Rcal10
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Everything posted by Rcal10
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Did you mean to quote me with your response? Because I agree with you. Usually I would expect your comment to be after someone suggested Taillon will be better than Gallen.
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Entertainment is absolutely geared to a younger crowd. That doesn’t necessarily mean if someone is older they can’t enjoy it too. But generally the demographic entertainment is targeting is younger than you at 51 and me, at 65. I think both Kendrick and BB had good shows. I liked BB music. I would have liked Lenrick better had I understood everything he was again and also knew some back story on his performance. But, visually his was also entertaining.
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If you stopped watching 2 decades ago that tells me the halftime show isn’t for your demographic anyway. Mine neither. I have learned to just realize no one cares what the older people think. They are there to entertain people under 30. It looked to me like BB did that.
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Right. I just have more faith in Gallen. I am raring him higher. If they get him, I hope I am right. 😬
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I have said, in the past, that I wouldn’t trade Tailon until they found out if they really had pitchers performing as they hoped. Once Steele comes back they would have 7 starting pitchers. If they are all healthy and pitching well then you trade Jamo. I agree if the Cubs can’t fix Gallen I am fine letting him go. I do trust the Cubs coaching staff if they did sign him. So, really, we pretty much agree. To recap, if the Cubs feel they can get Gallen back at least most of the way to what he was a few years back he is a good risk to take. But only for multiple years. And they can also wait on trading Jamo to hedge against poor production of any if the others on the staff and/or Steele’s health.
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Aside from a bad first half of last season, Gallen has been a top 30 pitcher in baseball since he came into the league. That is a solid #2 starter. Tailon is a #3 or #4 starter. If the Cubs think Gallen is more the guy he was for all other starts except for the first half of 2025, or they think they can get him back to what he was, he would be a big upgrade over Tailon. If they don’t get him because they don’t tbh k they can get him back to that level, I am fine with them passing on him. I just don’t agree that Tailon is an even better to be just as good.
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I agree it has to be more than 1 year before he can opt out. But I do think he will be better than Taillon. And if he gets 2 or more years from the Cubs that means that is one less guy they have to replace next year. Which are reasons I would like the Cubs getting him. I agree that the Dbacks are the favorites to get him. But I think the Cubs are a good fit as well.
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Yep. Gallen would be a nice end of off season signing. But has to be at least 2 years. Which might be his hold up. He might want to be able to opt out after 1. Can they give him an incentive deal where he could opt out after 1? Maybe if he is mvp of the World Series he can opt out? At least then that would mean the Cubs, most likely, won a WS. That would be worth losing a second round pick for as well as then losing the pitcher. Or maybe he signs a 3 year $60M deal where he can opt out after one. But if he chooses to opt out the Cubs can cancel that by adding 2 years to his original deal. So he gets 5/$100M. They get the last call on what happens. Personally I would rather the opt out come after year two, or just a straight forward 3 or 4 year, no opt out deal.
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I agree. But 4.7 WAR last year and over 8 the year before are pretty impressive, no matter how many AB he had. Not going to happen, probably because the Red Sox didn’t want to give that much away for Shaw. So they went with Durbin, much cheaper. I am fine keeping Shaw, but would have loved Duran.
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Chicago Cubs Interested In Zac Gallen, Miguel Andujar
Rcal10 replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It is just his annual rant on Bregman. We get it, he doesn’t like Bregman because he cheated. -
Gallen signing can’t be too much longer, right? P&C report tomorrow for some teams. I don’t want him if his spring is abbreviated. He needs to get to camp on time. So signing needs to happen. He has given dbacks long enough to try to fit him in. Time to sign with the Cubs.
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I think you are either undervaluing Duran or overvaluing Shaw. I doubt the Red Sox would do a 1-1 trade of those two guys. I have no issue with the Cubs making that the price, but I think that is an overpay for Shaw. Cubs fans, probably all fans, constantly overvalue their young talent. I could go back to 2015 when people argued the Cubs didn’t need Fowler because A. Alcantara was going to be just as good as him. Shaw is just the latest example of overvaluation. Duran in the line up would make for a very solid line up. Just add a utility bench bat for maybe 200-300AB.
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Absolutely. Duran had a WAR over 4 last year, on an off year. I am not too worried about losing Shaw and having to find a utility infielder for maybe 250 AB if I can have Duran in the line up for the next 3 years.
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So why does Shaw get the benefit of the doubt that he wil be so much better. Sorry, I am not that worried about a bench bat if the Cubs could get Duran and then have him for a few years. I would like him in the lineup over Mo. The likely upside in the everyday line up that Duran gives the Cubs over Mo, not to mention the better defense in right, will have a bigger impact on the team then rhe 200-300 AB of a back up infielder. Not to mention maybe Mo actually catches everyday in the minors and becomes an average catcher. Also a big bonus.
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Rengifo was pretty good for 3 years prior to 2025. He isn’t too bad.
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What does Shaw to the Astros, Duran to the Cubs and Paredes+ to the Red Sox look like? Hell, how about just Shaw for Duran. What does that look like in terms of trade value?
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I agree. Since they are going to go over the LT line anyway, I would rather have the surer hitter. Maybe Austin works out, but I think Goldy is a surer play.
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Very true.
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I think the “just get in and anything can happen” model is downplaying the team a little. It just sounds too much like “maybe you get lucky”. I don’t see the Cubs team that way. They aren’t the Reds of last year or even the Dbacks the year they did go to the WS. If they win 90+ games I don’t view it as they need luck to beat the Dodgers. I see it as a series where the Dodgers have a 55%. To me that is better than “anything can happen, luck”.
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I am not that worried about PCA, to tell the truth. His OPS+ was 118 last year with a bad second half. If you also add the last half of ‘24 he is basically a guy who would be right around that 118 mark. I realize picking a arbitrary starting point is frowned on here, but I am using the last half of ‘24 because prior to that I am giving him time to get his footing in MLB. I can definitely see a guy who is between 115 and 125 annually. Sure, I would like it being more consistent, but that might not be how it does. If the end result turns into .250/.300/.460 and he hits over 20 doubles, steals over 30 bases, and hit 20+ homers a year along with his great defense he will be a 4+ WAR guy yearly.
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With the Dodgers in the NL, even Soto and Crochet wouldn’t make them favorites. Just realize the Dodgers will almost ALWAYS be favorites with the amount of money they will spend. Shoot for a definite playoff, division winning team and let the playoffs play out.
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Who knows? I just think he will age fine. Muncy had his two best years at 33 and 34. Judge has his 2 best years, so far, at 32 and 33. Do you think he will slip the next 2 years? I think, even slipping he will post a WAR close enough to his contract value, even at 35 and 36.
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I actually like Bregman’s contract better. I think he will be fine the length of the deal. I am glad he doesn’t have an opt out after 2 years. Also, with the deferred money, depending on what deferrals are in Valdez contract. He is cheaper annually. I understand your apprehension about him slipping. I get all the projections people love to use to explain it will happen. But there are guys who play well in their mid/late 30’s. Goldy won an MVP not long ago. He slipped his last 2 years. But he is in his late 30’s. Votto hit 36 homers at 37. Was putting up Bitto numbers in his early to mid 30’s. Bregman plays his last year with the Xubs at 36. I am not worried about him. He is a baseball rat. He works at it all the time. I believe he will age fine.
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To me it is an easy answer. Bregman.
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I get what you are saying and if the Cubs don’t get Gallen, that is ok. However, if they did get him, IMO, they would be doing so because they feel they can fix him and turn him back into the pitcher he was prior to 2025. If that is the case why wouldn’t he also be someone counted on for being just as good as the pitchers you feel the Cubs are counting on? Wouldn’t they be better off having 4 guys they hope to get their upside years from, rather then 3? Maybe 3 of 4 reach the upside.