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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Even at the worst points I've been a big proponent that we were right to trade them, but not for Quintana. Really glad Q's rebounded from last year and let me drop the 'but.' Really happy with what Phelps has done since coming over. Hopefully we can get Cishek righted, and I'll begin feel good about the bullpen. 7th - Phelps 8th - Wick 9th - Kimbrel With Ryan and Cishek able to be slotted in for opportune matchups. That's plenty good enough to get the job done.
  2. Bertz
    Three of the four have Castillo, Bauer, and Gray. A split would be great. Yeah things actually set up pretty well for the Reds to do some damage this weekend, they have the SP advantage in all four games since Flaherty won't be going. I think I'm hoping for the Cards to go 4-4 or worse over their next two series. Their September schedule is pretty tough, so as long as they don't feast over the rest of this homestand and put a few more games between us and them, I feel good about catching them.
  3. Bertz
    Yeah, but you're stuck with Rendon for his age 30-40 seasons lol Exactly, that's the tradeoff. Kris is still very valuable because even though he's expected to make ~45M the next two years, we're still in the year to year phase with him. If he screws up his shoulder, or gets fat, or forgets how to hit, or whatever, we can cut bait for two more years By doing the Rendon swap, you're locking in two years earlier than you had to, and that's a very real cost. So I'm totally with TT to the extent that I'm not doing this for some "spread the money around" horsefeathers. You get another star, and then use the Kris trade to surround that guy with a stronger cast of reinforcements. You don't trade Kris to make room for Castellanos and a reliever or something.
  4. Bertz
    Yeah I think it works if you bring in another star. Rendon is the most obvious, but there's a million permutations. For example, you could sign Rendon for 10/250ish and trade Kris to the Rays for Austin Meadows and Brendan McKay. You're comparable at 3b while only getting ~5M more expensive, and used Kris' trade value to address two trouble spots of the 2020 roster in CF and #5 starter. Also, because of the presence of guys like Bote and Happ with positional flexibility, and also given that you can ask for the world for Kris, you're not locked into a specific Kris replacement like Rendon. You could just as easily sign Cole and send Kris to the Braves or Twins for outfielder help for example. It's a really smart idea IMO, though I understand how tough it is to pull off in the real world.
  5. Bertz
    I follow the minors pretty closely and if you had asked me 10 minutes ago who Jordan Minch is I would have said "oh yeah that's one of the Cespedes BBQ kids." Really glad that Thompson is healthy enough to make it though.
  6. Bertz
    It's really surpring to me that he's only the 30th best pitcher in terms of fWAR in that stretch, at 1.1. Quintana is 13th at 1.7. Verlander is the one that is most confusing. I get all the home runs, but look at these two lines. Darvish: 62 IP, 11.32 K/9, 0.44 BB/9, 1.89 HR/9, .246 BABIP, 44.2% GB%, 23.6% HR/FB, 3.19/3.85/2.89 1.1 fWAR Verlander: 64.1 IP, 13.4 K/93, 1.12 BB/9, 1.40 HR/9, .268 BABIP, 32.9% GB%, 14.9% HR/FB, 2.38/2.71/2.76, 2.3 fWAR Verlander is better, but over twice as good? It's 1000% the dongs. fWAR is basically FIP times batters faced times some constant. By xFIP, Yu's basically as good as ever right now, but by FIP he's still fairly middling because of the dongs. I generally am a big xFIP guy unless a guy has years of over/underperforming it, but Yu's doing weird enough stuff right now that I'm not super confident in that belief.
  7. Bertz
    Clearing your cookies/cached data might work. I do. It comes back. I don’t know the source unless it’s clicking on some asshat’s tweets when someone is making fun of them. If it keeps coming back then they are actually meaning to target you. You've probably clicked on enough conservative things out of morbid curiosity that Google thinks you're actually conservative (or you share an IP with a staunch conservative?). Go to your Ad Settings in your Google account and remove anything related to conservative politics. That ought to do the trick, though it might take a few weeks.
  8. Bertz
    While I think you're mostly right the window is more like three years: last year/this year/next year. After year 4 for a young QB is generally when the honeymoon is over. If he's good that's when you have to start paying him, if he's not good that's when you can feel pretty confident he's not going to get any better. Plus on the defensive side, our team control on Jackson and Floyd runs through next year.
  9. Bertz
    Graveman was a guy I really wanted prior to the 2018 season. Obviously you worry about any guy coming off of TJ, especially when they weren't exactly a star prior, but I agree I love him as depth.
  10. Bertz
    The only good argument for this terrible signing. Assuming Morrow isn't also an avid Trump supporter IIRC Morrow is pretty vocally liberal. It's basically him and Sean Doolittle.
  11. Bertz
    This is not a comp but purely a discussion of aesthetics, but that looks very Bellinger-y
  12. Bertz
    McCutchen is probably the best comp except for the age component. That probably gets him to something like the 4/62 Jersey threw out there. While I'm hesitant to look at anything regarding payroll optimistically, they should have enough flexibility to do a deal like that and make a few moves for the pen even if payroll only increases modestly.
  13. Bertz
    Morrow was a legit Kimbrel/Jansen/Chapman style super-reliever in 2017, and passed the eye test too. It sucks it worked out this way, but the high risk of this happening is why he got ~$25 million instead of ~$75 million.
  14. Bertz
    I know baseball loves to cut its nose to spite its face in the international department, but is there really concern that there's going to be less than a year of lead time between an International draft being announced and implemented?
  15. Bertz
    I think Theo is pretty clearly still a well above average GM. That being said, the difference between the best and worst FO's is shrinking rapidly, and in our market we'll always be able to attract someone from the top half of the pool. Given that, I completely understand If someone wanted to kick Theo to the curb as penance for the Russell stuff.
  16. Bertz
    From my quick perusal of the play logs it also looks like 8 of 13 balls in play were on the ground (62%)
  17. Bertz
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  18. Bertz
    If anything Cowherd saying something makes it less likely to happen a la Bob Nightengale
  19. Bertz
    I tend to throw out whatever a college guy does the summer after being drafted, good or bad. On the one hand the Northwest league is a substantial step down from the SEC/PAC 10 so they should dominate, but on the other hand these guys are usually horsefeathering GASSED after having started their seasons in February.
  20. Bertz
    I would guess, as someone in the comments says, indefinitely here is literally "we're still figuring out how long you're suspended for" and less "you're going away for a long time, pal."
  21. Bertz
    Next year I think. I think this was a direct concession to get to the 26th man on the roster.
  22. Bertz
    Pretty balanced schedule, no really light stretches but no brutal ones either. *Maybe* mid April through Mid May if the Padres do a bunch this winter?
  23. Bertz
    *sigh*
  24. Bertz
    With the very obvious exception of God Mode Jake I feel like this hot streak Darvish is in is one of the best we've seen from a Cub in a long while
  25. Bertz
    This Roquan highlight is so fun I want to take it back behind the middle school and get it pregnant
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