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JD94

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Everything posted by JD94

  1. JD94
    Didn’t have Burns going #2
  2. JD94
    This is true. I don’t know, I’m just not a big fan of him with our first pick. Like I said, he doesn’t seem to have a single plus tool. I like all the Cam Smith projections coming in though.
  3. JD94
    Sigh : / I guess my Malcom Moore rant got deleted with the other post. I’m not retyping all of it. The moral of my post was I’d be very disappointed if he’s our pick. I understand the underlying data and batted ball data and he interviewed well, which I guess is cool? To only hit .250 in the 4th best P5 conference is hard to do for good hitters. We’ve also found ourselves caught up in the underlying numbers for Christopher Morel. At some point, you have to produce or those numbers don’t mean anything. He also may not even stick at catcher. He really doesn’t have any single tool that you can point to and say “I know that’s a plus tool that will translate even if nothing else does.” It’s my opinion and I’ve seen the counter arguments and I don’t feel like getting in a back and forth. I’m far from an expert, so my opinion will buy you a cup of coffee next time you’re at McDonald’s.
  4. JD94
    Did the other draft thread get deleted?
  5. JD94
    Good stuff here. As you might remember, I’m an Ole Miss alum and pretty up to date with Ole Miss related info. I don’t have much to add on Slade other than he’s already at school and in a dorm and working out at the facilities. It’s obviously a leverage play and he’s 100% going pro. His biggest knock is he’s short. Like Jose Altuve short. Ole Miss has had some crappy luck with the draft recently. First it was Jackson Jobe going from like 92 MPH to 97-99 MPH in his draft year. Jackson Ferris blew up in his draft year. Roman Anthony was a pretty lowly rated prospect until his senior year when he blew up, now he’s a top prospect in baseball. They felt really good about Caldwell due to his size, but they will lose him in the draft. Just a tough run for us. But it makes it a little easier when we lose our guys to the Cubs like Ferris last year (who we turned into Busch obviously).
  6. JD94
    Seeing some smoke he’s been promoted to AAA but nothing official yet
  7. JD94
    Just going to throw this here…..
  8. JD94
    I would think somewhere between 450-500 would get you Soto. In a perfect world, we trade off some expiring contracts, gather a few prospects, cut some money on the books for next year, and give Soto what he wants. Get some guys up here to finish the season like Caissie and Shaw and let’s see what they have. I’d target some young guys in a trade and try to lock them up. See if you can buy low on a Bichette type maybe. Somebody smarter than me might say no thanks on Bichette but he’s coming off 3 straight 4+ fWAR seasons. Obviously I’d love to trade for and extend Vladdy. They have to find a way to get some catching help into the org, and especially at the big league level. I mean there’s ways to fix it. This isn’t exact and I’d be shocked if we were the winning bidder of the Soto auction and losing out on him makes it considerably harder, but something has to be done. Use the prospect capital we’ve stocked up on to help get some proven bats in here. Spend money like you’re the Chicago Cubs.
  9. JD94
    Lazaro Montes is a fun bat in their farm system, but he’s likely a DH
  10. JD94
    I remember when Jud Fabian was in a similar spot that Honeycutt is in this year. Big power, toolsy, low floor / high ceiling type, good glove and speed, late first and early 2nd Rd projections. Jud still has some pop, but is basically getting manhandled by AA pitching as a guy that’s about to turn 24 in 2 months. Even with Jud’s massive swing and miss concerns, he still struck out less than Honeycutt in a harder conference in college. I like the potential with Honeycutt, but not at #14 overall. I feel like there will be a much better option available for us there than him. He does have real power though.
  11. JD94
    Hamilton isn’t a SS. He’s terrible there. Probably better suited at 2B.
  12. JD94
    Yeah I watched him pitch multiple times in college and you pretty much nailed it. He looked way more electric, fastball velo was better, less control. I imagine you can chalk this up to working off the rust. Hopefully the velo can tick back up in the 97-98 range. I’ve seen him touch triple digits in college. Not that he can’t be effective at 95, it’s more the fact that I know there was more in there pre TJ. I’m more than fine being patient before saying this is who he is now though.
  13. JD94
    That’s true, but from 2012-2019 (I use 2019 because that’s when Machado and Harper got the ball rolling on the “mega” deals) the only real mega deal signed was Stanton. Votto, Cano, and Pujols signed 10 year deals, but they were all $240M or less (yes, inflation, I know). My overall point is those 10+ year deals and $300+M contracts are much more common now since Machado and Harper signed theirs in 2019 than they were previously. They traded for Betts and locked him up in 2021, as you said, not long after those type of deal became more normal. From 2012-2024 the dodgers have been lower than 4th in payroll just twice, which was 2012 when their new owner took over and this year. They led MLB in payroll 6 of those years. In than same span, the Cubs have only had a top 10 payroll 5 times. So in that 12 year span, the Cubs have had less top 10 payrolls than the Dodgers have had #1 finishes.
  14. JD94
    Meh. I don’t know. There’s no consolation prize for finishing 2nd (or 3rd, or 4th whatever we were). Ohtani isn’t the first star we didn’t close either… or maybe even seriously pursue at all. Take any star player from Harper back in 2018 (?) up until Ohtani. We didn’t get any of them. Jed is on record that he’s pretty anti long term deal for big money like that. He seems set in his ways. He wants to build a homegrown team like a small market club but supplement with 2nd and 3rd tier free agents. We will see if not star chasing works for him. So far, no bueno.
  15. JD94
    Not saying you’re wrong, I maybe just missed it, or I chose to forget it. What was our offer to Ohtani? I remember (yes, consider the sourcing) that Nightengale said we balked at 10/500. If we weren’t even offering that, then that’s basically an insult to Shohei. He signed for $200M MORE than what was reported we wouldn’t even offer. If there was another offer that was made public, I apologize. From my perspective we did enough due diligence to say we tried while never actually being willing to give him what he ultimately got. Until I see the FO/Ownership actually go there with a super star, I’m going to choose to believe they’re never going to do that and all we can do is accept it apparently.
  16. JD94
    Maybe it’s just me, but it feels like Tom and even Jed, I guess, just get a pass from not even fishing in the Soto type waters. It’s like we just accept that they won’t do it and are okay with it. I mean I know Cubs fans rioting on Twitter isn’t going to change the way the FO/Ownership run this team, it’s just annoying how they get a pass from this. There’s no excuse for us to not have a single super star player we can market and help us win games. Now we have a generational talent hitting the open market and Jed will probably offer 6/250 and walk away when they laugh in his face.
  17. JD94
    He can’t be worse than what we have. Bring him up and grab Caissie on the way. Kidding, kind of lol
  18. JD94
    The Cubs are literally the only large market team that doesn’t have a single star player Yankees - Soto, Judge Red Sox - Devers (not quite a star, but consistently pretty dang good) Phillies - Harper, Turner Mets - Lindor, Alonso Angels - Trout Dodgers - Ohtani, Betts, Freeman, Smith Rangers - Seager
  19. JD94
    Want
  20. JD94
    Want
  21. JD94
    Was just coming here to post about Moore. He’s growing on me. And even if he goes before us, even better shot that pushes somebody else down to us like Tibbs.
  22. JD94
    I’m all for it. I’m a little scared of the injuries though. I guess it depends on what type of injuries he’s having. If it’s hamstrings and lower back issues and those types of injuries, it’s possible he’s just injury prone. If it’s baseball related injuries like injured wrist from sliding or jammed shoulder from running into the wall, then that’s the different type of injury I’m talking about. He played 145 games last year, but he’s been hurt most of this year, only played 98 games in 2022, and 68 in 2021. That’s concerning when you’re considering the type of headliner you would have to give up to get him. Again, I don’t know the types of injuries he’s had though without looking it up.
  23. JD94
    Totally agree. The FSU guys are super fun. Brecht is the definition of low floor but high ceiling. He’s so raw and may never consistently throw strikes, but that 99-102 fastball and nasty slider is fun to dream about. I don’t want us to go pitcher unless the draft just totally gets flipped on it’s proverbial head, but if we do, I like Yesavage.
  24. JD94
    I personally prefer to draft college bats early and buy pitching. Obviously there are caveats. Like I’m not passing on a Paul Skenes. For example if James Tibbs and Trey Yesavage are sitting there when we pick, I’m absolutely taking Tibbs. If we draft Yesavage, I’ll get on board. I think he’s a really dang good pitching prospect. I just love proven college bats. Again, this isn’t meant to be argumentative and I don’t want to debate it, just stating my personal preference. I’d be super stoked if Tibbs made it to us. I really like Cam Smith also as I said above.
  25. JD94
    We haven’t comfortably won a game in 19 games since May 15th in Atlanta when we won 7-1.
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