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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    The difference between a 1B and COFer is half a win a year, and that's assuming he is similarly below average defensively on the dirt. That adds up, especially over a long term deal, which is why I don't expect Juan would make the move before getting paid. But for a team, that half a win can be more than made up for by the specifics of their roster. The Cubs have corner outfielders coming out the ears, so Soto staying in the OF rather than shifting to 1B would 1000% be about deference to the desires of a superstar, and not about the pure baseball decision-making.
  2. Bertz
    I wonder if Soto would play 1B post-extension. I doubt he would want to before he gets paid, since even a blah defensive outfielder gets paid more than a 1B, but once he's got his half-billion I'd like to think he wouldn't care. You can make it work with him still as an OFer obviously, but it becomes a perfect fit if he shifts. On the relief front, I expect real resources allocated there but not a name-brand closer. Something like bringing David Robertson back plus grabbing someone they feel like they can level up via the pitch lab a la Cuas (more substantial than Cuas though, TT's names feel closer to the right tier).
  3. Bertz
    Glasnow especially feels like a name to really keep an eye on. With the way the Rays set up his extension ($5M in '23, $25M in '24) they're clearly going to trade him. I expect that Jed will get the impact SP in FA (Yamamoto seems pretty perfect?), but if they go the trade route Glasnow would make a ton of sense. Jed would LOVE an ace on a one year deal, and his durability issues are mitigated by the Cubs' young pitching depth.
  4. Bertz
    Varland seems to more or less be the Twins version of Wrsneski. It would be nice to return the favor. The Cubs have also been weirdly bad on Sundays, hopefully that starts turning around too.
  5. Bertz
    Wesneski's issues are pretty reminiscent of Alzolay's a few years ago. Presumably the solution is pretty similar and revolve around the cutter. Give him a month down at Iowa and call him back up in June to give Steele a breather. Boxberger's gotta go, or at least get IL'd. He's got enough command and funk to be pretty successful at 93, but there's a ton of 90-91 from him right now. I understand wanting an adult down in the pen, but he's throwing BP right now.
  6. Bertz
    Cubs have won two in a row The star of last night's game was Chris Morel, the second most positive person in the world after... Today, Hayden Wesneski toes the rubber. After a rough start he's on a bit of a roll, so he's likely to be extra animated on the mound Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins. He's a boring finesse pitcher who gets soft contact, so you know Jed's going to watch with interest Go Cubs, with 3 in a row
  7. Bertz
    Nico no longer day-to-day
  8. Bertz
    Yeah that Denver one is almost as egregious as the Carolina one
  9. Bertz
    Let me just check these vs. LHP numbers... Also looks like they worked their pen pretty hard against the Padres. Duran is their only good reliever who tonight wouldn't be his 3rd in a row or 3rd of 4.
  10. Bertz
  11. Bertz
    Wesneski is one of the MLB starters listed but doesn't get a writeup. Then among the AAA arms Ben Brown gets a nod
  12. Bertz
    I might actually be more interested in Kohl's first AA start than Ferris' encore. God there's just so much fun pitching in the system now
  13. Bertz
    I think one of the biggest factors with this question is Justin Steele. He's already at 49 innings, while his career high is the 119 he threw last year. I'm not sure what the team's thoughts are on handling him, but I'd be tempted to IL him and skip a start or two. That gives you a bit more time to decide if Wesneski needs some time in Iowa or not.
  14. Bertz
    Under my tutelage, the Cubs finally broke their losing streak on Wednesday Now the Cubs head up to Minnesota to begin what might be their toughest road trip of the year Pitching for the Twins is Sonny Gray. He's one of the OG sweeper pitchers, so expect all the lefties including Eric Hosmer and Tucker Barnhart to start tonight Opposing Gray is Drew Smyly, one of Jed's shrewder moves Go Cubs, win two in a row tonight
  15. Bertz
    He's hitting a ton of weak fly balls. FG says he's hitting an astronomical 31% pop-ups. There's reason to doubt that specific number (it's a bit in the weeds, but the tl;dr is that MiLB scorers and MLB scorers differ on the semantics of pop-ups vs. flyballs vs. line drives), but he's clearly not hitting the ball with authority often enough. The glass half full is that this is the first step in closing his hole at the top of the zone. Essentially he's gone from not making contact at all to all those belt high fastballs to making poor contact. He's also hitting the ball to the opposite field too much, which I'm guessing is related.
  16. Bertz
    Yeah this is awesome! I find myself really eying that Iowa pen. I mentioned it in the gamethread last night but I think Keegan could use a breather in Iowa, and Nick Burdi is absolutely shoving. I'd love to make that swap. And then Horn and Heuer are not far behind. I'd like to see Ross start leaning on Merryweather and Rucker more, and not hiding them in garbage time. They're both pitching well (Merryweather has a sub 3 ERA with peripherals to match after his first outing of the year), but if you can't pitch in even medium leverage spots it's largely for naught. Let them sink/swim and move the line along.
  17. Bertz
    Considering he's more or less platooning with Wisdom swapping him for Mastro seems pretty reasonable
  18. Bertz
  19. Bertz
    Wouldn't be opposed to Keegan going down to Iowa and getting right
  20. Bertz
    If that's true that's huge. 117 is pretty elite slugger territory.
  21. Bertz
    It's a dong party
  22. Bertz
    I see you being dominant in relief Ryan Jensen
  23. Bertz
    Riley Thompson seems to be formally switching to short relief? I noticed he piggybacked a couple times and didn't go very deep, which I attributed to him getting roughed up. But if today is any indication it looks more intentional than I realized prior
  24. Bertz
    Wow Ben did not appreciate me having Wicks ahead of him Also what's with all the Wednesday day games in AAA? Wednesday is my in office day and I swear more than half the time I sit down to eat lunch and there's an Iowa game in progress.
  25. Bertz
    The Cubs have lost 3 in a row and 9 of 12 So we're breaking out the big guns The Cards are throwing out their one good starter, Jordan Montgomery. Our offense is going to have its hands full trying to not do anything infuriating The Cubs are countering with Justin Steele, who has been awesome for going on a full year now Go Cubs
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