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Rcal10

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Everything posted by Rcal10

  1. He certainly would lock down the rotation. I think if they did that they would still probably add a bat who can play 3rd but also come off the bench. A cheap (assets wise) guy.
  2. When did the Cubs announce Boyd is going Sunday? I think that is a bullpen day. They are trying to save some innings for Boyd.
  3. If the Cubs are doing one stop shopping with anyone, I would love it to be the Twins. Either Jax or Ryan with Castro. Depending on how much the Cubs are willing to give up, Jax, Ryan and Castro. But I think that price would terrify some of this fan base. Wouldn’t mind a Lugo/Estevez/Garcia trade either, depending on cost. For a smaller price, India instead of Garcia. Or just the pitchers.
  4. Thanks for the response. I was just curious about what is more important, age or innings in an arm. I used Boyd, but he was just an example. Sounds like there may not be enough data to determine. But as you said, pitchers are pitching well into there late 30’s more often than hitters hit well at that time. Back to Boyd, Cubs have a lot of contracts ending in ‘26. As Bertz suggested he could see one year added to Boyd, if for nothing else, to have one less player to replace in ‘26.
  5. I would agree with this, but if the Cubs see an innings limitation to Horton he wouldn’t be considered a rotation piece the remainder of the season. That is the only reason I could see them doing that. As you said, very unlikely, however. But, I am curious to what you think is more important as a sign of expected regression for a pitcher. Is it strictly age, or are innings on the arm more important? I asked that question about Boyd. I was hoping you and a few other knowledgeable posters could answer that. Should the Cubs be concerned moving past this year with Boyd because he is 34, or should they see he has throw a little over 1,000 innings in his career, which is more like a guy 29-31. Is he any more likely to regress within the next 3+ years than a younger guy with the same innings on his arm?
  6. No thank you to Az if it means losing either Horton or a top 5 prospect. Not for 2 rentals. I don’t like Severino, however, getting Miller does make some sense, since they can have him for several years. I am fine with one stop shopping and even losing a top prospect to do it, but for a top prospect they have to get at least one of the guys back who is not a rental.
  7. I would say for Ryan or Gore I would be ok if Horton was in play. If he isn’t, I am pretty sure Wiggins would be. So they would be losing one young pitcher. Off the top of my head, those are the only 2 pitchers who have any realistic chance of being traded that I would consider putting Horton in a deal for.
  8. So my question is does age matter with a pitcher or number of innings on his arm? Boyd is 34, but he has pitched similar innings to guys 29-31. Is he any more likely to decline during the next 3 years as those guys?🤷 I am not talking injuries. Be used to me any pitcher could get hurt. I am talking pure ability to get guys out when healthy. Will he lose it faster than the others because of his age, or since innings are similar so they all have the same chance at regression. Is there some magic number like 1600 innings or magic age like after 35 where regression should be expected?
  9. Ther only realistic if you agree on his rankings. If Wiggins and Rojas are 55 grade the trade is a huge overpay. If the Marlins expect Alcantara to have a higher war next year and in 27, the package isn’t enough. Sure, this could be a way for two teams to evaluate what value they are getting versus what they are giving, but only works if each team agrees on the values.
  10. I liked it for an all star exhibition. I would not like it to end tie games. And if it did, IMO baseball would have to find a way of giving a win in 9 innings more important that a win via a home run derby. I doubt they even do this in the regular season anyway.
  11. That being the case, Cubs should consider a deal if him and Castro for one top 5 guy and another maybe 8-12 range.
  12. He is very good. I just hate to lose a top 5 prospect for a pen arm. Hate it even more if we also add Long. I would rather get a starting pitcher we can control thru 2027. But as someone pointed out, Jax may be a starting pitcher option. If the Cubs really think he is that, maybe they do have to add a top 5 in their system. But, for me, only if he is in the rotation next year.
  13. I can see this. 2027 becomes a guarantee at $17M. But maybe, if they had to, they add ‘28 with a team option of $3M buy out or $17M yearly. Same end result as Bertz, most likely, but allows the Cubs to have another year if Boyd finds the fountain of youth, as Morton did late in his career.
  14. No way in hell do I deal Cassie for Suarez. That is just awful use of your assets.
  15. If they plan on him starting next year, it does make more sense.
  16. He is 34 but his innings are not much different than Cease, Valdez, Flaherty, Gallen or any other pitcher around 30 years old who has been in a rotation for 6 or more years. I am not suggesting they extend him, but what is more important when determine if a pitcher will start fading? Pure age or innings pitched? And if they did extend him I would think it would be AT MOST 2 years. And probably just one and an option.
  17. He is very good and you are probably right. But I don’t think the Cubs really need a pen arm that much to give a top prospect away for. I would rather get a starting pitcher. If they are losing on if the top 4 I hope it is for a controlled starting pitcher.
  18. I would be good with those two and then maybe Castro for the infield and not lose any top 8 guys in the stystrm.
  19. I don’t think they have to decimate the farm to get good rental pitchers like Kelly and Morton. I get not wanting Gore because of cost. But I do think deepening the rotation with solid starters is more important than getting Suarez. I would rather trade from our prospect pool for a rental starting pitcher than a rental bat.
  20. I won’t argue with you on who “should be selling”, but that doesn’t mean their FO has committed to it. KC just traded for Frazier. Twins have already said at this time they are not selling. For some reason the Angels haven’t committed to selling yet, nor have the Rangers. I think the only teams obviously selling right now are the Marlins, Sox, A’s, Rockies, Pirates and Nationals. I doubt Jed is dragging his feet. I think there just isn’t much there and/or since not much is there teams are crazy high in their ask now. Who in those team that are obvious sellers is worth buying at a premium?
  21. Not totally up to him. If teams are not deciding to sell the pickings are slim.
  22. I think you should rethink this again. No question that starting pitching is the most pressing need. The second most is more starting pitching. After that maybe a 3rd baseman/bench bat or a pen arm. If you get two starters you might not need a pen arm.
  23. Long as a second piece? What would the first piece be? I have Long at 6 or 7 in the Cubs system. The first piece can’t be a top 4, right? So maybe Alcantara? I feel that is a lot. I would rather see something like Long being the first piece with maybe Triantos as a second piece.
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