Bertz
-
Posts
12,350 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
29
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Bertz
-
Len did. Everything is fine, this was planned from yesterday to not put Morrow into yesterday or today's games because they worked him a little too hard over the weekend. Should be available tomorrow.
-
that was the wbc oddball one though. that doesn’t count Yeah I want to say the change happened because the HR leader at the time didn’t make the ASG, somehow,so they changed it to let him in. Maybe I’m not remembering correctly though. I believe it's this as well. Might have been Ryan Howard when he had declined enough to no longer be a star but not so much that he wasn't still a prodigious dongsman.
-
I'll take the loss considering the good signs from Kyle. I'd gladly make the same trade tonight with Quintana.
-
I still overwhelmingly think we will win the division but scary question: if it was today, who do you trust on the Cubs to start a 1 game playoff? Try to get 5 out of Lester then go Cishek, Edwards, Strop, Morrow? Probably depends on the opponent and who's hot. But yeah if our guys don't get it together any potential playoff run by us will look like last year's Yankees and 2016's Indians. Bullpen early and often.
-
Like Cubswin said the defense is the through line here. Their starting pitching in particular sucks and is being propped up by the defense. The offense has not been particularly clutch by FGs measures, so the 1 run victories are coming from the run prevention side as well.
-
Yeah Baltimore is a good call. Though I tend to think Duquette knows what he's doing and Angelos is just a nightmare, meaning their issues are more big picture and less not properly valuing guys in trade. The larger point still stands, there aren't any FOs anymore that don't get BABIP or FIP or other concepts that were novel like 12 years ago. If we can spend 30 seconds on Fangraphs and figure out that a guy has been fortunate then they're not going to be overvalued on the market. Given that Colorado demoted Gray because they didn't understand it, how about we propose that swap? I believe most indications out of Colorado are that they wanted to give him a mental breather more than they actually think he's bad now. Similar to Schwarber being sent down last year, pull the cord before he starts pressing too much and developing bad habits.
-
Baltimore. Unless you didn't list them because dumb is way too positive of a description for them. Yeah Baltimore is a good call. Though I tend to think Duquette knows what he's doing and Angelos is just a nightmare, meaning their issues are more big picture and less not properly valuing guys in trade. The larger point still stands, there aren't any FOs anymore that don't get BABIP or FIP or other concepts that were novel like 12 years ago. If we can spend 30 seconds on Fangraphs and figure out that a guy has been fortunate then they're not going to be overvalued on the market.
-
I actually agree about the over-valued thing. It's not 2005 anymore, if his BABIP is really just a mirage that's not fooling anybody in the game to give up excess value for him. There are no dumb FO's anymore except maybe Colorado.
-
JP Morosi makes it sound like the Brewers are the frontrunners for Machado. I'm torn on that. On the one hand obviously you don't want them getting good players, but on the other hand most of their success can be attributed to defense, and Manny at SS would piss all over that.
-
Wilson's been phenomenal since like the third week of the season. I think if not for his monumental bed-horsefeathering against the Reds during that double header, he'd have won us all over by now.
-
Damn, neutral wind and that's out. Let's ignore that the Reds would have like 6 more runs in neutral conditions.
-
I’m not arguing Q has been that good or that I’m not expecting more. Just that he hasn’t been “that” bad that we need to be in “OMG rotation is doomed and we need starters at the deadline.” There’s reasonable belief that him and Hendricks will get better sooner than later and I just used Verlander as an example since he’s held in some regard here that he’s always great and that’s just not the case. These guys go through weird/bad stretches Not to continue the derailment of the game thread, but when the Cubs got Q, wasn’t he statistically a Top 10-15 starting pitcher in all of baseball. Has he even been close to that for a significant period of start.... yet? Yes. He was fantastic with us last year pretty much from the jump.
-
It's crazy how spoiled I am by our defense. Zobrist bobbled that DP ball just a tiny bit, and in my head I was still like "Jeez Javy wouldn't have done that!"
-
Looks like Lorenzen is their Randy Rosario. Let's hit him with the regression stick today.
-
I expect that they're just going to go with what they've got and assume at least 2/3s of Yu/Q/Kyle will figure it out. If not, look forward to a bunch of bullpen games this October. It almost worked for the Yankees last year, and the Indians the year before. I'm not sure it's the right move (though I lean yes), but it's what I expect.
-
When did Tommy turn into Jacoby Ellsbury with all the CI's?
-
Again, false equivalency. Coins and cards are not people with variable emotions and the like, especially on a day to day and week to week basis. If you're talking about a full season of blindly putting the guy in the leadoff spot, sure, I'll concede that point. Maybe I’m way too Baseball Managering this, but I’d much rather have Maddon (and Theo) looking at these decisions in a weighted coin flip type of way than ‘emotion and the like’. We have probably five better hitters against righties than him in the lineup today, and they’re all going to get less at bats than he is. The whole thing that makes Theo Theo is that for inconsequential decisions like this he looks at the human element. If the projections say we'll score like .09 fewer runs with Almora leading off but they know that he's jazzed to do it and they think it's helping his development they're gonna let him do it.
-
Almora leading off is not ideal but it's fine, and I don't think it says anything negative about Joe's thought process. - Short of doing something actively harmful like leading off with the pitcher, the lineup doesn't matter as long as everyone is comfortable - Much like BABIP, L/R splits generally regress to a player's overall mean - They clearly want Almora to grow into the leadoff role, and are willing to pay a small price now for a larger potential reward later - It could be just as much about not wanting Willson or Addison at the top of the order as it is about having Almora at 1.
-
https://twitter.com/lindseyadler/status/1015092659709411329?s=19
-
I like The Athletic and think it's worth it. I don't even bother reading the Chicago Tribune anymore. It's important to support journalism in some form and pay for good content. Obviously, it's way better to own a subscription to the Washington Post, but every bit helps. Oh I'm with you on paying for good content. I sub to FG, ESPN, and used to sub to BA (now I just buy the prospect handbook). I just think the Athletic specifically is a questionable value proposition. 90% of Mooney's stuff is doom boner nonsense or boilerplate beat writer stuff. Half of Sharma's is the same. I like the Bears coverage. and love Rosenthal/Stark, but realistically I'm getting like 2 worthwhile articles a week.
-
Wow wow Javy
-
Theory I have done 0 to look up: The reason the Cubs' clutch numbers are so bad the past few years is that the middle and bottom of the order are so good, we have a disproportionate number of runners on base for our pitchers.
-
Niko Goodrum definitely sounds like a "I faked my death and now my new name is an anagram of my old name" kind of name.
-
The Athletic has an outstanding article on what's wrong with Kyle. I'm leaning towards dumping my Athletic sub, but they do just enough stuff like this that I haven't yet. https://theathletic.com/418946/2018/07/03/whats-wrong-with-kyle-hendricks-let-him-explain/
-
The Nationals are 7 games behind the Braves. and 3.5 games behind the Phillies for the 2nd wild card, with 3 other teams between them. Like, I'm sure Bryce will go supernova soon and they'll win 20 of 25 and this will all be a distant memory by the time the season is over, but damn.