Football Outsiders released their 2019 almanac today. Still digging through, but some interesting nuggets so far: - The Bears project as the 16th best team in the NFL, with 7.9 wins. 18th on Offense, 4th on defense, 28th on ST, and the 5th hardest schedule - The Packers project to win the division, but not run away with it. They're pegged at #10 wand with 8.6 wins. That's a tiny gap, win Week 1 and you've pretty much erased it - Trubisky improved much more from year 1 to year 2 than a typical QB. Optimistically, you could attribute that to his lack of starting experience in college and expect another above average jump from year 2 to 3, BUT there's not a lot of objective evidence to back that up - A few more Mitch nuggets: he was great under pressure last year; but he kind of sucked with a clean pocket. Unfortunately the latter is usually more predictive than the former - The Bears sucked on Play Action, one of only a few teams to be worse with PA than without - The Bears ran the ball 43% of the time in the first half last year. For two points of comparison the 2017 Bears were at 46% rate in 2017 while last year's Chiefs were 32%. Spending so many plays getting the running game going meant less opportunities to pass - The Bears were one of 4 teams to run the ball against an 8 man box less than 10% of the time, which makes the team's poor running numbers that much worse