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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    It's really hard to say where payroll is going to be this offseason, and that obviously informs what's possible. I'm hoping that with Marquee going full force they still run something like $200M, but safe bet is always going to be that the Ricketts will disappoint. I mentioned this in the game thread, aside from Heyward the FO can potentially clean the slate this winter. There are currently only five guaranteed deals on the team: Yu, Kyle, Bote, Kimbrel, and Heyward. The first three are clearly positive value, and Heyward's clearly immovable. Kimbrel's harder to say, but he's looked like 2018 Kimbrel for the last 6 weeks. I'd bet that's enough for teams to consider him fixed and take on his money. I 100% trade Willson this winter. With him actually being valuable and Caratini and Amaya behind him he's gotta go. Bryant as well. I'd rather have Bote starting and ~$22M to spend than Bryant for next year. He'll probably bring back a couple of fun arms but honestly I trade him regardless of the return. Anything beyond that depends on how high payroll can go, though Schwarber probably goes for me as well.
  2. Bertz
    And Happ if he's willing to sign an extension. he's the one guy that'll have real value in a trade I think Willson will too, but yeah that's fair. That said if Theo wants to, he can pretty much clean slate it this winter outside of Heyward: - Heyward is unmovable. His big year probably would have made him an option to trade in a normal winter, but this offseason is not one to move big money - Kyle and Yu, even with big $, are so good they're easily movable - What Kimbrel has done since ~mid-August is probably enough to give his contract some real surplus value, but at minimum he could be moved without eating any money - Bote makes like $3M a year and is a league average player. Very easy to trade right now Everyone else is on a non guaranteed deal. If the FO wants to they can completely remake the team at this point.
  3. Bertz
    And Happ if he's willing to sign an extension.
  4. Bertz
    Yes, a solo homerun is a play we've all seen hundreds of times? Hasn't every baseball fan?
  5. Bertz
    Now would be a good time for pissed KB
  6. Bertz
    That was a really interesting note at the start of the broadcast about the futility against pitches 95+. I'm trying to find that data for prior years, because it would explain SO MUCH about what's gone wrong the last few years. If the Cubs are particularly susceptible to velocity, in an era where velocity is spiking, that would explain the downward slide the core has been on every year. It would also explain their problems in the clutch. Further, it'd be a HUGE indictment of the FO. Because while I'm having trouble finding that data publicly, that should be a pretty easy analysis for FOs to do.
  7. Bertz
    TATIS Oh my that bat flip and stare down just now is giving me the vapors
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    It's real
  10. Bertz
    Ummm, the radar does not look that bad so not sure what's going on.
  11. Bertz
    Extending a veteran guy 2-3 years from FA is a terrible idea. It almost always works out poorly: Braun, Longoria, Tulo, Howard, Miggy, etc. I legitimately can't think of an occasion where it worked out...was one of Jeter's deals this far from FA maybe? The problem is the guys are making real money by this point, so you're not getting that big of a discount. And if you're not getting a huge discount, that's a lot of risk to take on for a fairly small reward. Add on top of that Yelich was recovering from major knee surgery, and just a horrible idea from Stearns.
  12. Bertz
  13. Bertz
    ...wasn't Ross a MLB catcher for multiple seasons? Like, IRL? I kind of wonder if that's doing some of the harm right now. He obviously has a strong grasp of what's going on on the field. Is he spending too much of his attention on the micro level field general type stuff ("Kimbrel is dropping his arm when he throws the curve") and less on the macro level game and series management stuff? Because I feel like his issues are usually reacting too late to problems moreso than making nonsensical decisions.
  14. Bertz
    Generally I'm of the school that the tactical stuff we see is not the most important aspect of a managers job. By all accounts Ross is very good at the soft skills part of the job. But the guy REALLY needs to work on the in game stuff. Luckily that's not that hard to learn. Play a bunch of The Show this offseason or something.
  15. Bertz
    They're done. Their one shot was to do a 2016 Indians thing with Woodruff as Kluber and Williams/Hader as Allen/Miller.
  16. Bertz
    Reds have 1st and 3rd with no outs and the middle of the order up...and 6 pitches later inning over
  17. Bertz
    Sooo cool but winds blowing out 20-30mph to RF? Interesting. Yeah I can't remember a day this chilly with winds out that strong. This game on paper has the makings of an absolute drubbing. But these types of games make me the most nervous. It seems like they always end up going the exact opposite of how they're teed up. Like WS Game 3 where Josh Tomlin blanked the Cubs 1-0 with the wind howling out.
  18. Bertz
  19. Bertz
  20. Bertz
    Colts are somehow the #1 team in the NFL by DVOA, but I believe that's not schedule adjusted yet so their 36-7 pantsing of the Jets is being treated like a real accomplishment. Colts will be comfortably favored, and should be, but this is a winnable game.
  21. Bertz
    Gonna go on record now with this being a bad idea
  22. Bertz
    I believe I saw that the Marlins are going Alcantara-Lopez-Sanchez in this series. Lopez is probably the best of those three, but he's had a crummy September. Marlins have an 89 wRC+ against righties, and a 111 against lefties. So even beyond the fact that he's clearly cooked Jon Lester *really* shouldn't be starting in this series.
  23. Bertz
    Sounds like Yankees are 7 PM both Tuesday and Wednesday Edit:. And here's the whole thing
  24. Bertz
    While I don't like good things happening for the Brewers, them beating the Dodgers would be AMAZING
  25. Bertz
    Quintana sitting 93-94 is fun. 3-4 innings of Adbert and 2-3 of Q is probably a pretty damn good #3 starter.
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