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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    If he misses 5 years can the insurance payout pay for Harper? I know you're joking, but I believe it sort of can. My understanding is that insurance offsets also apply to the CBT (at least in part). Specifically I think it has come up with Fielder and Wright.
  2. Bertz
    I LOVE Sam Miller. I can't decide if he's the most fun of the analytical writers, or the most analytical of the fun writers, but whatever he is he's awesome.
  3. Bertz
    I literally did a double take and rewound it. That was so normal looking.
  4. Bertz
    Earlier than I was expecting to make this post today, but looks like all three games today are pretty settled. The Cubs have 33 games left. If they go 17-16 in those games, they end up with 93 wins. To match that. the Cards need to go 20-11 (104 win pace) and/or the Brewers need to go 20-10 (108 win pace). The next two weeks look really rough, but if they aren't disastrous then the division race looks about over.
  5. Bertz
    That's a quality bullpen dance Oh and the dong that caused it too
  6. Bertz
    We're getting real close to the point where I care more about the Dodgers collapse than anything the Cards or Brewers do.
  7. Bertz
    Its not so much that, its that the Cubs will take a horsefeathers combined with the Cards surge. My only concern is this long stretch without a day off will have a toll. We just need the Cardinals to cool off by then Yeah. I'm a bit worried about the rest of this 23 game stretch. The Mets suck. but it looks like we're getting both deGrom and Thor, and then on the road for Braves/Phillies/Brewers/Nats. I think we're going to give back a few games during this stretch, so it would be really nice to be up 4+ going into Monday. That being said, the Cubs have 35 games left. If they go 18-17 they'll end up with 92 wins. The Cards would need to go 20-13 (98 win pace) and/or the Brewers would need to go 20-12 (101 win pace) to match that.
  8. Bertz
    That was nearly as painful to watch as a Chatwood outing
  9. Bertz
    Taillon is going tomorrow and Archer on Sunday. If the Brewers don't come through tonight there's some pretty real sweep potential here.
  10. Bertz
    Samesies
  11. Bertz
    Going to the game today, safe to assume there will be a ton of player's weekend merch? Because I will buy the hell out of an Edwards or Javy shirt
  12. Bertz
    I didn't realize Short was a plus defender. If that's true he's interesting, potentially a Zack Cozart type. Cozart was/is more of a contact guy, but Short could take a different route to a similar OBP/SLG.
  13. Bertz
    I think the Phillies are the top team I'd want to face in round one. They'd have burned Nola in the WC game, and they're just not that scary when he's not on the mound. The Braves lineup absolutely wrecks lefties, so they're probably a bad matchup for us even though they're not particularly scary in a vacuum. Other than that everyone besides the Dodgers is good enough that they could be a problem but not so good to be intimidating. A healthy Nats team would be scary, but they're done. They've dug themselves too big of a hole.
  14. Bertz
    Magic Number down to http://www2.pictures.gi.zimbio.com/Carlos+Zambrano+Mark+Carlson+Pittsburgh+Pirates+132UFGcSONWl.jpg Also guaranteed we'll be in first place going into our 24 in a row stretch
  15. Bertz
    Sounds like the plan is for Yu to have rehab starts on the 19th, 24th, and 29th, which would bring him back around Labor Day for the Brewers series.
  16. Bertz
    Chacin has very big righty/lefty splits. So you want to stack the lineup with lefties, but I hate having Tommy at 3rd.
  17. Bertz
    Glad we're running out basically our worst infield defense to match the new look Brewers.
  18. Bertz
    https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2018/08/14/bears-roquan-smith-reached-a-compromise-on-issue-of-voided-guarantees/ Looks like Roquan's money can only be voided if he's a Vontaze Burfict level sociopath on the field, which seems fair. Glad it was the Bears that caved, they were in the wrong.
  19. Bertz
    This is what I'm expecting. I think we sign Bryce or Manny, deal one of those three (likely Happ if Harper. Russell if Machado) for pitching, and Bote takes Seal Boy's roster spot, but gets a lot more playing time because he can actually field a position.
  20. Bertz
    It is. Just running some quick numbers, if you were favored in every single playoff game 57/43, you'd have a 26.6% chance of winning it all. IMO there's no team that is that much stronger than their playoff competition. I think a dominant team, like the '16 Cubs or this year's Sox, is probably about 20% likely to win it all, but I don't think anything more than that is reasonable.
  21. Bertz
    As a Cub he's throwing 93.6 mph. His high for a season is 93.7. Now that's skewed because most guys throw softer in April and then ramp it up. but his velocity is nearly nearly where it was in his prime. My guess is he's not back to being an ace, but there's a good chance he is at least back to being a guy who you say "Oh good Cole is starting."
  22. Bertz
    I knew this was rare but wow [tweet] [/tweet]
  23. Bertz
    Probably. I think the Dbacks are a cut above those other 3 teams, and while I don't think the Brewers are any worse than the Braves, the Brewers don't get to beat up on the Mets and Marlins.
  24. Bertz
    :flythew: Really big win. With how bad Lester's been lately and Scherzer going Sunday this could have very easily been a disastrous weekend.
  25. Bertz
    If Strop is on early this could be a fairly easy save. Just don't let it get back to Rendon.
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