Bertz
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Everything posted by Bertz
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I'm curious if we see a veteran righty like Jeffress brought in too, or even Jeffress himself. Overall this should be a solid group, and get really fun when one or more of Marquez/Caraway/Rodriguez/Roberts get the call.
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Very nice. I am happy with the right handed options for the pen, but there's not as many lefties who I feel comfortable with, at least in the short term. Brailyn and Caraway aren't likely to be options in April/May.
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Are we getting Black Monday II? No, but we got a Black QB!!!
Bertz replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
Not Winston for off-field considerations, but I'd be perfectly fine with Garappolo or Bridgewater and a day 2 pick spent on a QB. If we're going for a veteran QB, and not able to land a legit star, that'd actually be my preferred path. My nightmare scenario for this offseason has been giving up a bunch of picks for someone in the Stafford tier of QBs. My thought is to go big, go young, or be efficient. Absolutely don't give up a first+ for like 11th best QB in the league. -
This strikes me as a pretty definitive white flag on Bauer. If they're making a run at Willson, there shouldn't be any further holdup.
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Rosenthal doesn't frame it as such, but it kinda sounds like this is the players' biggest issue: Essentially, they want to sit on expanded playoffs because nothing on the table currently is worth those, and they know that's their big chip next winter.
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Dumb question maybe but what’s the reason for the owners wanting a shortened season? Guessing they think that if they delay the season a month it gives them better odds of having at least some fans in the stands all year? Yeah my guess is the calculus is that they'd rather lose 8 games rather than be capped at something like half attendance in April. My understanding is also that TV contracts can get messy if teams play less than ~145 games, so they don't actually want to throw out a full month of games. For the players, obviously since they're the ones putting their bodies on the line the extra month is massive if they're not giving up any dollars.
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After the acrimony of the last four years I won't begrudge the players one bit for aiming for a clear win rather than a draw, but this seems like an imminently fair offer to me.
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To an extent that's absolutely fair. I guess some context is that Bryan, after talking with some Cubs folks, has been talking up low approach angle all offseason. Here's a good explainer about it from FG This is the money chart The red is good here. The top right is high pitches from low release points, while the bottom left is low pitches from high release points. The Cubs have been seemingly loading up on guys in the top right, and Williams is the latest example. Extension basically gives you a boost in perceived velocity. I don't remember the number off hand, but it's something like every six inches of extension above average equates to 1 MPH of extra perceived velocity. So while Williams sits at 92, it likely plays up beyond that. As an aside, while I like Bleacher Nation generally, Bryan Smith is legitimately *really* good.
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NFL perpetual 2020 regular and postseason non Bears thread
Bertz replied to NOLA's topic in Other Sports
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Looks like he only has four years of service time too, so we should have him under control for 2022 as well. 3 MiLB options too.
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Bryan Smith at Bleacher Nation wrote him up about a week ago https://www.bleachernation.com/cubs/2021/01/26/the-cubs-sales-pitch-to-buy-low-starting-pitcher-candidates-williams-porcello-rodon-foltynewicz-archer/ Basically, he seems the most obviously pitch lab-able of the reclamation guys. The Cubs have also been loading up on low approach angle guys, so they clearly believe it's a thing.
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Boo, he was my favorite of the reclamation arms
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NFL perpetual 2020 regular and postseason non Bears thread
Bertz replied to NOLA's topic in Other Sports
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I like seeing Weber and Morel get revised up to Tenn after their fairly glowing reviews in interviews from the past few weeks. That actually makes the Tennessee pretty horsefeathering exciting, which I don't think it has been since Javy and co. were there.
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The local guys are now saying the Cubs are going to add two more starters. And over the last week we've seen them connected to Folty/Archer/Rodon as well as Shark and Jake. I'm guessing the plan is one of each "type"? Given that Alzolay and Mills have been talked up as shoe-ins for the rotation, that would seem to imply we're going with a 6 man? For example: Hendricks Jake Davies Rodon Mills Alzolay I kind of wonder if the rest of the offseason is going to be two starters and Wong coming in, with Willson heading out.
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Feels like this makes those opt outs even longer shots. So essentially 5 mediocre prospects for Arenado at 8/160ish.
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https://www.mlb.com/news/randy-arozarena-trade-to-rays-from-cardinals
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This is very good news. If Arenado's still a superstar he won't be there the full term.
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Down with this plan but isn’t Folty addicted to meth? Yeah I think he's by a good margin my least favorite name they've been tied to.
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Looking at spray charts from the last 2 seasons, it looks like Joc is even worse Yeah, slash line wise they're going to be nearly identical. Joc strikes out less, but pops up a lot more. Joc might even be more of an extreme pull hitter. He's a better defender, but also more susceptible to LHP. I'm guessing Joc does some thing(s) that Schwarber doesn't. For instance it looks like Joc is better against the high fastball https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joc-pederson/11899/heat-maps?position=OF&ss=2019-03-28&se=2019-09-29&type=5&hand=all&count=all&blur=0&grid=5&view=pit&pitch=FA&season=all&data=pi https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-schwarber/16478/heat-maps?position=OF&ss=2019-03-28&se=2019-09-29&hand=all&count=all&pitch=FA&season=all&view=bat&data=&grid=5&blur=0&type=5 I also wouldn't be surprised if there was other stuff that's not easy to verify publicly, like that Joc's better against velocity.