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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Right?! Was that subterfuge, is this SSS noise, or is it one of those things where like him aiming up the middle ironically helps him pull? I could actually see the latter, when he's struggling he pulls off the ball a ton. Aim for the middle knowing you're naturally going to be a bit early makes sense.
  2. Bertz
    Yeah Dansby. A lot of his numbers are up right now, but in a way that is probably normal "this is just what a hot streak looks like" way, but the pulled fly balls have me wondering if that might be a legit change.
  3. Bertz
    Looking at upcoming schedule: - He's eligible to come off the IL but as far as I can tell no Juan Soto this weekend against the Mets - We are slated to miss Ohtani/Glasnow/Yamamoto against the Dodgers and instead get Sasaki, Sheehan, and Wrobleski, which feels like a HUGE gift - We are slated to miss Michael King against the Padres, and currently he is their only SP I'd be at all intimidated by (absolutely not buying the Randy Vasquez breakout). Though Griffin Canning might be back by then? The schedule the next two weeks is not kind but luckily we seem to be timing it where it'll be tough rather than terrifying.
  4. Bertz
    "Don't use anecdotes" says the guy who didn't bother to bring anything to the table. Since the start of '23, Nico Hoerner on ground balls has a .271 BA and a .251 wOBA. On balls in the air he's at .363 and .382. Like it's obvious you're getting increasingly desperate to have people argue with you but even so this is a reach.
  5. Bertz
    Please be more than just a simple hot streak please be more than just a simple hot streak please....
  6. Bertz
    Flanagan is a guy Greg Z flagged as working on velo over the offseason. TBD how much it moved but considering damn near half the guys we've seen throw in front of Statcast are up 1-1.5 MPH in the early going I'm hopeful.
  7. Bertz
    Did South Bend forget to pay the gravity bill because how the hell does that swing send a ball out?
  8. Bertz
    Ethan Flanagan, my goodness
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    He's got a ways to go to earn his way back to the circle of trust but I'm generally a believer in this version of Luke Little that sits 96 MPH
  11. Bertz
    Without recording a swing and miss in either game (through 8 innings tonight)
  12. Bertz
    So he got announced in the draft as a 3B, and he's played there a few times this year. But probably 1B. Maybe play enough 3B for a latter day Justin Turner type of deal.
  13. Bertz
    The best time for Cole Mathis to be in South Bend was late March. The second best time is now.
  14. Bertz
  15. Bertz
    On this note
  16. Bertz
    Riley Martin looks like he's going to be a guy if he keeps throwing strikes. The Stuff models love him, much more than you'd expect for a guy with fairly average velocity. And those models are intended to pick things up in small samples, so it's not as much of a "calm down dude it's four innings" as his sparkling performance-oriented stats.
  17. Bertz
    I'm curious where Alcantara's numbers are going to settle in at. The power spike has been paired with some extra swing and miss. That's pretty normal when a guy is on a heater (go look at Ian Happ's current #s right now), guys tend to let it rip when they're feeling really good at the plate. So is this just a simple hot streak that looks crazy because it's opening the season? Will both sets of numbers will even out with time? Kevin's also slashed his GB rate, is that change also just part of a heater or is it any more durable?
  18. Bertz
    lol never change Tom
  19. Bertz
    Oh hell yeah
  20. Bertz
    Do we know what Mason McGwire is throwing? It feels like a bit of a Mule situation where despite being sround forever if he decided to break out now he'd still be extremely age appropriate.
  21. Bertz
    Despite the strikeout another night where Hartshorn didn't whiff at all. Lovich's 0/4 4Ks night on the other hand roughly doubled his swinging strike rate. Though thankfully it only slid from great to "still quite good".
  22. Bertz
    Yeah he appears to very much be a thing. I'm especially glad he was in the Breakout game now because we have some measurables on him. I always hate having to hedge on the lower level guys until we get some stuff data.
  23. Bertz
    Hartshorn's swing rate is 37.3%. If he was an MLBer last year that would be second lowest in the league behind Juan Soto. I think if I was looking for nits to pick that's one I'd keep an eye on. Pitching is dire enough in Low A that you can probably do quite a bit of damage by just refusing to pull the bat off your shoulder. I'm thinking about James Wood, who had stellar K/BB numbers as a 19 year old in A ball leading into (ironically) the Juan Soto trade. James Wood had pedestrian contact numbers even then while Hartshorn's are quite good, so it's not apples to apples. Also I don't want to yadda yadda that Wood has turned out quite good. But just steeling myself for why/when Hartshorn's K/BB numbers likely go from insane to just good when he finally runs into pitchers with a little command.
  24. Bertz
    Barnes is obviously one of the corresponding moves. I'm curious who else is going down. Roberts? Assad? An injury?
  25. Bertz
    The fact that they're being so specific with their ETAs rather than annoyingly vague is a good sign IMO
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