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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

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    Guys usually only get pushed down one level over the course of ST, right? If that (questionable) assumption holds, it implies that Hearn and Verdugo will be starting at SB to open the year. Not wildly unexpected in either case, but I'd say a pleasant surprise. On the flip side, I'm hoping that Strumpf being in camp with SB is related to injury, because that's a BAD sign if he is healthy and doesn't open the year with MB.
  5. Bertz
    I will not let 10 ST innings convince me that Chatwood is good now I will not let 10 ST innings convince me that Chatwood is good now I will not let...
  6. Bertz
    If Kimbrel were coming off a normal year this would be zero cause for concern. Being ~2 MPH below where you should be is perfectly normal for the first week of March, and he's throwing strikes and missing bats. But last year was such a disaster, honestly I'd be worried by anything he did this spring. Even if he were sitting at 99 MPH I'd be worried that he overcompensated for last year and got ramped up too early.
  7. Bertz
    According to this Nico is likely to make the OD roster, though not a lock. And the bullpen is likely to be Kimbrel Wick Ryan Jeffress Tepera Sadler Winkler Mills Of the bubble guys, sounds like Sadler and particularly Winkler are standing out the most.
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    They're clearly not going to do the only sensible thing and cut him, so he should literally never play unless we're up or down 7 or more. i don't think he's going to make it. the fast miller guy will over him. Yup. Or possibly Phegley as a third catcher. The FO dumped Duensing in a similar situation last year and I expect the same here.
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    I’m very interested in the pitching placements. I do wonder if they’re a bit more aggressive with Marquez. Unfortunately Jeremiah Estrada had TJS surgery last August. Ah, good call on Estrada!
  12. Bertz
    After reading MLB's list yesterday I'm really curious to see how the rotations play out in the lower levels: - Do any of Cruz/Gallardo/Estrada open the year in SB? - Do any of Jensen/McAvene/Clarke open the year in MB? - Whither Jose Albertos? - Was 5 dominant starts enough to show that Brailyn is too good for High A? I feel like the position player group is fairly set save for the guys on the Eugene/South Bend bubble like Verdugo, but there's a lot of possibilities on the SP side.
  13. Bertz
    I can tell we're close to the season and my glasses are getting rose colored because I'm letting myself get modestly excited for Chatwood
  14. Bertz
    MLB's looks closer to what I would consider "right." That's understandable, the blessing and the curse of Keith Law's work is that he's just one dude, so he's inherently going to be more outlier-y. Also, Jim Callis is the best at this and has been for a long time, so that doesn't hurt.
  15. Bertz
    This is a weird deal. When's the last time we saw something like this? Longoria, Braun, and Tulo when they all signed their second contracts 6-7 years ago?
  16. Bertz
    If Maples can even get his walk rate down to a Marmol-ian 15% without giving up the whiffs and ground balls he'll be playable. If he can do 10-12% he's closer-caliber.
  17. Bertz
    I wonder if this is also going to be a Kenley Jansen situation where he can't make the Coors Field trip anymore.
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    Just an anecdote, but Jed also mentioned on the broadcast Saturday that they believe there is less juice in the ball this year. That being said we've seen the balls at like four different levels over the past decade, so who knows what level of offense we're going to see.
  21. Bertz
    Effross pitched. It was no coincidence. This should be getting a lot more attention
  22. Bertz
    https://twitter.com/lindseyadler/statuses/1232394672594718720 Wow, that likely means he's going to end up missing nearly three seasons in a row.
  23. Bertz
    There was a study a few years back that said that while ST stats are in fact mostly meaningless, BB's and K's do actually mean a little bit. So if we see something weird like Javy walk 15 times or Ian Happ stop striking out it's worth keeping an eye on.
  24. Bertz
    I still would have expected Nico to make the list, but not totally surprising that neither he nor Amaya did given that Keith weights upside and loud tools even more than most. Taken straight from the intro:
  25. Bertz
    I really like Tommy Hottovy. I totally understand why the FO forced him on Joe last year.
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