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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I think the call is right, but I don't understand why Schwarber shouldn't be at 2b.
  2. Bertz
    Their playoff rotation was only three pitchers: Kluber - Amazing Trevor Bauer - Mediocre at that point of his career, and missing half a finger at that specific point in time Josh Tomlin - 4.40 ERA and even worse peripherals that year They didn't throw any full on bullpen games, but aside from Kluber it was basically two times through the order and then hit the showers for the starters.
  3. Bertz
    I don't see an issue with Kyle being our #1 starter if he's throwing like this. The problem is that he's the only guy you can feel decent about in a playoff game as currently constructed. Montgomery and Hamels are fine, but not guys you want going in the playoffs, Lester looks broken, and Quintana doesn't look totally broken but there's clearly something wrong. Q needs to get fixed and Yu needs to come back healthy or we're going to have to try and bullpen our way through the playoffs. It's not a death sentence, the Indians (and IMO Yankees) showed it works if you've got a pen like ours, but it's not ideal.
  4. Bertz
    De La Rosa at least looks like he can still get lefties out reasonably well. It's not much but with Duensing and Rosario unable to clear that low bar it should be an upgrade.
  5. Bertz
    While Javy is objectively swinging at more pitches both in and out of the strikezone, I would guess that if we had the numbers we'd find that the quality of pitches he's swinging at is a lot better. To me it seems like he's swinging at far fewer "what the horsefeathers are you doing" type pitches. He has also gotten rid of that weird quirk where he would swing at literally anything during a full count. That's resulted in far fewer noncompetitive at bats and with his bat speed that's been enough.
  6. Bertz
    [tweet]https://twitter.com/CarrieMuskat/status/1027931530184871936[/tweet]
  7. Bertz
    Yeah I'm not super high on the predictive power of launch angle and exit velocity, despite the fact that you'd think they'd be incredible for that. Pre-statcast we'd handwave all sorts of small sample size stuff away as luck that's unlikely to repeat itself....and most of the time we'd be right. Now, you can be more semantically precise in noting whether or not it's luck. but it doesn't really change whether or not it's likely to persist.
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    I'm not too worried about losing Eloy. Even with him destroying AAA it's doubtful that he's much more than Schwarber. Maybe we chose the wrong arm to cash him in for, but using him to shore up the rotation was absolutely the right move. Cease is looking more and more likely to actually be something, but his median outcome is still probably a very high end reliever. Like Eloy, that would hurt, but it's really unlikely he'll be enough to make this trade go down as an all timer.
  10. Bertz
    I really appreciate that Montgomery just throws strikes. It will bite him occasionally, like a few starts back against the Cards, but from a back of the rotation guy that's perfectly fine.
  11. Bertz
  12. Bertz
    This is like when people sarcastically say "sure could use some of that global warming right now" when it's cold outside.
  13. Bertz
    I'd love to see a list of such guys. Just go find the next Nick Ahmed or a younger version of Alcides Escobar and bat them ninth. Alcides Escobar has a career wRC+ of 69, while Russell is at 91. That's an even bigger difference than 2017 and 2018 Anthony Rizzo. I think you might be underrating Russell's bat just a tad.
  14. Bertz
    Russell is an above average everyday player who is 24. He isn't crappy. That's a laughable package for Trout, but he isn't crappy. Russell is about to start getting expensive and plays great defense and doesn't do horsefeathers on offense. I can find that guy a ton cheaper and get value for a guy that hopefully others think isn't horsefeathers. I'd love to see a list of such guys.
  15. Bertz
    The last turn through the rotation 28.1 IP, 25 H, 9 R, 7 ER, 6 BB, 28 K, 3 HR, 2.23 ERA
  16. Bertz
  17. Bertz
    That was beautiful by Javy
  18. Bertz
    Jesus Christ. That was almost as bad as Montgomery's throw yesterday.
  19. Bertz
    That's what's so weird about him. Like he hasn't been Chatwood or anything outside of two or three starts, and it's perfectly normal for any guy to have a handful of those a year, but he still had an 11.2% walk rate coming into today. He's just walked an extra guy per game for whatever reason this year.
  20. Bertz
    Quintana has a 3.66 ERA since the 4/14 game against Atlanta where it was 34 degrees and sleeting the whole time. And a 4.66 FIP
  21. Bertz
    Q looks good. Unfortunately Q has Ryan Dempster disease, where he can look great for three innings, give up 5 runs, and then look great for three more innings like nothing happened.
  22. Bertz
    Willing to be proven wrong by replay, but he looked to be very much in foul territory there.
  23. Bertz
    Having Zobrist at 2b shows just how special the Addy/Javy MI is.
  24. Bertz
    Wow....okay
  25. Bertz
    No way Andy Green got the call to challenge this in under 30 seconds. That was quite a wait. Which is weird because it definitely hit him.
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