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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Nice Yeah, right now the only lock for the bullpen is Kimbrel. Chatwood would currently be slated for the 5th starter spot, while like you said Strop, Cishek, Kintzler and Holland are FAs. Phelps has a really cheap club option so he'll probably be around, and Kyle Ryan would *really* need to go sideways to get left out. That leaves five open spots. I'd guess we fill two or three via FA, and two or three get filled via the Iowa shuttle. My guess is we open the season with something like this CL - Kimbrel SU - High cost relief option (e.g. Will Smith) SU - Ryan MR - Phelps MR - Lower cost FA option (e.g. resign Cishek or Strop) MR - Iowa Shuttle (Wick as of right now) MR - Iowa Shuttle (Underwood as of right now) LR - Kendall Gravemen or similar reclamation project SP
  2. Bertz
    Reasons for optimism regarding the Bears' schedule, as we face four of these five teams. At the end of the day it may end up being more tough than brutal.
  3. Bertz
    Spot in rotation next year? Yeah I would guess he gets the fifth starter spot next year to open the year. I also would think he's done enough to be fairly easy to trade this winter, though with Montgomery also gone they probably want to keep the depth.
  4. Bertz
    I don't think it's an amazing farm system given the lack of blue chippers and with how much of the really fun stuff is still only in A ball, but I think it's laughable that this is a bottom 5 farm. I fully expect it to "magically" move into the teens in November when outlets redo their rankings.
  5. Bertz
    Brach was probably going to be around next year too. He has/had a player option for like $3.5 mil I think. But glad he’s gone and we’re not letting such a small amount of money keep guys around. I actually think that was a mutual option that had to be picked up by both sides. I will check on that. It's kind of like what Kintzler had, where the Cubs had a team option for one amount, and Brach had a player option for a lesser amount. Less money than Kintzler, but I do think we're going to be out of ~$2M next year, which is probably why his leash was so long.
  6. Bertz
    Added bonus is that Hader can probably only pitch once this weekend now. He's definitely out tomorrow, and if he pitches Saturday it probably knocks him back out for Sunday.
  7. Bertz
  8. Bertz
    I like
  9. Bertz
    Don't love selling low on him, but understand it Man, next year's bullpen is going to look a lot different
  10. Bertz
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  11. Bertz
    I understand that midseason lists have a lot more inertia tied to them than offseason ones, but Davis is a top 100 prospect at this point and to say otherwise is laughable. Also, Jack Patterson turning into a thing is fun. I'd assume ultimately a reliever but still can't complain about essentially found money.
  12. Bertz
    Holland is very solid against lefties, so I could see him being strong in a more traditional short reliever role than he's been used in to this point. Kind of like De La Rosa last year. As long as this isn't the only pen move I'm cool with it
  13. Bertz
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  14. Bertz
    Curious to see the roster machinations over the next week between this and what seems likely to be multiple trades. Descalso is an easy casualty, but beyond that do we just see some combo of Vic/Robel/Almora/Bote sent to Iowa, or do we see someone(s) like Schwarber sent out via trade.
  15. Bertz
    I posted this in a game thread, but there's only one week without an off day until September. Russell is going to hang out in Iowa in case god forbid there's an injury, but thanks to the schedule Javy could probably ironman it until 9/1. If that's too aggressive, Bote or Robel could handle SS for the game or two necessary.
  16. Bertz
    [tweet] [/tweet] Brewers losing their one good starting pitcher for at least a month.
  17. Bertz
    We might be getting the Giants at the right time. In the 10 days since the ASB, they have played 11 games thanks to a double-header. Of those 11 games, 4 were in Coors with its well-known hangover effect, and 5 have gone to extras. Also, in those 11 games their bullpen has pitched 49 innings, including 7 (and counting) today. They're hot right now and obviously at home, but this could be a really good situation.
  18. Bertz
    What is there record when Russell sits? If we just appease the baseball gods and dfa Russell do we turn back into supercobs? They won't DFA him, because without him they're not equipped to handle a Javy injury. But, I could see him in Iowa after the deadline. There's only one week in the next 6 that doesn't have an off day. Javy could probably Ironman through August, but even if that's a little aggressive Bote or Robel could handle it for a day or two.
  19. Bertz
    We're gonna need Twitter to up the character limit if this game goes more than 9
  20. Bertz
    Oh man, I think they've got a couple of young kids too. Awful.
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    The Duane Underwood conversion to relief looks like it's bearing fruit. He converted May 31st and his first appearance sucked, but since June 1st: 13 Gs, 19 IP, 15 H, 5 BB, 0 HR, 25 K 1.89/2.11 ERA/FIP I dont have anything on his groundball rate since the switch, but given how the ball is flying in AAA this year I'd imagine it's strong as well.
  23. Bertz
    Football Outsiders released their 2019 almanac today. Still digging through, but some interesting nuggets so far: - The Bears project as the 16th best team in the NFL, with 7.9 wins. 18th on Offense, 4th on defense, 28th on ST, and the 5th hardest schedule - The Packers project to win the division, but not run away with it. They're pegged at #10 wand with 8.6 wins. That's a tiny gap, win Week 1 and you've pretty much erased it - Trubisky improved much more from year 1 to year 2 than a typical QB. Optimistically, you could attribute that to his lack of starting experience in college and expect another above average jump from year 2 to 3, BUT there's not a lot of objective evidence to back that up - A few more Mitch nuggets: he was great under pressure last year; but he kind of sucked with a clean pocket. Unfortunately the latter is usually more predictive than the former - The Bears sucked on Play Action, one of only a few teams to be worse with PA than without - The Bears ran the ball 43% of the time in the first half last year. For two points of comparison the 2017 Bears were at 46% rate in 2017 while last year's Chiefs were 32%. Spending so many plays getting the running game going meant less opportunities to pass - The Bears were one of 4 teams to run the ball against an 8 man box less than 10% of the time, which makes the team's poor running numbers that much worse
  24. Bertz
    Power is streaky. UMFan did a great job of showing it with Rizzo, but it's true for everyone. If a guy hits 26 homeruns in a year, he's not hitting 1 per week. He's gonna have a few different weeks with 3 to 5 and a few months with only 1 or 2.
  25. Bertz
    I think Montgomery had more value than this, but not way more. and so ultimately it was about the softer factors: - Having an extra roster opening in the bullpen to use on actual relievers - Depth in case one of our top 2 guys suffers a more substantial injury - Any sort of mentorship or whatever Martin can impart on Willson and Vic - Doing right by Montgomery Ultimately, they must have felt that those were worth the surplus value they just lit on fire. I don't know if they're right, but I'd guess that if they're wrong it's not by a ton.
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