Rcal10
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Everything posted by Rcal10
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I understand this and to further the statement, if he signed a 3 to 5 year deal for an AAV beteeen $16M and $22M and it isn’t the Cubs, I wouldn’t say the Cubs missed out on him. I wouldn’t view this as the Xubs didn’t want him more than they were not willing to pay that sort of money for a pitcher. Because money and years is right where Jed is comfortable. Doesn’t mean they are wrong not to want him. Just means they aren’t seeing him as good as maybe Gallen.
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I think Mo will outhit Cassie as well. But he is very young and the Cubs might really want him to catch. That’s the only reason I put Cassie over him. They may want Ami to get a year in at catching in Iowa. I do like his bat, however.
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Oops, my bad. Looking over his stats from Japan I do see he was not exclusively a 3rd baseman. That said, I can still see a fit for him. Cubs don’t have to have Cassie as a DH. Maybe Okamoto takes that spot. They can use another right handed bat in the everyday line up anyway. And as you said, even with Cassie he adds versatility and a guy who can replace Happ next year. If he can hit they would find a space for him.
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My first thought was actually tomorrow. Okamoto is said to be visiting teams. How many? How does he do that all in one day? I am going on a 10 mile hike today (11AM mountain time) with no ability to check in, so maybe it will happen today🤷 It would be great to get to the car and see the Cubs actually did something.!
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If the Cubs don’t over that sort of deal it is because they don’t think he is that good, period. I am sure, if they really like him they would do that. Money and years wouldn’t be the issue in this instance. It would be uncertainty about his projections. So if they didn’t do it I would not assume that means they won’t be in the other pitchers in that range and even a little above. Probably Gallen.
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You are more optimistic on the time line that I am. Hope you are right. But I am guessing at the earliest tomorrow and maybe not until Friday. 🤞you are right.
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Sorry. I do that because every time I do mention Bregman, even if he isn’t the main point of my post, there is a post following asking me how I expect that to happen. So now I feel I have to put that disclaimer in any post mentioning moves of any kind that might take them over.
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With either Bregman or a Okamoto the Cubs can very easily still have Hoerner and Shaw. Shaw can be the utility guy off the bench/right hand platoon DH (or play 3rd and let Okamoto DH when a lefty starts) Also, where are you getting the idea Okamoto isn’t good at 3rd base? I thought he was the better of the to 3rd baseman coming over. I honestly don’t understand how people can have opinions on guys they have never seen except by reading reports on that player. And I haven’t read he can’t play 3rd, but maybe I missed that one. And finally, if they don’t get Imai they absolutely need to get, and most likely will get, another starting pitcher.
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We have waited this long. What is a few more days? Once thenteonJapanese guys find a home in expecting to heat up quickly. Rally hoping, but not expecting, the Cubs are willing to go over the alt line. They can make 2 moves and put themselves into a favorite role in the central. And again, a 90+ win team.
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If they would go even $10M over the first LT line they can sign Tucker and trade for Cabrera. Or, if we are wishing for a large market team mentality they can sign Tucker and Imai and be maybe $18M(or so) over now and not worry about adding payroll at the TDL. But that isn’t going to happen.
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This is me, exactly. I don’t expect the Cubs to go over. But would be thrilled to be wrong. But until they do, I am sticking to doubting it will happen.
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I don’t think that is Cuzi’s point. I think we all are very aware of what the Cubs FO will and won’t do. And I also doubt very much that the Cubs will end up with Bregman. However, I think Cuzi is telling you that his previous contract was weighted heavily in deferrals. So suggesting he will make $40M the next 2 years as a guide to what it will take to get him now is misleading. My guess is he will end up around a 5 year deal with maybe $145M to $160M actual value today. Which is why I don’t see him coming to the Cubs. We end up at the same place. He won’t be a Cub. But you did exaggerated, or left out key parts to the contract he opted out of. It won’t be hard to beat.
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Where do you get this knowledge of how all front offices work? I don’t know that to be true. I mean, I am sure there is some sort of expectation when a team makes an offer. They may expect to hear back within a reasonable time, but I doubt they say you have until a certain date to take it or leave it. While an offer is out there they may move to something else and then that previous offer may go away, but I really doubt they put an expiration date on an offer.
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Why do you say this? Cubs have a lot of near ready bats. IMO they can easily put something together for Cabrera. I am just not sure what bat they sign if they did trade for Cabrera. That would have a good amount of money to spend but not enough for Bregman.
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Probably true if you have faith in the cheap signing from Japan. So that being the case, I have a bad feeling it will be Gallen and someone they sign for $5M to $7M for the bench.
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Who, the guy from Japan? I thought I read he hasn’t played first base in 3 or 4 years and before that didn’t play there much. Besides that, is he really a guy we can pencil in on the bench? Maybe it will be him. But then maybe all the will add is one pitcher. Personally I would like another decent bat, however.
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I have a bad feeling the Cubs are not getting him. Going to end up with Gallen in the rotation. No idea what they do for a bat who can play a little first base.
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Cubs have had some history of signing Japanese players and generally it has played out how this situation appears to be playing out. So I do understand those reading tea leaves. But that doesn’t mean he will come here. I do think he isn’t getting the offers he expected. And that does help the Cubs a bit. I wouldn’t say the Cubs are likely to get him, but I do think they have a good chance.
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If he comes to the Cubs, he might end up with a similar sort of contract as Imanaga. Not necessarily the AAV, but a similar set up.
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Right, but my guess is he will still get something like 5/$160 and the Cubs are not going to do that unless they plan on going over the first LT line. I know it makes perfect sense to go over this year, but until they actually show they are willing to go over, I can’t believe they will.
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I am clearly higher on Cabrera than you are. With an extra year of control over Ryan and Gore ( 2 that are always talked about along with Cabrera), I feel his trade cost would be similar to them. But, as I said, who knows. But to your point of Shaw being too much for Cabrera. To me, if he is too much for Cabrera he is also too much for Ryan or Gore. I would like Cassie to be the main piece in any trade for one of those guys. Honestly, I don’t see Bregman at all. If they did get him they would have to go over the LT line. Even with Cabrera (cheapest contract), they can’t fit Bregman. And I agree with Stratos that if they traded Hoerner they aren’t even gaining anything by bringing Bregman in. Now, IF they would go over the LT line this year, sure Bregman makes sense along with a trade for a pitcher using Cassie as the main piece. Makes the team better this year and allows them to plug in Shaw if/when Hoerner leaves. If the Cubs have 2 moves in them and plan on staying under the LT line I think the most they could do is a bat like Okamoto and then trade for one of the pitchers we have been mentioning all off season. But don’t use Shaw! Unless the contracts for Imai and Okamoto are lower AAV than what is being said, they can’t get both of them and stay under.
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I have repeatedly said I don’t expect Bregman. But others do. Even in the post your responded to I said, “if”Bregman is a real consideration. And, as usual you are picking something that isn’t even the point of my post. My post was about Wicks, Brown and Assad and their availability. But to answer your question on Bregman, some have suggested the Cubs may go over the LT by a little. That this would be a good year to do it. While I agree it would make sense, I don’t think they will.’which is why I don’t see Bregman. However, if they did go over a little it would probably mean they would have to make a trade for another starter who is cheaper. Which is where a prospect plus someone like Brown, Assad or Wicks comes in to play.
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Slowly but surely. And everything that has been done has allowed them to make at least one higher end salary pick up. Plus, maybe trade some prospects for another lower priced proven player. 🤷 If this gets accomplished, maybe Jed isn’t an idiot??? Still has to actually get done before we can make that statement.
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🤷I don’t even pretend to know how certain teams value certain players. Is 6 years of Shaw fair for 3 years of Cabrera? Maybe others can answer that question. Maybe they are just the lead pieces in a trade. To me, I would rather use Cassie in a Cabrera deal and keep Shaw as a bench/utility guy. Then he can move to second next year. I honestly don’t see Bregman, so I have a hard time seeing the cubs trade Shaw. But if they did get Bregman it does open up possibilities of a Shaw trade.
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As it stands now, Assad, Brown and Wicks have all become more expendable. Which does signal a possible trade. Especially if Bregman is a real consideration. If they all are in spring training, my guess is the last spot in the pen would be one of them.
