the playoffs, I have to ask, who is charging after them? Maybe SD can pass them for first wild card team. But who else? The Mets who are 1-9 in their last ten? The charging (5-5 in their last 10) Reds? There is really no other threat unless people honestly think the Cardinals or Giants can catch the Cubs. Cubs are the same 5-5 in their last 10 that the Reds are. News flash…. The Reds aren’t charging. I am not happy with the way the Cubs are playing, but the truth is even continuing this aggravating pace of .500 through the rest of the season will get the Cubs securely in the playoffs. Where I am pretty sure, at some point they will lose so everyone can say “I told you so”. Being negative is just an easy and lazy narrative to take. Considering only 1 team wins the WS, being negative all the time will eventually allow you to say “I told you so”. The only time that doesn’t happen is if they win it all. Which 29/30 teams do not do.
  3. There is no horsefeathers way the call on the field should have been out. He called him out because he thought the tag got him before touching the base. That obviously didn’t happen. But since they couldn’t be sure Berry’s hand stayed in the base they let the call stand. By that logic, had he made the right call based on Berti beating the throw, and they couldn’t be sure if the hand came off the bag or not (they said the call stood, not confirmed) they wouldn’t have changed the call. Just a terrible call.
  4. Maybe the Cubs need to play an AL East team. 6-3 against Red Sox, Yankees and Orioles. And 4-4 against the Brewers.
  5. Cardinals 2 for 2 with men on base against Shoto. That really sucks. He pitched so well.
  6. Where was PCA going? He isn’t going to steal 3rd with Happ up. He score on a single. How does he get picked off 2nd? Love the guy, but that was a boneheaded play.
  7. Honestly I don’t even care about the brewers any longer. I will worry about them when the Cubs play them. Until then I couldn’t care less what they do. If they are going to win 97-103 games this year the only thing the Cubs could do it try beating them when they play them. First in the regular season and then in the playoffs. If the Cubs get right and win 92 95 games and are playing well going into the playoffs I will be happy with the season and believe they have a chance to go far.
  8. Gray is no comparison to Wainright. He is only 35. Wainright pitches until he was 41. Using Wainright as a guide Gray has a lot of time left. Plus he has only been in the Cardinals for 2 years.
  9. Well, they won too. Way more comments on games the Cubs lose than ones they win. People like being negative way more than being positive. Even this one with a low amount of posts, the majority of them are on the announcers. Again, negative posts.
  10. Seems an odd time to post this analysis on Shaw. He has been doing great since the break and homered and tripled yesterday. The concern you have at this moment doesn’t track with his actual results lately?
  11. In calling it now. From now through 8/24 Cubs will go 11 and 5 and cut Brewers lead to 2 games and own the tiebreaker. I reserve the right to delete this post at any time!!!!! Tired of all the negativity about a team that has been a top 5 team in baseball all year.
  12. Is this the same line up? Doesn’t look like it to me. What is he supposed to do? Do you want Berti and Turner in the line up or is this just venting just to vent?
  13. Especially playing .500 ball. Not like the Cubs went 15-27 during that stretch. When the Cubs were 45-28 ( 17 games over .500, a little more than 7 weeks ago), they had a 6.5 game lead. They have gone 21-21 and lost 11.5 games in the standings. Losing that many games in the standing without actually going into a long losing streak or a long period of sub .500 ball is crazy.
  14. Yep, playing .500 ball the last 7 weeks they have lost 11.5 games in the standing because the Brewers have played 23 games over .500 in that time. If they close out at .500 ball the rest of the year they will be fine. Won’t win the division, but they will be in the playoffs. Nothing they can do about the Brewers winning so often except beat them when they play them.
  15. I have to think if Taillon has a solid rehab start in Iowa they will want to minipulate the rotation to have Taillon face the Brewers over Rea. But I agree with the others. I also think after that series the Cubs will decide how to go forward with Horton the rest of the season. I am pretty sure the Cubs will see Peralta, Miz, Woodruff. Maybe even Henderson.
  16. I think if the Cubs are securely in a wild card spot but maybe 3 games behind the Brewers in mid September you might see Horton and Boyd pitch less. I think it is more important to have those guys be able to pitch in the playoffs then to use up all their innings to try to catch the Brewers. I get there is no set innings and no hard proof in a large jump in innings from one year to the next hurting long term. But I still think the Cubs will be cautious. And especially so with Horton. Hopefully he has a long career ahead of him.
  17. I do not believe there is any such data to prove limiting workload prevents injuries.
  18. Does the waiver order start with the league they are in getting the first chance or is it strictly worse record to best record? I seem to remember the Reds getting a few guys ahead of the Cubs a few years ago.
  19. I could see something like this. But if the Cubs go deep into the playoffs Horton would probably be needed to pitch a few more than the 146. 🤷
  20. And as you said, Miami was hot. And what did they do? They beat the Brewers 2 of 3. Brewers are good. I know that. I was one of the first to point out they scared me, back when they were 6 back. But they are also catching some breaks in scheduling. That is why I am just focusing on the Cubs winning and not worrying so much about the Brewers. It actually might not be a terrible thing for them to just win the division easily. Cubs can focus on getting the right pitchers healthy for the playoffs instead of using them up to try winning the division. Of course, I say that, then want the Cubs to sweep the Brewers in a 5 game series and win the division. So as you see, I am conflicted….
  21. I think he gets one more start in the minors and is back for the Brewers series. I think after that series, if the gap isn’t closed to 2 and the Cubs don’t hold the tie breaker the Cubs may shut Horton down for a bit and just let Assad take his starts. Maybe Horton comes back the last week of September and then pitches in the playoffs.
  22. You mean the Mets, who are 2-8 and in a 4 game losing streak can beat the Brewers? Is it just me who thinks this or is it reality, but to me every time the Brewers do actually face a good team it seems they are playing bad when the Brewers face them. And basically the opposite for the Cubs. White Sox were playing well right after the break, Red Sox won 10 in a row. I even think th Orioles had won 6 of 8 or maybe even had a 4 game winning streak before coming to Chicago. Meanwhile when the Mets played the Dodgers the Dodgers were slumping. Now they got the Mets.
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