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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Yeah this is great, and Justin looked VERY comfortable throughout the 1st quarter.
  2. Bertz
    Good stuff, hopefully they moved up the arb deadline too. A lot of recent offseasons have been slowed because these administrative dates come so slow and late.
  3. Bertz
    The Alvarez bomb was my fault. I was on the phone with my Dad and saying "Alvarez hasn't done anything since the Mariners series" mere moments before
  4. Bertz
    This is a fun idea. Baseball Trade Values says Stanton's contract is $115M in the red. That seems a little harsh, but even if it's closer to $100M, I'd be pretty ecstatic to take Stanton if the Yankees are covering 70+% of his salary. Maybe something where the Cubs pay ~$20M each of the next two years, while the Yankees cover everything else? Yankees get some fairly sizable short term salary relief, the Cubs get their infusion of power and the ability to painlessly peace out either after '24 or once he shows he's no longer viable.
  5. Bertz
    Jenkins and Boron also practiced today so we *might* have the full strength O-line back for Sunday.
  6. Bertz
    Yeah I'm here too. Claypool means they don't have to force it if the board breaks poorly, but I think WR should still be the default choice in round 1.
  7. Bertz
    I get not getting away from McCullers too soon because you don't want to burn your bullpen but now the Phillies get to stay away from their high leverage guys (except presumably Alvarado who was already warming).
  8. Bertz
    I have no idea what it is but the Phillies are acting like McCullers is tipping his pitches
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    1st round pick?
  11. Bertz
    I noticed DVOA still horsefeathering hates Fields even while the arrow is pointing up elsewhere. I'm not too concerned about that at the moment, I think DVOA is not especially well suited towards evaluating individual players, but it is worth noting.
  12. Bertz
    ESPN gave Fields a QBR of 72.1 for today, which is really good. 70+ is usually where the elite QBs live. And it looks like he's averaging just under 60 over the last 4 games. For reference, if that was his full season number he'd rank 9th between Jalen Hurts and Derek Carr for the year. For the full season, so not excluding his horrific start, he's now ahead of Zach Wilson and Mac Jones and only a few points behind Trevor Lawrence. Coming into today the Bears next three opponents ranked 20th, 31st, and 32nd in defensive DVOA. If he's truly leveled up this should probably where he starts piling up some significant raw yards and TDs.
  13. Bertz
    Sign the best OL to hit FA (hopefully the Colts are dumb enough to let Nelson go) Sign Mike Gesicki Use the rest of your cap space on defense Draft a WR with your 1st, add another WR and an OL on day 2 Profit
  14. Bertz
    Pretty ideal tank-win. I thought Fields was great and given the matchup I think that was a good showing for the O-line as well. That's 3 of the last 4 games where Fields has looked very good, and the one was a Thursday which are always highly prone to weird and sloppy play.
  15. Bertz
    Defenses obviously operate differently with a 3 score lead, but I think that was a really good half from Fields. Particularly on the road against the #2 defense in the NFL.
  16. Bertz
  17. Bertz
    While clearly the Cubs will be looking at DH types, I don't know if they are going to want a guy who can't play any defense at all. But JD's still a very legit hitter.
  18. Bertz
  19. Bertz
    Might be catching Dallas at a good time
  20. Bertz
    The Brewers are in a tight spot this winter, so it is an especially painful time for Stearns to bail. If they pick up the options on Wong and Boxberger they'd already be back at last year's payroll. Interestingly, about 2/3's of that payroll is those aforementioned club options and guys in arbitration. So they can turn the roster over pretty aggressively if they'd prefer, but even still there's not a lot of easy decisions. The guys set to make substantial money are either their building blocks (Burnes, Woodruff, Adams) or quality players in that awkward zone of too good to cut but not so good as they'll have much surplus value (Wong and Hunter Renfroe). Like it's going to take a lot of machinations just to keep the team where it was last year, much less make up the ground between them and the Cardinals. They do have a pretty good crew of kids at AAA ready to help, but in one of those winters with no margin for error where you really need to nail it losing the smartest person in the org is gonna hurt. I don't think they completely fall off next year, but I wouldn't be surprised if when all is said and done the Cubs project as a better team on paper heading into ST. And with Stearns and Hader gone I'm going to be much less worried about them way over performing expectations like 17/18/19.
  21. Bertz
    This is oddly specific for this early in the offseason Despite the need in CF he doesn't seem likely as a Cubs target, but still notable
  22. Bertz
    I like it, and while I might prefer some different names it's basically the exact shape of what I'm expecting Jed and co. to attempt. One thing I am curious about is the Jose Abreu rumors. I had been kind of assuming the DH would be someone pretty fungible like you went with here with Walsh. But Abreu is very much not an afterthought. Is Plan A to go much harder at that 1B/DH spot than you've done here, or is getting a higher end bat more of a backup plan if Jed doesn't come down with a shortstop? Because going from e.g. Walsh -> Abreu basically cuts off one or two additional moves.
  23. Bertz
    The Cards are now about $10M below last year's payroll, and they still have to deal with the Nolan Arenado situation. Mozeliak has already indicated that they will be increasing payroll, but unless it's a very healthy bump you're probably only looking at one or two more moves of substance. Something like Contreras and re-signing Quintana?
  24. Bertz
    For the sake of argument. Let's say 14 is their draft position. Would trading down make sense here? I haven't looked at anything related to draft projections Especially in light of all the cap space I think you just take the pick wherever it lies. They've got the money to ensure the team has adequate depth next year, take your swing at an impact player. I think the only way I trade back is if somehow they have a top 5 pick but also at the same time we feel really great about Fields, which feels like a very unlikely combo.
  25. Bertz
    Hell yeah
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