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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    This is a very fun morning coffee read
  2. Bertz
    I do suspect we're going to see Charlie Barnes or Jordan Wicks pretty soon for this reason. Whether that's right away today or sometime in the next few days when the bullpen is in a little worse shape. Ferguson has an option so no guarantee he's coming right to Chicago or that he's got a spot on lock.
  3. Bertz
    So if he was less passive what would he be doing better? Like obviously the K's would come down, but the walks obviously would too. Is 16% BB/26% K worse than something more like 10 and 20? With a passive approach you're worried about letting hittable pitches go by...but what evidence do we have that's happening? A mid .600's slug and an ISO tickling .400 are top of the scale marks, and Cole is not even a guy with top of the scale raw power. I'm failing to see any sort of opportunity cost with this current approach. It's okay to not be in on Mathis. RHH 1B is one of the least valuable demographics for a prospect, there's a lengthy injury history, and he's not especially tooled up. But if we're poo-pooing any part of what he's done in the batters box in 2026 I think we're setting the bar preposterously high. There's also some definite you're sweet/hello human resources to Mathis and Kane Kepley's approaches but I'll try to leave that one be. Talking about Kepley too much makes me start sounding like Tom.
  4. Bertz
    Do we have any reason to think that's the case though? Again he's ISOing .380 on the season.
  5. Bertz
    Grant buddy get ready to learn corn
  6. Bertz
    He's slugging. 660 and has a .380 ISO (before a 1st inning double tonight) why are we just matter of factly assuming he's passive?
  7. Bertz
    Corollary to this: Go .500 from here and you win 88 games, which is almost certainly a playoff spot
  8. Bertz
    111 win pace by the way
  9. Bertz
    Honestly, kind of! He's at 4.30 pitches per plate appearance this season. I don't know of a good leaderboard for P/PA but like for instance Kyle Schwarber is at 4.23 for his career and Juan Soto is at 4.13. He'll get challenged more as he moves up the ladder but the K's are seemingly more of a deep counts/approach thing and not a contact thing.
  10. Bertz
    Keith Law mocks Zion Rose to us, and we're finally deep enough into the draft season where mocks are kind of real and not not just "here are my rankings next to the teams in the draft order"
  11. Bertz
    I'd assume he tops out at 3-4 innings this first time out. He hasn't thrown more than 50 pitches in an outing this year and has only topped 4 once in the past month
  12. Bertz
    I'd still much rather roll with Brown/Wicks/Assad than anyone you could reasonably get externally. Like go get another veteran body to stash at Iowa sure, but the young(ish) guys are: A) Probably better straight up B) Provide long term value by showing if they can stick (even if the answe is no) C) Are easy to move out of the way once reinforcements arrive
  13. Bertz
    lol lmao
  14. Bertz
    How long do we think before Carico moves up to SB? Bat's clearly ready, honestly was probably ready from draft day. But he's missed a lot of time so probably not the worst thing to just let him get some consistent successful ABs? Especially since he's slowly working his way back behind the plate. I also sort of wonder if the Cubs think their catching instructors are better at Myrtle than South Bend? Feels like that would explain a few minor mysteries like Carico now and Ayers never getting promoted last year.
  15. Bertz
    Coppola and Flanagan keep pitching well pls. We need pitchers to break through generally but especially lefties.
  16. Bertz
    I would strongly consider this the sign that it's time to lengthen Brown back out. But the bullpen's finally back in a good spot, and Thielbar/Harvey don't sound super far out on top of that. We desperately needed Brown doing what he was doing up to this point, but we can probably shift back to a vanilla bullpen from here. And Brown's proven his bullpen chops so hopefully in ~August he can shift right back to the job he's got currently.
  17. Bertz
    I think it's 4-6 weeks of recovery, but I assume another few weeks after that to build back up. I'd assume All Star Break. This sucks.
  18. Bertz
    I think with the number of high profile teams that have flopped this season will help the market this summer. Part of the problem last TDL is that every bad team except the Dbacks and Twins was a team that had been bad for a while and had little to offer. Some will right the ship but having some combo of the Phillies/Mets/Bosox/Jays with rosters that have not yet been picked over should make it less of a seller's market At the same time I think it's really hard to deal anyone with 1.5 years of control. How do you value a Gore or an Alcantara or a healthy Joe Ryan when there's a small chance that next season is impacted by the CBA fight? How do you align on the odds that there's a shortened or even fully banged season? I assume it's less of an issue for someone with 2.5+ but probably still somewhat relevant. I could see a lot of directions. I could see some tepid rental like a Robbie Ray I could see a balls out long term move like a Hunter Brown. I'd doubt they do a big rental like Freddy Peralta? But I'm going to largely attempt to go into this deadline with specific expectations.
  19. Bertz
    The bullpen is not in bad shape today per se, but it's not in great shape. Today would be a really good day to just boatrace the Reds and let Corbin Martin eat two innings. Luckily Brady Singer sucks so the conditions are ripe.
  20. Bertz
    During this current 7 game winning streak: Cubs Batters - 38 BBs and 42 Ks Cubs Pitchers - 17 BBs and 66 Ks
  21. Bertz
    What a stupid June 2025 Brewers ass win
  22. Bertz
    I'd actually lean towards Alcantara being different than the guys we have on hand as being a plus in the FO's mind rather than a minus. One of the biggest differences between the Hoyer Cubs and the Theo Cubs is the lineup diversity. I'd also note that defense seems to win out vs. contact (looking at you, Dansby). That suspect that matters more Re: Alcantara vs. Shaw than either vs. Pedro though. As a switch hitting infielder he feels like he's a really good compliment to the current roster and wins any sort of fit debate almost by default.
  23. Bertz
    Abbott pitched that game last May where the Cubs were hitting 100+ MPH lasers all over the field and got jack to show for it. That and the game in Toronto against Scherzer were the biggest tough luck losses of the year.
  24. Bertz
    I suspect Pedro's bat and glove would be adequate in LF but not something you'd actively want out there. So as a super-sub that's great, he would compliment Shaw and especially Alcantara really well. And he'd also be good insurance in case one flat out fails. But I don't think he can be plan A. At least not in the next year or so.
  25. Bertz
    Reds are total frauds. Elly/Greene/Burns is as good of a trio as you'll find on any roster in the league, but the depth is just not there at all. Abbott's better than this, though not especially scary. He was very much a beneficiary of good fortune last year. He's probably a Taillon/Rea tier pitcher. Probably due for a good game but also we should touch him up.
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