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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    As much as it sucks for them, it is probably good for the game on a macro level that a full teardown failed so much. The Phillies too, they were in a worse course until Dombrowski pulled them out of it (which partially involved opening the checkbook wider). I'll be interested to see how thoroughly the Sox tear it down this summer. I'd probably move Cease, Moncada, Giolito, Lynn, and some relievers. Do they have the stones to do all of that in one fell swoop? Also let's start speaking into existence now Jed bringing Cease home.
  2. Bertz
    This is great, I've been wondering about Smyly's "Sinker" for a while, because it doesn't seem very sinker-y visually and sinker/curveball is very much against the current orthodoxy. I'm curious how much of his contact management ability is real. Going back to the start of '21 he's got a 3.94 ERA with a 4.59 FIP. This year Statcast thinks that gap is earned but the prior two years was less convinced. The other thing is his ability to work a the 3rd time through the order. He was mostly 5 and dive last year, though performed pretty well when asked to go a little deeper. This year his TTO splits are really bad, but I think that's really just the game against Cincy? He did fine both times against the Dodgers, and like you mentioned the fact that he faced them back-to-back would seemingly impact him in a similar way. Peripherally Smyly's a very generic 4th or 5th starter. But if he can more regularly go 6 and/or if the FIP beating powers are real the profile suddenly looks a lot more attractive.
  3. Bertz
    FUNNY YOU SHOULD ASK! "whatever the problem is"
  4. Bertz
    Yan Gomes is now hitting .309/.316/.582 on the season, and pitchers have an ERA under 3 when he's catching
  5. Bertz
    Curious who gets the 8th with Fulmer struggling right now. Does Ross give Rucker his shot at setup duty? Then close it with Hughes since the bottom half of the Padres order is pretty vulnerable to a lefty?
  6. Bertz
    Owen Caissie now batting 3rd for Tenn. Hernandez and Ballesteros batting 2nd and 3rd for Myrtle. Cool little acknowledgment for these guys who are among the younger players in their respective leagues and off to hot starts.
  7. Bertz
    We're now approaching a full calendar year of Steele being really horsefeathering good. And honestly it feels like he's still getting better?
  8. Bertz
    Soft confirmation that Kilian is the starter for the MLB club on Saturday
  9. Bertz
    Brown's probably only good for ~130 innings this year regardless. So I think coming up in relief in August is probably good from both a development and an MLB-need standpoint
  10. Bertz
    Hopefully Nelly hits and this weekend and never looks back so that when Bellinger comes back Torrens gets the axe.
  11. Bertz
    The Padres are going to start absolutely bludgeoning other teams soon. You just cross your fingers and hope this collective funk lasts another three days or that we can win some games 8-6. We're getting the back of their rotation, so the latter is a viable path to winning this series. I'd love to win the first two games, because there's nothing especially flukey looking underneath the hood on Seth Lugo, he might just be legit.
  12. Bertz
    People who take the long view on player performance tend to not breathlessly give updates on a player after every game?
  13. Bertz
    Yeah especially knowing now that they're not punting CF offense as well I'm also pretty content with things back there. SSS but despite the advanced stats liking him much more thdpitching has been way worse with Barnhart behind the plate. I'll be interested to see if that trend continues. Over the course of four weeks that's just noise but if it's still happening mid season it might be worth keeping an eye on.
  14. Bertz
    Feels like Yan Gomes is getting the shaft a bit. I feel like practically every day the Ump Scorecard says the Cubs benefitted, yet Yan has a negative framing score. He also has not allowed a stolen base yet, which this year is a borderline miracle. Like I don't expect him to keep it up, offensively in particular, but he's been kind of great so far? And that's setting aside any pitcher-whisperer stuff you could potentially attribute to him.
  15. Bertz
  16. Bertz
    And with one of the worst farms in baseball. They probably ought to put damn near their entire rotation, including Cease, out there at the deadline.
  17. Bertz
    The other thing about the Pirates is it's not the uber talented young guys doing the damage, it's Conor Joe and Jack Suwinski and 36 year old Andrew McCutchen. If it were O'Neil Cruz, Mitch Keller, and Roansy Contreras leading the charge I'd be a lot more worried.
  18. Bertz
    Despite his tiny ERA, I'm not sure Keegan's been all that good this year? We're in year 3 of his ERA being well south of his peripherals, so it's increasingly looking like he's a legit contact management guy, but still his peripherals are UGLY early on here. The thing I would change is less the leverage of his appearances, and more I'd ley him extend a little further if they're going to give him such ample rest. Like yesterday I would have let him take that game to the house. While his performance is currently pretty meh let's at least use him to get the some rest for the rest of the pen.
  19. Bertz
    I haven't seen any numbers but I believe Made was one of the guys who Bryan Smith said looked jacked when he was there in ST. .300/.440/.500 from a young for his level, plus defensive shortstop is quite something.
  20. Bertz
    Some context here for some of the higher walk rates at Tenn
  21. Bertz
    If Kilian pitches well tomorrow, you'd think he'd be the favorite to take the 5th starter's turn in Miami.
  22. Bertz
    Really great to see Davis with a big game. The swing and miss has been way down, hopefully that stays true while he gets hot.
  23. Bertz
    I feel a little bad that the pitch clock has made it harder for the sideline reporters to do their segments, but like you can't spend a whole horsefeathering half inning in split screen talking to some douche in a pink jacket
  24. Bertz
    It's far from the best story in the early going here, but Madrigal appearing to be fixed is a lot of fun. That's a fun, unique, and most importantly leveragable skill to have on the bench.
  25. Bertz
    I assumed that Amaya would be up for the job offensively at Tenn but yeesh. I assume he'll be at Iowa once he's knocked enough rust off on defense that they'd be comfortable pressing him into MLB service if there were an injury. And wowza Ben Brown
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