Bertz
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Everything posted by Bertz
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If you *just* look at the last 2-3 games, I agree you can make a case that Fields is playing like a top-10 QB. Last week when I looked at his QBR going back to the Vikings game, it came out to 60 (this probably isn't exactly right since I didn't weight each game by # of dropbacks). Over a full season coming into today, a 60 mark would rank him 10th in the NFL between Jalen Hurts and Derek Carr. His score for today just came out, and it's a 95.3. That puts him at ~67 over his last five. Currently a full season mark of 67 would rank 4th just ahead of Geno Smith (!?!). It's obviously cherry-picking, but basically since the Vikings game he's been playing like a second tier QB. Tua, Allen, and Mahomes are all in the high 70's for the season, but Fields recent play compares favorably to essentially anyone else.
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I feel like the over/under for him was $100M, so if you want a sign the market's healthy this is probably a solid one?
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Absolutely peak tank win. I'm old enough to remember the Trubisky game against the Bucs so I don't want to put too much into a single game, but this felt like a legit coming out party for Justin and the rest of the offense. And unlike last week, there's no "yeah but" because the Bears were typically multiple scores behind. All but I think two drives were within one score.
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Watching the Dolphins only reaffirms that I wanna go WR in the 1st round if possible. Not taking away too much from Tua but he has BIG windows to throw into.
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This feels like watching the Cubs in September of 2014. Who gives a horsefeathers about Edwin Jackson's 6-somethimg ERA when Soler/Baez/Rizzo are donging so frequently.
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National folks getting on board too
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Yeah this is great, and Justin looked VERY comfortable throughout the 1st quarter.
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Good stuff, hopefully they moved up the arb deadline too. A lot of recent offseasons have been slowed because these administrative dates come so slow and late.
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The Alvarez bomb was my fault. I was on the phone with my Dad and saying "Alvarez hasn't done anything since the Mariners series" mere moments before
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This is a fun idea. Baseball Trade Values says Stanton's contract is $115M in the red. That seems a little harsh, but even if it's closer to $100M, I'd be pretty ecstatic to take Stanton if the Yankees are covering 70+% of his salary. Maybe something where the Cubs pay ~$20M each of the next two years, while the Yankees cover everything else? Yankees get some fairly sizable short term salary relief, the Cubs get their infusion of power and the ability to painlessly peace out either after '24 or once he shows he's no longer viable.
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Jenkins and Boron also practiced today so we *might* have the full strength O-line back for Sunday.
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Chicago Bears Offseason Thread (the tank must payoff)
Bertz replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
Yeah I'm here too. Claypool means they don't have to force it if the board breaks poorly, but I think WR should still be the default choice in round 1. -
I get not getting away from McCullers too soon because you don't want to burn your bullpen but now the Phillies get to stay away from their high leverage guys (except presumably Alvarado who was already warming).
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I have no idea what it is but the Phillies are acting like McCullers is tipping his pitches
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Chicago Bears Offseason Thread (the tank must payoff)
Bertz replied to jersey cubs fan's topic in Other Sports
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1st round pick?
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I noticed DVOA still horsefeathering hates Fields even while the arrow is pointing up elsewhere. I'm not too concerned about that at the moment, I think DVOA is not especially well suited towards evaluating individual players, but it is worth noting.
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ESPN gave Fields a QBR of 72.1 for today, which is really good. 70+ is usually where the elite QBs live. And it looks like he's averaging just under 60 over the last 4 games. For reference, if that was his full season number he'd rank 9th between Jalen Hurts and Derek Carr for the year. For the full season, so not excluding his horrific start, he's now ahead of Zach Wilson and Mac Jones and only a few points behind Trevor Lawrence. Coming into today the Bears next three opponents ranked 20th, 31st, and 32nd in defensive DVOA. If he's truly leveled up this should probably where he starts piling up some significant raw yards and TDs.
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Sign the best OL to hit FA (hopefully the Colts are dumb enough to let Nelson go) Sign Mike Gesicki Use the rest of your cap space on defense Draft a WR with your 1st, add another WR and an OL on day 2 Profit
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Pretty ideal tank-win. I thought Fields was great and given the matchup I think that was a good showing for the O-line as well. That's 3 of the last 4 games where Fields has looked very good, and the one was a Thursday which are always highly prone to weird and sloppy play.